Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 32 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/08/2022 04:00 PM	Fenerbahce Besiktas	27.9% 48.1%	24.0%	+198 +138 +185 +135	1 1	-1.33800-1.34389	-1.42870
05/08/2022 01:00 PM	Rizespor Yeni Malatyaspor	28.3% 45.7%	26.0%	+114 +252 -115 +290	3 1	-0.78730-0.67548	-1.26298
05/07/2022 04:00 PM	Galatasaray Trabzonspor	39.3% 33.2%	27.5%	+350 -114 +320 -115	0 0	-1.33325-1.33044	-1.29178
05/07/2022 01:00 PM	Goztepe Karagumruk	23.3% 53.0%	23.7%	+455 -189 +445 -180	1 3	-0.48141-0.49407	-0.63450
05/07/2022 01:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Sivasspor	23.1% 53.0%	23.8%	+150 +189 +195 +135	3 1	-0.93757-1.13082	-1.46512
05/06/2022 05:00 PM	Kayserispor Gaziantep FK	15.7% 64.0%	20.3%	+398 -131 +340 -130	1 1	-1.37535-1.39897	-1.59450
05/06/2022 05:00 PM	Trabzonspor Hatayspor	32.6% 41.4%	26.0%	+167 +160 +165 +155	1 1	-1.34923-1.31692	-1.34650
05/01/2022 05:30 PM	Rizespor Goztepe	27.0% 47.8%	25.2%	+244 +114 +290 -110	7 1	-1.25372-1.41022	-1.31115
05/01/2022 05:30 PM	Sivasspor Galatasaray	17.8% 59.6%	22.6%	+331 -111 +325 -120	3 2	-1.48400-1.49669	-1.72418
05/01/2022 01:00 PM	Yeni Malatyaspor Alanyaspor	15.9% 63.4%	20.6%	+1638 -735 +980 -370	1 2	-0.17300-0.29157	-0.45558
05/01/2022 01:00 PM	Besiktas Kayserispor	69.2% 12.8%	18.0%	+118 +205 -115 +285	3 2	-0.83257-0.67548	-0.36882
04/30/2022 05:30 PM	Antalyaspor Trabzonspor	18.5% 59.3%	22.2%	+401 -132 +370 -135	2 2	-1.37405-1.37425	-1.50620
04/30/2022 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Kasımpaşa	56.8% 20.9%	22.3%	+155 +186 +170 +160	3 2	-0.96808-1.04537	-0.56546
04/30/2022 01:00 PM	Karagumruk Konyaspor	46.2% 27.8%	26.0%	+380 -139 +310 -125	2 1	-1.60192-1.45925	-0.77210
04/29/2022 05:30 PM	Gaziantep FK Fenerbahce	26.2% 49.9%	23.8%	+701 -252 +675 -260	2 3	-0.36600-0.37733	-0.69473
04/25/2022 05:30 PM	Alanyaspor Sivasspor	45.9% 27.9%	26.2%	+241 +125 +200 +135	0 1	-0.83328-0.90199	-1.27762

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.