Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Antalyaspor
Hatayspor		24.6%
54.6%		20.8%
+360
-115
+360
-130
2
3		-0.64379-0.61865-0.60583
Besiktas
Sivasspor		46.8%
29.1%		24.1%
-101
+280
+100
+275
0
0		-1.05262-1.05850-0.99620
Goztepe
Karagumruk		28.1%
48.7%		23.3%
+178
+145
+165
+170
1
1		-1.00027-1.03342-0.99542
Genclerbirligi
Kayserispor		32.9%
39.8%		27.3%
+320
-112
+290
-105
2
2		-1.07119-1.06790-1.01666
Konyaspor
Rizespor		35.7%
36.0%		28.3%
+195
+162
+230
+145
3
5		-1.00550-0.94505-1.02112
Fenerbahce
Trabzonspor		34.5%
39.7%		25.8%
+111
+246
+105
+250
2
1		-0.78294-0.76787-1.06415
Kasımpaşa
Gaziantep FK		26.3%
52.8%		20.9%
+195
+144
+210
+135
2
2		-1.03314-1.04278-0.98736
Galatasaray
Goztepe		53.1%
25.0%		21.9%
-110
+279
-110
+275
3
1		-0.69752-0.69563-0.63390
Alanyaspor
Yeni Malatyaspor		50.2%
26.7%		23.1%
+117
+250
+125
+220
0
1		-1.28935-1.21713-1.31946
Hatayspor
Trabzonspor		34.4%
39.6%		26.0%
+284
-101
+270
+105
1
1		-1.05744-1.06398-0.99699
Erzurum BB
Denizlispor		35.4%
34.5%		30.2%
+185
+162
+160
+185
3
2		-1.09901-1.00709-1.03933
Ankaragucu
Besiktas		15.1%
73.8%		11.1%
+680
-266
+725
-270
2
2		-1.23603-1.26236-1.09734
Rizespor
Antalyaspor		30.0%
44.3%		25.7%
+221
+175
+195
+170
3
2		-1.15785-1.13457-1.20297
Sivasspor
Genclerbirligi		47.9%
27.8%		24.3%
+100
+272
+100
+275
3
2		-0.75097-0.74036-0.73649
Kayserispor
Konyaspor		28.5%
45.9%		25.7%
+263
+138
+265
+115
0
0		-1.07776-1.08040-1.01808
Denizlispor
Alanyaspor		15.7%
67.3%		17.1%
+650
-215
+700
-250
2
3		-0.40585-0.38509-0.39669
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.