Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 32 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
01/09/2022 04:00 PM	Besiktas Rizespor	58.2% 22.7%	19.1%	+133 +201 +130 +205	2 2	-1.28208-1.28953	-1.65559
01/09/2022 01:00 PM	Antalyaspor Goztepe	34.5% 40.0%	25.4%	+225 +128 +245 +115	0 4	-0.86800-0.81758	-0.91542
01/09/2022 10:30 AM	Sivasspor Konyaspor	40.2% 33.7%	26.0%	+278 +110 +275 +105	1 0	-1.37702-1.37338	-0.91033
01/08/2022 01:00 PM	Hatayspor Kasımpaşa	52.4% 26.7%	20.9%	+280 -108 +205 +120	1 3	-0.69929-0.83979	-1.32092
01/08/2022 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Alanyaspor	33.3% 42.1%	24.6%	+125 +225 +125 +210	1 1	-1.29609-1.30416	-1.40234
01/08/2022 10:30 AM	Karagumruk Gaziantep FK	35.6% 40.1%	24.3%	+220 +125 +260 +105	1 3	-0.85668-0.76787	-0.91260
01/07/2022 05:00 PM	Yeni Malatyaspor Trabzonspor	23.7% 55.3%	20.9%	+871 -323 +800 -300	0 1	-0.31542-0.33798	-0.59178
12/27/2021 05:00 PM	Besiktas Konyaspor	54.5% 24.5%	21.0%	+160 +168 +160 +160	0 1	-1.02452-1.00518	-1.40756
12/27/2021 05:00 PM	Sivasspor Kayserispor	47.0% 28.4%	24.6%	+155 +194 +135 +210	0 3	-1.13482-1.18127	-1.25773
12/26/2021 04:00 PM	Yeni Malatyaspor Fenerbahce	23.8% 56.1%	20.1%	+732 -256 +830 -320	0 2	-0.36087-0.32191	-0.57818
12/26/2021 01:00 PM	Karagumruk Alanyaspor	29.5% 47.1%	23.4%	+241 +105 +250 +105	1 1	-1.34220-1.33094	-1.45209
12/26/2021 10:30 AM	Gaziantep FK Rizespor	47.0% 29.8%	23.2%	+157 +165 +165 +155	1 0	-1.01990-1.02449	-0.75445
12/25/2021 04:00 PM	Trabzonspor Trabzonspor	34.9% 40.5%	24.6%	+209 +135 +230 +120	0 0	-1.30748-1.27418	-1.40303
12/25/2021 01:00 PM	Antalyaspor Galatasaray	20.6% 58.9%	20.4%	+430 -139 +440 -150	0 2	-0.56768-0.56138	-0.52867
12/23/2021 05:00 PM	Goztepe Besiktas	21.8% 59.7%	18.5%	+525 -210 +560 -240	1 2	-0.43631-0.40040	-0.51604
12/23/2021 02:00 PM	Kayserispor Yeni Malatyaspor	28.4% 47.4%	24.3%	+205 +138 +210 +140	2 2	-1.24372-1.21362	-1.41589

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.