Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 4 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/03/2021 01:00 PM	Ankaragucu Trabzonspor	17.4% 68.3%	14.3%	+336 -111 +375 -140	1 2	-0.68661-0.59122	-0.38129
05/03/2021 01:00 PM	Kayserispor Yeni Malatyaspor	28.1% 46.9%	25.0%	+248 +121 +205 +135	1 1	-1.05176-1.03539	-1.01332
05/03/2021 01:00 PM	Alanyaspor Kasımpaşa	53.7% 25.4%	20.9%	+159 +178 +120 +210	0 3	-1.05832-1.18123	-1.36932
05/02/2021 05:30 PM	Galatasaray Genclerbirligi	64.4% 19.1%	16.5%	-196 +500 -200 +525	2 0	-0.45698-0.45319	-0.44069
05/02/2021 01:00 PM	Goztepe Antalyaspor	33.6% 39.1%	27.4%	+226 +120 +220 +120	3 2	-1.23001-1.21456	-1.09213
05/02/2021 01:00 PM	Rizespor Denizlispor	39.8% 32.6%	27.6%	+135 +201 +130 +200	1 0	-0.89160-0.88150	-0.92155
05/02/2021 01:00 PM	Karagumruk Konyaspor	43.4% 30.7%	25.9%	+226 +124 +225 +120	1 5	-0.86116-0.83924	-1.18052
05/01/2021 05:30 PM	Hatayspor Besiktas	31.3% 44.8%	24.0%	+484 -189 +500 -200	0 7	-0.47055-0.45495	-0.80408
04/29/2021 05:30 PM	Gaziantep FK Ankaragucu	54.7% 24.5%	20.8%	+221 +122 +240 +110	1 0	-1.21285-1.27447	-0.60312
04/29/2021 05:30 PM	Fenerbahce Alanyaspor	33.0% 41.3%	25.7%	+115 +220 +120 +220	0 0	-1.00833-1.02339	-0.99600
04/29/2021 01:00 PM	Yeni Malatyaspor Sivasspor	29.2% 45.4%	25.4%	+306 -101 +330 -110	0 1	-0.73021-0.69589	-0.79063
04/29/2021 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Erzurum BB	56.1% 22.9%	21.0%	+159 +189 +130 +230	2 1	-1.00005-0.88201	-0.57818
04/28/2021 05:30 PM	Besiktas Rizespor	58.8% 23.0%	18.2%	-167 +433 -185 +480	3 2	-0.51083-0.48229	-0.53067
04/28/2021 05:30 PM	Konyaspor Galatasaray	19.8% 62.3%	18.0%	+613 -233 +650 -250	0 1	-0.39821-0.38687	-0.47387
04/28/2021 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Goztepe	47.1% 29.0%	24.0%	+114 +248 +120 +225	1 1	-1.03883-1.03435	-0.99619
04/28/2021 01:00 PM	Denizlispor Kayserispor	30.6% 41.8%	27.6%	+298 -106 +390 -145	3 6	-0.70712-0.57552	-0.87206

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.