Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 32 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
01/14/2023 01:00 PM	Besiktas Konyaspor	60.3% 18.2%	21.5%	+165 +173 +165 +155	2 1	-0.99883-1.02449	-0.50549
01/13/2023 05:00 PM	Hatayspor Galatasaray	26.5% 48.4%	25.1%	+950 -350	0 4	-0.27829	-0.72559
01/13/2023 04:00 PM	Sivasspor Kayserispor	50.3% 24.1%	25.6%	+240 +129	1 4	-0.85743	-1.42258
01/09/2023 05:00 PM	Trabzonspor Alanyaspor	30.6% 43.2%	26.2%	+130 +226 +120 +225	0 5	-1.20391-1.22550	-0.83898
01/08/2023 04:00 PM	Galatasaray Fenerbahce	39.5% 33.8%	26.8%	+249 +123 +240 +120	3 0	-1.25882-1.27418	-0.92973
01/08/2023 01:00 PM	Kayserispor Ankaragucu	35.8% 35.3%	28.8%	+310 +110 +250 +105	1 2	-0.74611-0.76787	-1.04035
01/08/2023 10:30 AM	Konyaspor Karagumruk	21.2% 55.2%	23.5%	+175 +167 +150 +165	3 3	-1.29675-1.34481	-1.44609
01/07/2023 04:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Besiktas	11.9% 71.7%	16.4%	+441 -118 +330 -140	1 2	-0.56077-0.58891	-0.33327
01/07/2023 01:00 PM	Antalyaspor Hatayspor	18.3% 60.1%	21.6%	+146 +211 +150 +170	0 0	-1.26645-1.31770	-1.53174
01/05/2023 02:00 PM	Trabzonspor Gaziantep FK	50.0% 50.0%	0.0%		1 1
11/13/2022 02:00 PM	Konyaspor Kayserispor	40.5% 31.4%	28.0%	+191 +155 +190 +150	2 1	-1.09763-1.11590	-0.90278
11/13/2022 11:30 AM	Gaziantep FK Karagumruk	32.2% 42.0%	25.9%	+220 +120 +235 +110	3 3	-1.32479-1.33211	-1.35259
11/12/2022 05:00 PM	Galatasaray Trabzonspor	39.3% 33.2%	27.5%	+133 +238 +125 +230	7 0	-0.86914-0.86022	-0.93364
11/11/2022 05:00 PM	Trabzonspor Ankaragucu	66.9% 13.8%	19.3%	+144 +215 +130 +215	1 1	-1.24285-1.25846	-1.64553
11/07/2022 05:00 PM	Sivasspor Fenerbahce	22.9% 53.5%	23.5%	+831 -290 +800 -300	0 1	-0.32666-0.33972	-0.62482
11/07/2022 05:00 PM	Trabzonspor Hatayspor	32.6% 41.4%	26.0%	-113 +360 -125 +365	3 3	-1.30225-1.31793	-1.34650

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.