Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 32 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
01/31/2023 05:00 PM	Besiktas Karagumruk	46.0% 29.1%	24.9%	-115 +285 -115 +275	1 1	-1.41655-1.43658	-1.39195
01/31/2023 02:00 PM	Sivasspor Alanyaspor	21.3% 54.9%	23.7%	+260 +110 +250 +105	3 0	-1.31442-1.30280	-1.54576
01/29/2023 04:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Fenerbahce	15.1% 66.3%	18.6%	+755 -276 +745 -310	1 5	-0.33380-0.32973	-0.41118
01/29/2023 04:00 PM	Konyaspor Trabzonspor	16.8% 61.9%	21.3%	+325 +102 +295 +100	0 2	-0.72896-0.74354	-0.47902
01/28/2023 01:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Ankaragucu	60.2% 18.1%	21.6%	+367 -130 +340 -130	2 0	-1.58616-1.53252	-0.50718
01/28/2023 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Hatayspor	32.6% 41.4%	26.0%	-125 +383 -130 +375	1 2	-1.60028-1.60664	-0.88216
01/27/2023 05:00 PM	Alanyaspor Besiktas	29.5% 45.2%	25.2%	+427 -150 +415 -165	0 3	-0.53556-0.52197	-0.79359
01/23/2023 05:00 PM	Ankaragucu Konyaspor	21.3% 54.2%	24.4%	+246 +120 +245 +115	1 0	-1.27827-1.28630	-1.54506
01/22/2023 01:00 PM	Karagumruk Alanyaspor	25.0% 50.4%	24.6%	+290 -115 +285 -120	2 2	-1.42674-1.44953	-1.40381
01/22/2023 01:00 PM	Besiktas Kayserispor	69.2% 12.8%	18.0%	+113 +243 +110 +225	2 0	-0.78981-0.79125	-0.36882
01/22/2023 10:30 AM	Sivasspor Gaziantep FK	29.2% 44.9%	25.9%	+215 +144 +195 +145	2 1	-1.17818-1.13075	-1.23182
01/21/2023 04:00 PM	Antalyaspor Galatasaray	14.1% 65.6%	20.3%	+900 -309 +825 -300	1 2	-0.31114-0.33687	-0.42170
01/21/2023 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Kasımpaşa	56.8% 20.9%	22.3%	+137 +222 +135 +210	3 1	-0.88834-0.90429	-0.56546
01/15/2023 04:00 PM	Fenerbahce Gaziantep FK	40.6% 33.7%	25.8%	-130 +376 -125 +325	2 1	-0.59860-0.63713	-0.90202
01/15/2023 01:00 PM	Karagumruk Kasımpaşa	49.7% 26.1%	24.1%	+205 +125 +215 +110	2 2	-1.32980-1.40007	-1.42288
01/14/2023 04:00 PM	Trabzonspor Trabzonspor	32.7% 40.8%	26.5%	+320 +109 +275 +105	0 1	-0.73622-0.76947	-0.89654

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.