Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Goztepe
Antalyaspor		33.6%
39.1%		27.4%
+226
+120
+220
+120
3
2		-1.23001-1.21456-1.09213
Rizespor
Denizlispor		39.8%
32.6%		27.6%
+135
+201
+130
+200
1
0		-0.89160-0.88150-0.92155
Karagumruk
Konyaspor		43.4%
30.7%		25.9%
+226
+124
+225
+120
1
5		-0.86116-0.83924-1.18052
Hatayspor
Besiktas		31.3%
44.8%		24.0%
+484
-189
+500
-200
0
7		-0.47055-0.45495-0.80408
Gaziantep FK
Ankaragucu		54.7%
24.5%		20.8%
+221
+122
+240
+110
1
0		-1.21285-1.27447-0.60312
Fenerbahce
Alanyaspor		33.0%
41.3%		25.7%
+115
+220
+120
+220
0
0		-1.00833-1.02339-0.99600
Yeni Malatyaspor
Sivasspor		29.2%
45.4%		25.4%
+306
-101
+330
-110
0
1		-0.73021-0.69589-0.79063
Trabzonspor
Erzurum BB		56.1%
22.9%		21.0%
+159
+189
+130
+230
2
1		-1.00005-0.88201-0.57818
Besiktas
Rizespor		58.8%
23.0%		18.2%
-167
+433
-185
+480
3
2		-0.51083-0.48229-0.53067
Konyaspor
Galatasaray		19.8%
62.3%		18.0%
+613
-233
+650
-250
0
1		-0.39821-0.38687-0.47387
Trabzonspor
Goztepe		47.1%
29.0%		24.0%
+114
+248
+120
+225
1
1		-1.03883-1.03435-0.99619
Denizlispor
Kayserispor		30.6%
41.8%		27.6%
+298
-106
+390
-145
3
6		-0.70712-0.57552-0.87206
Genclerbirligi
Hatayspor		18.9%
66.5%		14.6%
+305
-109
+300
-120
1
3		-0.67554-0.65670-0.40812
Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahce		22.7%
60.0%		17.3%
+390
-156
+400
-160
2
3		-0.54292-0.53495-0.51051
Erzurum BB
Gaziantep FK		22.6%
57.3%		20.1%
+207
+140
+215
+130
3
2		-1.16610-1.20121-1.48824
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor		35.2%
37.6%		27.2%
+182
+151
+195
+140
0
0		-1.02539-1.02720-1.01158
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.63088 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.66865 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.46658
0.16430
0.20207

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.