Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Orig.
Draw %
Closing
ML
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Kayserispor
Fenerbahce
11.6%
71.2%
17.2%
+1000
-526
+1250
-600
3.20
o3½+100
u3½-115

2nd H
62:00
1
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kayserispor
Konyaspor
28.7%
46.3%
24.9%
+440
-156
+420
-155
0
2
-0.54820-0.54977-0.76977
Kasımpaşa
Rizespor
36.0%
39.5%
24.5%
+140
+201
+145
+185
1
2
-1.14825-1.09910-0.92938
Kayserispor
Alanyaspor
17.7%
64.5%
17.8%
+475
-160
+460
-185
3
6
-0.50713-0.48085-0.43903
Gaziantep FK
Hatayspor
30.5%
46.7%
22.8%
+330
-115
+340
-125
1
2
-0.66994-0.63609-0.76104
Fenerbahce
Trabzonspor
35.3%
40.7%
24.0%
+200
+144
+205
+140
1
3
-0.93283-0.92637-0.89993
Konyaspor
Galatasaray
19.3%
60.9%
19.7%
+450
-177
+540
-190
0
1
-0.50456-0.47119-0.49540
Goztepe
Kasımpaşa
38.3%
37.3%
24.5%
+254
+100
+230
+115
2
1
-1.31834-1.24258-0.96043
Antalyaspor
Sivasspor
30.4%
44.4%
25.2%
+345
-110
+360
-130
2
2
-1.32693-1.35985-1.37856
Besiktas
Trabzonspor
39.2%
36.6%
24.1%
+156
+165
+150
+170
2
3
-1.02304-1.04401-1.00438
Galatasaray
Rizespor
58.1%
21.6%
20.2%
-141
+380
-145
+375
3
2
-0.57793-0.56694-0.54263
Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahce
22.4%
59.4%
18.2%
+485
-190
+510
-185
1
2
-0.47684-0.48203-0.52093
Hatayspor
Yeni Malatyaspor
49.2%
28.2%
22.7%
+135
+205
+120
+230
2
0
-0.91018-0.83884-0.70981
Sivasspor
Besiktas
24.9%
54.1%
21.0%
+251
+110
+255
+110
1
2
-0.78691-0.79264-0.61463
Trabzonspor
Kayserispor
56.5%
22.8%
20.8%
+110
+260
+100
+275
2
1
-0.78244-0.74421-0.57155
Alanyaspor
Konyaspor
50.8%
26.1%
23.1%
+192
+148
+195
+145
1
1
-1.24150-1.24289-1.46547
Trabzonspor
Karagumruk
39.3%
36.1%
24.6%
+167
+163
+160
+170
1
3
-1.00509-1.04120-1.01957
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.02090 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.13206 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.59361
0.42729
0.53845

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.