Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 32 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/06/2022 05:00 PM	Konyaspor Trabzonspor	16.8% 61.9%	21.3%	+360 -107 +320 -110	2 2	-1.27261-1.28884	-1.54689
11/06/2022 02:00 PM	Karagumruk Antalyaspor	43.3% 30.1%	26.6%	+285 -105 +300 -115	2 4	-0.71392-0.67598	-1.20091
11/06/2022 11:30 AM	Kayserispor Gaziantep FK	15.7% 64.0%	20.3%	+215 +145 +210 +130	2 1	-1.16780-1.18159	-1.85202
11/05/2022 05:00 PM	Besiktas Galatasaray	31.5% 42.2%	26.3%	+290 -101 +230 +115	1 2	-0.71413-0.81410	-0.86282
11/04/2022 05:00 PM	Ankaragucu Kasımpaşa	23.1% 53.0%	23.9%	+183 +162 +190 +140	1 1	-1.25253-1.28844	-1.43288
10/31/2022 05:00 PM	Antalyaspor Sivasspor	26.9% 46.7%	26.4%	+263 +126 +240 +125	2 0	-1.30298-1.27357	-1.31394
10/24/2022 05:00 PM	Besiktas Hatayspor	38.7% 35.4%	25.9%	-145 +430 -150 +390	1 2	-1.69298-1.63897	-1.03719
10/23/2022 05:00 PM	Alanyaspor Galatasaray	28.0% 45.6%	26.3%	+644 -243 +525 -205	2 2	-1.70183-1.56571	-1.33556
10/23/2022 11:30 AM	Kayserispor Kasımpaşa	26.7% 48.0%	25.2%	+264 +115 +220 +120	1 0	-1.31019-1.21456	-1.32039
10/22/2022 05:00 PM	Trabzonspor Fenerbahce	32.7% 41.5%	25.8%	+355 -110 +315 -110	0 1	-0.66627-0.69587	-0.87943
10/22/2022 02:00 PM	Sivasspor Trabzonspor	23.1% 52.6%	24.3%	+509 -170 +420 -160	0 1	-0.48151-0.53582	-0.64183
10/17/2022 05:00 PM	Fenerbahce Ankaragucu	68.1% 13.5%	18.4%	-112 +335 -120 +320	3 0	-0.66264-0.65514	-0.38428
10/16/2022 05:00 PM	Trabzonspor Besiktas	27.5% 47.9%	24.5%	+285 +107 +290 -105	2 2	-1.30129-1.31602	-1.40495
10/15/2022 05:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Konyaspor	45.4% 28.5%	26.1%	+412 -137 +410 -150	1 0	-1.65627-1.67729	-0.78880
10/15/2022 05:00 PM	Galatasaray Kayserispor	68.5% 12.4%	19.1%	-108 +319 -120 +310	1 2	-1.45697-1.46218	-2.08973
10/15/2022 11:30 AM	Hatayspor Karagumruk	39.5% 34.2%	26.2%	+278 +105 +275 -105	0 3	-0.74904-0.71701	-1.07186

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.