Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Genclerbirligi
Hatayspor
18.9%
66.5%
14.6%
+305
-109
+300
-120
1
3
-0.67554-0.65670-0.40812
Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahce
22.7%
60.0%
17.3%
+390
-156
+400
-160
2
3
-0.54292-0.53495-0.51051
Erzurum BB
Gaziantep FK
22.6%
57.3%
20.1%
+207
+140
+215
+130
3
2
-1.16610-1.20121-1.48824
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor
35.2%
37.6%
27.2%
+182
+151
+195
+140
0
0
-1.02539-1.02720-1.01158
Ankaragucu
Yeni Malatyaspor
25.9%
50.8%
23.2%
+211
+138
+210
+140
1
2
-0.91262-0.92591-0.67678
Sivasspor
Denizlispor
50.1%
25.7%
24.1%
+100
+277
-105
+290
1
1
-1.05224-1.06790-1.02398
Galatasaray
Antalyaspor
52.5%
24.8%
22.7%
-152
+409
-165
+440
1
0
-0.55047-0.52421-0.64432
Kayserispor
Besiktas
16.8%
70.3%
12.9%
+604
-233
+650
-235
1
3
-0.40515-0.40545-0.35308
Karagumruk
Trabzonspor
30.5%
44.9%
24.6%
+449
-167
+475
-175
0
2
-0.52179-0.49923-0.80142
Hatayspor
Konyaspor
49.5%
27.4%
23.2%
+183
+153
+155
+170
0
0
-1.02945-1.01978-0.99984
Rizespor
Genclerbirligi
37.8%
35.0%
27.3%
+152
+168
+150
+180
1
2
-1.03544-1.07960-1.05008
Trabzonspor
Kasımpaşa
51.7%
26.6%
21.7%
+135
+212
+140
+200
1
0
-0.90145-0.92284-0.65973
Gaziantep FK
Alanyaspor
28.8%
47.5%
23.7%
+360
-120
+390
-140
2
3
-0.63316-0.58834-0.74484
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray
29.7%
45.0%
25.3%
+268
+104
+280
+100
1
1
-1.04837-1.06178-1.00636
Denizlispor
Ankaragucu
33.0%
38.5%
28.5%
+365
-132
+360
-130
1
1
-1.09258-1.09641-1.03192
Yeni Malatyaspor
Erzurum BB
39.4%
32.3%
28.3%
+199
+147
+205
+125
0
1
-0.94133-0.86353-1.13125
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.