UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+112
-130
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Marc-Andre Barriault
Michal Oleksiejczuk		30.9%
69.1%
+385
-460
+425
-450
Loss
Win		-0.22396-0.20929-0.36924
Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley		54.1%
45.9%
+185
-220
+190
-220
Loss
Win		-0.41235-0.40651-0.77812
Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva		50.0%
50.0%
+270
-265
+240
-270
Loss
Win		-0.31645-0.33865-0.69315
Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov		51.6%
48.4%
-130
+115
-130
+110
Loss
Win		-0.79536-0.78250-0.72540
Petr Yan
Merab Dvalishvili		90.3%
9.7%
+310
-385
+335
-360
Win
Loss		-1.44800-1.48259-0.10232
Karine Silva
Maycee Barber		50.0%
50.0%
+185
-215
+210
-220
Loss
Win		-0.41480-0.38472-0.69315
Edson Barboza
Jalin Turner		81.4%
18.6%
+375
-490
+400
-450
Loss
Win		-0.22593-0.21869-1.68018
Dan Hooker
Arman Tsarukyan		58.3%
41.7%
+585
-800
+600
-800
Loss
Win		-0.15207-0.14903-0.87361
Alonzo Menifield
Volkan Oezdemir		30.8%
69.2%
+180
-205
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.41146-0.36817
Valentina Shevchenko
Zhang Weili		40.1%
59.9%
-133
+129
-135
+125
Win
Loss		-0.56815-0.57304-0.91349
Tracy Cortez
Erin Blanchfield		50.0%
50.0%
+320
-350
+330
-320
Loss
Win		-0.26707-0.26639-0.69315
Gerald Meerschaert
Kyle Daukaus		76.1%
23.9%
+390
-435
+400
-435
Loss
Win		-0.22394-0.21992-1.43284
Ricky Simon
Raoni Barcelos		18.3%
81.7%
-184
+168
-190
+175
Loss
Win		-1.00663-1.03022-0.20229
Norma Dumont
Ketlen Vieira		10.5%
89.5%
-159
+139
-160
+145
Win
Loss		-0.51972-0.50878-2.25742
Mackenzie Dern
Virna Jandiroba		68.6%
31.4%
-145
+125
-140
+125
Win
Loss		-0.56016-0.56639-0.37694
Marlon Vera
Aiemann Zahabi		79.7%
20.3%
+115
-130
+115
-130
Loss
Win		-0.60042-0.60042-1.59347
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.22396 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.20929 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.36924
-0.14528
-0.15995

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.