Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 4 days ago

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Games for Nov 14, 2024

Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/15/2021 05:30 PM	Yeni Malatyaspor Galatasaray	20.3% 61.7%	18.0%	+1509 -667 +2100 -1000	1 3	-0.17417-0.14610	-0.48256
05/15/2021 05:30 PM	Genclerbirligi Trabzonspor	18.9% 65.9%	15.2%	+291 -125 +285 -130	1 2	-0.62075-0.62394	-0.41773
05/15/2021 05:30 PM	Besiktas Goztepe	52.8% 26.1%	21.0%	-286 +943 -360 +860	2 1	-0.30332-0.29719	-0.63781
05/15/2021 05:30 PM	Fenerbahce Kayserispor	57.8% 23.0%	19.2%	-152 +379 -150 +380	2 1	-0.55438-0.56173	-0.54870
05/15/2021 03:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Sivasspor	27.9% 48.7%	23.4%	+640 -217 +590 -225	1 2	-0.41095-0.42091	-0.71972
05/15/2021 03:00 PM	Alanyaspor Ankaragucu	63.0% 19.9%	17.2%	-110 +278 -110 +255	1 0	-0.67383-0.69772	-0.46281
05/15/2021 03:00 PM	Denizlispor Karagumruk	20.0% 62.4%	17.5%	+914 -350 +1025 -475	1 5	-0.28634-0.24261	-0.47093
05/15/2021 03:00 PM	Konyaspor Antalyaspor	31.7% 40.7%	27.6%	+101 +264 -110 +290	0 0	-1.03459-1.05658	-1.02353
05/15/2021 03:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Hatayspor	30.2% 46.2%	23.6%	+710 -286 +625 -275	1 0	-2.12914-2.03271	-1.19776
05/15/2021 03:00 PM	Trabzonspor Rizespor	52.7% 25.6%	21.6%	+119 +223 +120 +215	2 0	-0.82920-0.84077	-0.63993
05/11/2021 05:30 PM	Kayserispor Trabzonspor	19.2% 64.4%	16.3%	+216 +140 +235 +130	0 0	-1.04676-1.07044	-1.04404
05/11/2021 05:30 PM	Galatasaray Denizlispor	66.5% 17.4%	16.1%	-476 +1187 -525 +1250	4 1	-0.23637-0.22505	-0.40843
05/11/2021 05:30 PM	Ankaragucu Kasımpaşa	27.9% 48.6%	23.5%	+208 +126 +215 +120	1 3	-0.85567-0.83704	-0.72058
05/11/2021 05:30 PM	Rizespor Gaziantep FK	25.3% 53.9%	20.9%	+274 -110 +265 -105	5 4	-1.37007-1.34289	-1.37559
05/11/2021 05:30 PM	Karagumruk Besiktas	27.6% 50.5%	21.9%	+633 -263 +1175 -450	2 1	-2.04384-2.59481	-1.28837
05/11/2021 05:30 PM	Goztepe Genclerbirligi	42.8% 31.3%	25.8%	+160 +164 +140 +170	3 5	-1.01115-1.04222	-1.16018

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.