Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/06/2021 04:00 PM	Kayserispor Trabzonspor	18.8% 63.0%	18.2%	+425 -147 +460 -160	1 1	-1.12727-1.15327	-1.06672
04/06/2021 01:00 PM	Hatayspor Karagumruk	39.7% 36.1%	24.2%	+221 +131 +190 +145	0 1	-0.87928-0.94631	-1.01963
04/06/2021 01:00 PM	Rizespor Goztepe	30.7% 45.2%	24.0%	+220 +129 +260 +110	0 2	-0.87429-0.78891	-0.79332
04/05/2021 04:00 PM	Denizlispor Fenerbahce	17.3% 68.9%	13.8%	+762 -294 +850 -325	0 1	-0.33617-0.31875	-0.37291
04/04/2021 04:00 PM	Besiktas Kasımpaşa	57.8% 23.9%	18.3%	-118 +316 -120 +320	0 1	-1.46937-1.48408	-1.43083
04/04/2021 01:00 PM	Yeni Malatyaspor Trabzonspor	23.9% 55.7%	20.4%	+378 -132 +365 -125	1 3	-0.60444-0.63875	-0.58483
04/04/2021 01:00 PM	Genclerbirligi Alanyaspor	17.9% 67.7%	14.5%	+584 -220 +565 -230	2 1	-1.96226-1.94477	-1.72277
04/04/2021 01:00 PM	Antalyaspor Ankaragucu	45.0% 29.1%	25.9%	+173 +176 +200 +150	0 1	-1.05552-0.96582	-1.23323
04/04/2021 10:30 AM	Konyaspor Erzurum BB	38.3% 32.5%	29.1%	+221 +135 +210 +140	2 1	-1.21278-1.18185	-0.95899
04/03/2021 04:00 PM	Galatasaray Hatayspor	38.4% 34.6%	27.0%	+101 +270 -105 +275	0 3	-1.34014-1.36971	-1.06137
04/03/2021 01:00 PM	Karagumruk Rizespor	47.1% 29.0%	23.9%	+171 +170 +145 +195	0 0	-1.04568-1.03790	-0.99581
04/03/2021 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Sivasspor	41.4% 32.1%	26.5%	+179 +176 +180 +175	0 0	-1.06708-1.07331	-1.00874
04/03/2021 10:30 AM	Goztepe Kayserispor	41.6% 31.7%	26.7%	+164 +167 +170 +165	1 1	-1.02196-1.03342	-1.01308
03/21/2021 04:00 PM	Fenerbahce Besiktas	31.3% 44.9%	23.8%	+245 +116 +230 +115	1 1	-1.03288-1.02834	-0.69840
03/21/2021 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Denizlispor	60.7% 20.8%	18.5%	-110 +303 +110 +260	0 0	-1.06946-1.06258	-0.90217
03/21/2021 10:30 AM	Erzurum BB Antalyaspor	27.0% 47.3%	25.8%	+249 +131 +225 +130	1 3	-0.87153-0.88187	-0.74906

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.