Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/03/2021 01:00 PM	Konyaspor Trabzonspor	23.3% 56.3%	20.4%	+300 +114 +280 +110	1 1	-0.74128-0.73648	-0.78740
03/03/2021 01:00 PM	Hatayspor Sivasspor	41.9% 32.1%	25.9%	+242 +131 +210 +145	1 1	-0.71227-0.70005	-0.70204
03/03/2021 10:30 AM	Karagumruk Erzurum BB	50.3% 26.0%	23.7%	+185 +147 +155 +185	2 2	-0.69570-0.69470	-0.74664
03/02/2021 04:00 PM	Besiktas Yeni Malatyaspor	54.1% 25.2%	20.7%	-164 +460 -170 +450	1 0	-0.25266-0.25369	-0.38208
03/02/2021 01:00 PM	Genclerbirligi Gaziantep FK	22.3% 59.6%	18.1%	+405 -139 +350 -130	1 2	-0.29303-0.33158	-0.31787
02/28/2021 04:00 PM	Fenerbahce Trabzonspor	34.5% 39.7%	25.8%	+204 +156 +205 +145	1 0	-0.78277-0.80865	-0.76559
02/28/2021 01:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Goztepe	31.5% 43.6%	24.9%	+274 +105 +230 +130	0 1	-0.43705-0.52885	-0.54295
02/27/2021 04:00 PM	Erzurum BB Galatasaray	16.0% 68.9%	15.2%	+676 -246 +625 -250	0 2	-0.16657-0.17656	-0.20845
02/27/2021 01:00 PM	Sivasspor Rizespor	42.6% 31.1%	26.3%	+140 +220 +140 +205	0 0	-0.70346-0.70031	-0.70558
02/27/2021 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Antalyaspor	46.6% 28.7%	24.6%	+191 +166 +180 +170	0 0	-0.69416-0.69331	-0.72214
02/27/2021 10:30 AM	Alanyaspor Karagumruk	39.8% 33.6%	26.6%	+144 +180 +135 +185	0 2	-0.76434-0.79423	-0.78176
02/27/2021 10:30 AM	Ankaragucu Hatayspor	17.4% 69.1%	13.5%	+400 -133 +385 -140	1 4	-0.30038-0.30267	-0.22441
02/26/2021 04:00 PM	Denizlispor Besiktas	15.0% 73.4%	11.6%	+916 -340 +900 -350	0 3	-0.11990-0.12095	-0.18541
02/26/2021 01:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Konyaspor	42.8% 31.2%	26.0%	+200 +153 +225 +155	0 0	-0.69678-0.70048	-0.70566
02/26/2021 01:00 PM	Yeni Malatyaspor Genclerbirligi	41.3% 32.1%	26.6%	+129 +230 +120 +225	1 1	-0.70974-0.71206	-0.70106

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.