Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 1, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Besiktas
Gaziantep FK 		47.1%
28.5%		24.4%
+142
+176
+135
+185
1.64
1.22		2.86
o3-112
u3¼-122

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Apr 30, 2026
Games for May 2, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor		15.3%
65.4%		19.3%
+541
-195
+465
-190
0
0		-1.62151-1.56576-1.64507
Sivasspor
Trabzonspor		23.1%
52.6%		24.3%
+502
-145
+470
-155
2
0		-1.79697-1.78922-1.46603
Karagumruk
Fenerbahce		26.9%
48.9%		24.1%
+650
-254
+685
-270
4
5		-0.37564-0.36691-0.71478
Alanyaspor
Hatayspor		34.6%
38.8%		26.6%
+163
+187
+140
+180
0
1		-1.04611-1.07993-0.94685
Konyaspor
Antalyaspor		29.7%
42.6%		27.6%
+186
+175
+175
+165
1
1		-1.22697-1.21527-1.28558
Fenerbahce
Besiktas		27.9%
48.1%		24.0%
+187
+153
+175
+140
0
0		-1.28793-1.35767-1.42870
Hatayspor
Sivasspor		44.2%
29.8%		26.0%
+328
-105
+255
+110
2
1		-1.47731-1.31763-0.81651
Trabzonspor
Ankaragucu		66.9%
13.8%		19.3%
+112
+268
-110
+310
2
1		-0.78014-0.69866-0.40142
Trabzonspor
Kayserispor		62.7%
16.3%		21.0%
+105
+273
+105
+255
2
1		-0.74948-0.76776-0.46756
Gaziantep FK
Kasımpaşa		49.0%
26.9%		24.2%
+228
+121
+200
+125
0
1		-0.81331-0.86138-1.31453
Alanyaspor
Fenerbahce		34.7%
38.9%		26.4%
+471
-173
+420
-175
0
5		-0.48918-0.50163-0.94446
Sivasspor
Ankaragucu		55.1%
20.8%		24.1%
+260
+118
+240
+115
1
2		-0.80290-0.81744-1.56911
Karagumruk
Trabzonspor		27.0%
48.1%		24.8%
+425
-158
+440
-160
0
0		-1.45672-1.43565-1.39300
Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor		26.4%
49.1%		24.5%
+378
-142
+360
-145
2
3		-0.56179-0.57629-0.71101
Konyaspor
Galatasaray		12.7%
67.9%		19.4%
+399
-130
+380
-135
1
2		-0.59691-0.60259-0.38716
Kayserispor
Hatayspor		11.6%
71.0%		17.4%
+213
+142
+220
+125
4
0		-1.16091-1.21295-2.15081
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58068 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.60565 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-1.01902
-0.43834
-0.41337

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.