Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Gaziantep FK
Fenerbahce
30.6%
46.8%
22.6%
+625
-238
+650
-240
1
3
-0.39589-0.39475-0.75899
Yeni Malatyaspor
Kasımpaşa
37.0%
38.2%
24.8%
+241
+120
+250
+110
0
0
-1.04374-1.04782-0.97774
Besiktas
Erzurum BB
60.9%
20.0%
19.1%
+102
+299
+100
+275
4
2
-0.72404-0.74421-0.49517
Antalyaspor
Kayserispor
42.2%
32.0%
25.8%
+192
+159
+190
+170
1
0
-1.11657-1.11209-0.86320
Genclerbirligi
Ankaragucu
36.6%
37.7%
25.7%
+256
+126
+255
+115
1
2
-0.83529-0.81410-0.97517
Konyaspor
Sivasspor
28.8%
46.4%
24.8%
+265
+110
+290
+105
1
3
-0.79463-0.76845-0.76802
Karagumruk
Galatasaray
26.5%
50.9%
22.6%
+400
-145
+400
-150
1
1
-1.12318-1.10891-1.00210
Trabzonspor
Rizespor
52.7%
25.6%
21.6%
+138
+211
+130
+230
0
0
-1.04909-1.06252-1.00092
Goztepe
Hatayspor
24.7%
54.8%
20.5%
+310
-110
+270
+100
3
2
-1.45547-1.36281-1.39816
Fenerbahce
Yeni Malatyaspor
49.3%
28.3%
22.4%
-128
+365
-130
+350
1
1
-1.09462-1.08667-0.98544
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK
40.0%
35.6%
24.4%
+147
+186
+145
+185
0
2
-1.09829-1.09506-1.03162
Kasımpaşa
Denizlispor
42.3%
32.7%
25.0%
+127
+225
+140
+195
1
1
-1.04068-1.02720-0.98915
Sivasspor
Antalyaspor
38.4%
35.5%
26.1%
+172
+181
+180
+185
4
2
-1.04569-1.07555-0.95711
Alanyaspor
Besiktas
32.7%
43.5%
23.8%
+366
-135
+375
-140
0
3
-0.60004-0.58805-0.83264
Ankaragucu
Konyaspor
26.4%
49.8%
23.8%
+253
+121
+280
+105
1
1
-1.07429-1.07470-1.01472
Erzurum BB
Genclerbirligi
35.0%
38.6%
26.5%
+171
+166
+160
+170
1
1
-1.03537-1.02232-1.00180
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.