Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/21/2021 10:30 AM	Alanyaspor Konyaspor	50.7% 26.0%	23.3%	+112 +271 +115 +245	0 1	-1.35174-1.28630	-1.34565
03/20/2021 04:00 PM	Ankaragucu Trabzonspor	17.4% 68.3%	14.3%	+452 -147 +450 -160	1 4	-0.55050-0.53464	-0.38129
03/20/2021 01:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Yeni Malatyaspor	42.4% 32.0%	25.7%	+229 +121 +215 +120	2 2	-1.04460-1.02024	-0.76274
03/20/2021 01:00 PM	Sivasspor Goztepe	37.7% 34.8%	27.6%	+182 +157 +180 +155	5 3	-1.08155-1.08063	-0.42716
03/20/2021 10:30 AM	Kasımpaşa Genclerbirligi	39.3% 34.3%	26.3%	+133 +200 +145 +195	1 2	-1.14885-1.13075	-1.06877
03/19/2021 04:00 PM	Rizespor Galatasaray	18.3% 66.3%	15.4%	+970 -270 +900 -320	4 3	-1.25952-1.29178	-1.08693
03/19/2021 01:00 PM	Kayserispor Karagumruk	22.2% 58.6%	19.2%	+375 -130 +380 -140	0 3	-0.60219-0.58913	-0.53386
03/15/2021 04:00 PM	Konyaspor Kasımpaşa	35.0% 37.6%	27.4%	+272 +109 +275 +110	1 1	-0.69704-0.69754	-0.69374
03/14/2021 04:00 PM	Genclerbirligi Fenerbahce	18.9% 66.6%	14.4%	+850 -312 +975 -350	2 1	-1.31800-1.35166	-1.50815
03/14/2021 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Erzurum BB	56.1% 22.9%	21.0%	+121 +259 +115 +270	0 0	-0.81447-0.82826	-0.79032
03/14/2021 01:00 PM	Denizlispor Gaziantep FK	20.5% 61.9%	17.7%	+275 +126 +320 -110	0 2	-0.83206-0.69709	-0.28559
03/14/2021 10:30 AM	Goztepe Ankaragucu	45.4% 29.4%	25.1%	+133 +206 +130 +200	0 3	-1.16321-1.15103	-0.93290
03/13/2021 04:00 PM	Galatasaray Kayserispor	62.9% 19.4%	17.7%	-132 +355 -130 +330	3 0	-0.23575-0.24924	-0.26912
03/13/2021 01:00 PM	Hatayspor Rizespor	53.4% 25.7%	20.9%	+126 +225 +135 +210	0 1	-1.22367-1.18127	-1.12535
03/13/2021 01:00 PM	Antalyaspor Alanyaspor	23.4% 55.8%	20.8%	+388 -123 +405 -140	0 4	-0.63631-0.58933	-0.35051
03/13/2021 10:30 AM	Karagumruk Sivasspor	36.5% 35.8%	27.8%	+171 +159 +210 +135	0 1	-1.00728-0.90429	-0.70320

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.