Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Yeni Malatyaspor
Rizespor
36.6%
35.7%
27.7%
+180
+157
+175
+155
4
0
-1.06349-1.06031-1.00395
Trabzonspor
Sivasspor
41.4%
32.1%
26.5%
+270
+117
+270
+110
0
0
-1.07420-1.07344-1.00874
Gaziantep FK
Kayserispor
50.7%
26.6%
22.7%
+265
+100
+260
+105
0
0
-1.04221-1.04940-1.00196
Fenerbahce
Ankaragucu
62.0%
21.1%
16.9%
-164
+415
-170
+410
2
1
-0.51589-0.51183-0.47815
Besiktas
Galatasaray
33.3%
40.5%
26.2%
+191
+145
+190
+140
1
3
-0.93611-0.92158-0.90337
Genclerbirligi
Karagumruk
21.8%
60.1%
18.1%
+235
+110
+230
+110
1
5
-0.79162-0.79025-0.50988
Konyaspor
Goztepe
32.1%
41.0%
26.9%
+194
+144
+195
+140
1
0
-1.11908-1.13038-1.13647
Denizlispor
Hatayspor
17.2%
68.7%
14.1%
+914
-357
+900
-350
0
1
-0.29158-0.30171-0.37557
Kasımpaşa
Erzurum BB
37.5%
34.6%
27.9%
+173
+168
+170
+160
1
0
-1.04069-1.04120-0.97974
Antalyaspor
Trabzonspor
24.6%
54.0%
21.4%
+388
-129
+410
-135
1
2
-0.61889-0.60150-0.61704
Erzurum BB
Fenerbahce
19.3%
64.4%
16.4%
+822
-303
+775
-300
1
3
-0.32397-0.33598-0.44068
Sivasspor
Gaziantep FK
31.7%
42.4%
25.8%
+136
+199
+135
+200
1
0
-0.91128-0.90199-1.14810
Ankaragucu
Trabzonspor
17.4%
68.3%
14.3%
+336
-111
+375
-140
1
2
-0.68661-0.59122-0.38129
Kayserispor
Yeni Malatyaspor
28.1%
46.9%
25.0%
+248
+121
+205
+135
1
1
-1.05176-1.03539-1.01332
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa
53.7%
25.4%
20.9%
+159
+178
+120
+210
0
3
-1.05832-1.18123-1.36932
Galatasaray
Genclerbirligi
64.4%
19.1%
16.5%
-196
+500
-200
+525
2
0
-0.45698-0.45319-0.44069
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.63088 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.66865 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.46658
0.16430
0.20207

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.