Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Galatasaray
Karagumruk		44.3%
31.2%		24.5%
+114
+212
+110
+235
1
1		-1.38470-1.33211-1.40727
Konyaspor
Goztepe		32.8%
41.9%		25.3%
+195
+147
+195
+145
2
0		-1.11991-1.13075-1.11499
Trabzonspor
Besiktas		31.4%
45.4%		23.2%
+245
+100
+270
-110
2
1		-1.29135-1.35759-1.15839
Trabzonspor
Yeni Malatyaspor		48.6%
28.2%		23.2%
+119
+225
+115
+250
3
1		-0.83349-0.81792-0.72103
Kasımpaşa
Gaziantep FK		26.3%
52.8%		20.9%
+175
+155
+180
+150
0
2		-0.98481-0.96627-0.63837
Alanyaspor
Rizespor		54.4%
24.3%		21.3%
+125
+207
+125
+210
0
2		-1.16851-1.18280-1.41420
Rizespor
Trabzonspor		21.4%
59.5%		19.1%
+600
-225
+650
-240
1
2		-0.41241-0.39686-0.51945
Galatasaray
Besiktas		35.7%
39.6%		24.7%
+225
+120
+210
+120
1
2		-0.82257-0.83829-0.92675
Alanyaspor
Fenerbahce		36.4%
39.3%		24.3%
+280
-110
+310
-125
2
1		-1.38657-1.46227-1.01049
Trabzonspor
Antalyaspor		47.1%
29.0%		23.9%
+145
+185
+155
+200
2
1		-0.95373-0.98808-0.75360
Hatayspor
Karagumruk		39.7%
36.1%		24.2%
+199
+119
+205
+120
1
1		-1.38782-1.36967-1.41964
Trabzonspor
Goztepe		47.5%
29.2%		23.3%
+123
+225
+120
+230
1
0		-0.84220-0.83884-0.74423
Kayserispor
Konyaspor		28.7%
46.3%		24.9%
+440
-156
+420
-155
0
2		-0.54820-0.54977-0.76977
Kasımpaşa
Rizespor		36.0%
39.5%		24.5%
+140
+201
+145
+185
1
2		-1.14825-1.09910-0.92938
Kayserispor
Alanyaspor		17.7%
64.5%		17.8%
+475
-160
+460
-185
3
6		-0.50713-0.48085-0.43903
Gaziantep FK
Hatayspor		30.5%
46.7%		22.8%
+330
-115
+340
-125
1
2		-0.66994-0.63609-0.76104
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.07116 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.05308 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.90858
0.16259
0.14451

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.