Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/12/2021 04:00 PM	Besiktas Trabzonspor	38.1% 35.6%	26.3%	-106 +321 -105 +320	3 2	-0.26014-0.25750	-0.65925
03/08/2021 04:00 PM	Erzurum BB Goztepe	27.3% 47.7%	25.0%	+286 +113 +290 +105	1 3	-0.43944-0.42242	-0.45185
03/08/2021 04:00 PM	Fenerbahce Konyaspor	49.6% 27.5%	22.9%	-111 +315 -110 +315	3 0	-0.37710-0.37845	-0.44034
03/08/2021 01:00 PM	Alanyaspor Trabzonspor	35.2% 37.6%	27.2%	+264 +114 +280 +105	3 1	-0.99358-1.04859	-0.72668
03/08/2021 01:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Antalyaspor	31.2% 43.3%	25.5%	+240 +128 +240 +125	1 1	-0.71298-0.71430	-0.70662
03/07/2021 04:00 PM	Sivasspor Galatasaray	23.9% 54.3%	21.8%	+428 -145 +460 -145	2 2	-0.84734-0.86280	-0.77533
03/07/2021 01:00 PM	Kayserispor Hatayspor	19.2% 65.1%	15.7%	+454 -156 +440 -145	3 1	-1.47609-1.43410	-1.47867
03/07/2021 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Genclerbirligi	58.4% 22.6%	19.0%	+100 +265 -110 +300	1 0	-0.43692-0.39020	-0.32752
03/07/2021 10:30 AM	Ankaragucu Karagumruk	20.2% 62.8%	16.9%	+306 -125 +350 -135	1 0	-1.18035-1.27679	-1.41219
03/06/2021 04:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Besiktas	27.3% 51.4%	21.4%	+730 -270 +750 -290	1 2	-0.15281-0.14689	-0.42557
03/06/2021 01:00 PM	Yeni Malatyaspor Denizlispor	43.6% 29.9%	26.5%	+167 +190 +200 +145	2 3	-0.73530-0.59700	-0.89872
03/04/2021 04:00 PM	Antalyaspor Fenerbahce	24.7% 54.7%	20.6%	+469 -149 +460 -150	1 1	-0.87010-0.86650	-0.76996
03/04/2021 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Kasımpaşa	51.7% 26.6%	21.7%	-103 +294 +100 +270	2 1	-0.40561-0.43214	-0.41562
03/04/2021 01:00 PM	Goztepe Alanyaspor	23.6% 56.3%	20.1%	+310 -105 +315 -115	1 1	-0.76043-0.77060	-0.78492
03/03/2021 04:00 PM	Galatasaray Ankaragucu	66.9% 17.6%	15.5%	-175 +519 -190 +510	1 2	-1.59716-1.60879	-1.56863
03/03/2021 04:00 PM	Rizespor Kayserispor	36.7% 35.3%	28.0%	+237 +131 +235 +125	1 2	-0.52204-0.51381	-0.71182

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.