Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 6 hr ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/19/2021 04:00 PM	Fenerbahce Trabzonspor	35.3% 40.7%	24.0%	+135 +203 +130 +225	0 2	-1.14668-1.22762	-0.89993
09/19/2021 01:00 PM	Alanyaspor Galatasaray	31.4% 43.7%	24.9%	+534 -205 +615 -220	1 0	-1.89952-2.01553	-1.15967
09/18/2021 04:00 PM	Besiktas Antalyaspor	52.4% 25.9%	21.7%	+133 +191 +135 +195	3 2	-0.90047-0.90342	-0.64678
09/18/2021 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Kasımpaşa	51.8% 26.7%	21.5%	-132 +360 -140 +355	1 0	-0.60517-0.58781	-0.65751
09/18/2021 10:30 AM	Gaziantep FK Sivasspor	37.3% 37.6%	25.0%	+300 -105 +290 +100	1 1	-1.25713-1.27307	-1.38434
09/17/2021 05:00 PM	Karagumruk Yeni Malatyaspor	43.6% 32.0%	24.4%	+165 +155 +175 +150	4 3	-1.02756-1.05976	-0.82995
09/13/2021 05:00 PM	Antalyaspor Gaziantep FK	28.6% 48.0%	23.4%	+200 +135 +230 +125	0 2	-0.91447-0.86022	-0.73324
08/29/2021 04:15 PM	Galatasaray Kasımpaşa	57.3% 22.6%	20.0%	-125 +336 -130 +350	2 2	-1.38589-1.38438	-1.60814
08/29/2021 04:15 PM	Goztepe Sivasspor	30.7% 44.8%	24.5%	+257 +114 +275 +110	2 2	-1.27916-1.22799	-1.40621
08/28/2021 06:45 PM	Alanyaspor Hatayspor	36.3% 39.2%	24.5%	+210 +131 +220 +130	0 5	-0.86848-0.88642	-0.93660
08/28/2021 06:45 PM	Karagumruk Besiktas	27.7% 50.7%	21.6%	+450 -182 +500 -200	0 1	-0.49494-0.45722	-0.67919
08/28/2021 04:15 PM	Gaziantep FK Yeni Malatyaspor	43.1% 32.6%	24.3%	+200 +156 +205 +150	0 2	-0.98548-0.96551	-1.12202
08/28/2021 04:15 PM	Kayserispor Trabzonspor	18.8% 63.0%	18.2%	+508 -164 +500 -170	1 0	-1.84947-1.84314	-1.67121
08/27/2021 05:30 PM	Rizespor Antalyaspor	30.5% 44.9%	24.7%	+282 +105 +310 -110	2 3	-0.74335-0.69485	-0.80089
08/23/2021 06:45 PM	Hatayspor Galatasaray	30.5% 45.7%	23.8%	+543 -225 +600 -230	1 2	-0.42656-0.41015	-0.78329
08/23/2021 04:15 PM	Sivasspor Trabzonspor	27.9% 48.7%	23.4%	+449 -161 +475 -165	1 2	-0.52743-0.52231	-0.71922

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	2	1-1-0 (0.500)	0	-0.63088
Sportsbooks	2	1-1-0 (0.500)	0	-0.66865
DRatings	2	2-0-0 (1.000)	0	-0.46658	0.16430 0.20207

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.