Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 17, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Gaziantep FK
Fenerbahce 		26.2%
49.9%		23.8%
+1000
-417
+1050
-450
1.18
1.72		2.90
o3-138
u3¼-112

Games for Mar 16, 2026
Games for Mar 18, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Galatasaray
Kayserispor		61.6%
19.0%		19.4%
-110
+295
-120
+320
0
3		-1.41576-1.48408-1.66010
Hatayspor
Goztepe		48.0%
29.2%		22.7%
+200
+130
+210
+130
2
0		-1.15027-1.18159-0.73322
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK		40.0%
35.6%		24.4%
+173
+170
+165
+180
0
1		-1.05082-1.08028-1.03162
Sivasspor
Yeni Malatyaspor		39.8%
34.6%		25.7%
+157
+175
+165
+180
1
0		-0.99474-1.02521-0.92218
Antalyaspor
Karagumruk		28.1%
48.5%		23.4%
+295
-115
+330
-120
0
0		-1.38494-1.34542-1.45132
Kayserispor
Hatayspor		18.8%
63.7%		17.5%
+355
-128
+375
-145
1
2		-0.61678-0.57556-0.45144
Fenerbahce
Trabzonspor		35.3%
40.7%		24.0%
+135
+203
+130
+225
0
2		-1.14668-1.22762-0.89993
Alanyaspor
Galatasaray		31.4%
43.7%		24.9%
+534
-205
+615
-220
1
0		-1.89952-2.01553-1.15967
Besiktas
Antalyaspor		52.4%
25.9%		21.7%
+133
+191
+135
+195
3
2		-0.90047-0.90342-0.64678
Trabzonspor
Kasımpaşa		51.8%
26.7%		21.5%
-132
+360
-140
+355
1
0		-0.60517-0.58781-0.65751
Gaziantep FK
Sivasspor		37.3%
37.6%		25.0%
+300
-105
+290
+100
1
1		-1.25713-1.27307-1.38434
Karagumruk
Yeni Malatyaspor		43.6%
32.0%		24.4%
+165
+155
+175
+150
4
3		-1.02756-1.05976-0.82995
Antalyaspor
Gaziantep FK		28.6%
48.0%		23.4%
+200
+135
+230
+125
0
2		-0.91447-0.86022-0.73324
Galatasaray
Kasımpaşa		57.3%
22.6%		20.0%
-125
+336
-130
+350
2
2		-1.38589-1.38438-1.60814
Goztepe
Sivasspor		30.7%
44.8%		24.5%
+257
+114
+275
+110
2
2		-1.27916-1.22799-1.40621
Alanyaspor
Hatayspor		36.3%
39.2%		24.5%
+210
+131
+220
+130
0
5		-0.86848-0.88642-0.93660
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.51370 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.53582 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.34961
0.16409
0.18621

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.