Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 32 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/05/2022 01:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Goztepe	28.5% 46.5%	25.0%	+211 +135 +200 +135	3 2	-1.16690-1.15024	-1.25569
02/28/2022 05:00 PM	Fenerbahce Kasımpaşa	57.7% 20.7%	21.6%	+166 +169 +165 +155	2 1	-1.00422-1.02449	-0.55012
02/27/2022 04:00 PM	Rizespor Galatasaray	10.9% 71.9%	17.2%	+559 -188 +550 -200	2 4	-0.44774-0.45463	-0.32930
02/27/2022 01:00 PM	Konyaspor Alanyaspor	15.4% 63.8%	20.8%	+225 +131 +200 +135	1 5	-0.85545-0.90604	-0.44961
02/27/2022 01:00 PM	Yeni Malatyaspor Hatayspor	17.2% 62.1%	20.7%	+457 -147 +440 -160	2 5	-0.54273-0.53785	-0.47644
02/26/2022 04:00 PM	Besiktas Sivasspor	50.7% 24.9%	24.4%	+177 +184 +175 +165	3 2	-1.04415-1.05912	-0.67940
02/26/2022 01:00 PM	Karagumruk Trabzonspor	27.0% 48.1%	24.8%	+440 -155 +430 -155	2 1	-1.72266-1.71925	-1.30807
02/25/2022 05:00 PM	Kayserispor Trabzonspor	11.8% 70.2%	17.9%	+570 -183 +580 -200	2 3	-0.46091-0.45871	-0.35351
02/22/2022 05:00 PM	Konyaspor Trabzonspor	16.8% 61.9%	21.3%	+373 -104 +350 -115	1 2	-0.67984-0.67566	-0.47902
02/21/2022 05:00 PM	Galatasaray Goztepe	58.2% 19.1%	22.6%	+163 +184 +155 +180	3 2	-0.98567-0.98709	-0.54056
02/20/2022 04:00 PM	Hatayspor Fenerbahce	33.1% 41.5%	25.4%	+310 -105 +305 -115	0 2	-0.68476-0.67647	-0.88051
02/20/2022 01:00 PM	Sivasspor Karagumruk	28.4% 45.5%	26.1%	+175 +170 +175 +160	0 1	-1.03685-1.00550	-0.78728
02/20/2022 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Alanyaspor	30.6% 43.2%	26.2%	+176 +172 +170 +160	4 0	-1.03322-1.04537	-1.18492
02/19/2022 10:30 AM	Antalyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor	33.7% 38.2%	28.1%	+121 +257 +115 +245	2 1	-0.82021-0.81758	-1.08827
02/18/2022 05:00 PM	Trabzonspor Rizespor	58.0% 19.7%	22.3%	-112 +364 -110 +300	2 0	-0.66097-0.69693	-0.54547
02/18/2022 05:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Konyaspor	30.6% 43.0%	26.4%	+268 +112 +275 +100	4 4	-1.30192-1.30383	-1.33268

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.