Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 32 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/11/2023 01:00 PM	Kayserispor Antalyaspor	22.6% 52.3%	25.2%	+289 +105 +240 +115	0 4	-0.73651-0.81744	-0.64907
03/06/2023 05:00 PM	Antalyaspor Kasımpaşa	37.1% 35.6%	27.3%	+216 +128 +220 +125	1 3	-0.86334-0.86074	-1.03392
03/05/2023 04:00 PM	Ankaragucu Besiktas	7.7% 78.8%	13.5%	+450 -170 +450 -175	1 2	-0.50415-0.50149	-0.23816
03/04/2023 04:00 PM	Fenerbahce Kayserispor	63.6% 16.1%	20.3%	-130 +376 -135 +375	2 1	-0.60497-0.60468	-0.45194
03/04/2023 10:30 AM	Sivasspor Karagumruk	28.4% 45.5%	26.1%	+240 +130 +215 +125	3 4	-0.87347-0.86140	-0.78728
03/03/2023 05:00 PM	Trabzonspor Alanyaspor	30.6% 43.2%	26.2%	+189 +166 +160 +175	0 1	-1.00302-1.06161	-0.83898
02/26/2023 04:00 PM	Antalyaspor Besiktas	14.7% 65.9%	19.3%	+600 -190 +540 -205	0 0	-1.48153-1.55344	-1.64284
02/25/2023 04:00 PM	Konyaspor Fenerbahce	16.6% 62.9%	20.5%	+635 -237 +565 -215	0 4	-0.40024-0.43329	-0.46321
02/05/2023 04:00 PM	Trabzonspor Galatasaray	26.2% 48.3%	25.5%	+437 -145 +405 -150	1 2	-0.55342-0.56073	-0.72741
02/05/2023 01:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Hatayspor	15.1% 66.1%	18.8%	+161 +167 +145 +170	0 1	-1.00613-1.04441	-0.41417
02/04/2023 04:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Antalyaspor	42.5% 30.8%	26.6%	+348 -110 +310 -115	0 1	-0.65952-0.67360	-1.17658
02/04/2023 01:00 PM	Besiktas Sivasspor	50.7% 24.9%	24.4%	+126 +257 +125 +225	0 1	-1.26837-1.22806	-1.38846
02/04/2023 10:30 AM	Karagumruk Ankaragucu	60.9% 17.6%	21.5%	+230 +124 +230 +110	2 0	-1.24078-1.24573	-0.49630
02/02/2023 02:00 PM	Trabzonspor Kayserispor	62.7% 16.3%	21.0%	+144 +241 +150 +205	0 1	-1.25103-1.16437	-1.81394
02/01/2023 05:00 PM	Antalyaspor Trabzonspor	18.5% 59.3%	22.2%	+435 -137 +435 -150	0 2	-0.57185-0.55968	-0.52256
02/01/2023 02:00 PM	Hatayspor Gaziantep FK	40.6% 33.6%	25.8%	+238 +125 +250 +115	1 4	-0.83503-0.81362	-1.08996

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.