Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 4 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/11/2021 05:30 PM	Erzurum BB Alanyaspor	18.1% 65.3%	16.6%	+474 -189 +525 -205	3 2	-1.79114-1.88092	-1.70672
05/11/2021 05:30 PM	Sivasspor Fenerbahce	27.9% 49.1%	23.1%	+460 -185 +500 -195	2 1	-1.76685-1.84042	-1.27801
05/11/2021 05:30 PM	Hatayspor Yeni Malatyaspor	48.8% 28.0%	23.2%	+132 +210 +110 +230	1 1	-1.02664-1.01624	-0.99494
05/11/2021 02:00 PM	Trabzonspor Konyaspor	48.9% 27.3%	23.7%	+136 +205 +135 +215	1 1	-1.02672-1.05035	-1.00598
05/08/2021 05:30 PM	Yeni Malatyaspor Rizespor	36.6% 35.7%	27.7%	+180 +157 +175 +155	4 0	-1.06349-1.06031	-1.00395
05/08/2021 05:30 PM	Trabzonspor Sivasspor	41.4% 32.1%	26.5%	+270 +117 +270 +110	0 0	-1.07420-1.07344	-1.00874
05/08/2021 05:30 PM	Gaziantep FK Kayserispor	50.7% 26.6%	22.7%	+265 +100 +260 +105	0 0	-1.04221-1.04940	-1.00196
05/08/2021 05:30 PM	Fenerbahce Ankaragucu	62.0% 21.1%	16.9%	-164 +415 -170 +410	2 1	-0.51589-0.51183	-0.47815
05/08/2021 05:30 PM	Besiktas Galatasaray	33.3% 40.5%	26.2%	+191 +145 +190 +140	1 3	-0.93611-0.92158	-0.90337
05/08/2021 05:30 PM	Genclerbirligi Karagumruk	21.8% 60.1%	18.1%	+235 +110 +230 +110	1 5	-0.79162-0.79025	-0.50988
05/08/2021 05:30 PM	Konyaspor Goztepe	32.1% 41.0%	26.9%	+194 +144 +195 +140	1 0	-1.11908-1.13038	-1.13647
05/08/2021 05:30 PM	Denizlispor Hatayspor	17.2% 68.7%	14.1%	+914 -357 +900 -350	0 1	-0.29158-0.30171	-0.37557
05/08/2021 05:30 PM	Kasımpaşa Erzurum BB	37.5% 34.6%	27.9%	+173 +168 +170 +160	1 0	-1.04069-1.04120	-0.97974
05/08/2021 05:30 PM	Antalyaspor Trabzonspor	24.6% 54.0%	21.4%	+388 -129 +410 -135	1 2	-0.61889-0.60150	-0.61704
05/03/2021 05:30 PM	Erzurum BB Fenerbahce	19.3% 64.4%	16.4%	+822 -303 +775 -300	1 3	-0.32397-0.33598	-0.44068
05/03/2021 05:30 PM	Sivasspor Gaziantep FK	31.7% 42.4%	25.8%	+136 +199 +135 +200	1 0	-0.91128-0.90199	-1.14810

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.