UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for April 11, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Dominick Reyes
Johnny Walker 		77.1%
22.9%
-120
+100

Tatiana Suarez
Loopy Godinez 		50.0%
50.0%
-145
+125

Kelvin Gastelum
Vicente Luque 		23.2%
76.8%
-225
+190

Fights for Apr 10, 2026
Fights for Jun 14, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Maycee Barber
Alexa Grasso		66.7%
33.3%
-188
+170
-180
+175
Loss
Win		-1.01614-1.01807-1.10018
Niko Price
Michael Chiesa		53.6%
46.4%
+675
-875
+750
-1150
Loss
Win		-0.13433-0.12034-0.76875
Lerone Murphy
Movsar Evloev		64.5%
35.5%
+215
-250
+210
-245
Loss
Win		-0.36772-0.37449-1.03631
Gillian Robertson
Amanda Lemos		50.0%
50.0%
-235
+210
-240
+210
Win
Loss		-0.37834-0.37637-0.69315
Eryk Anders
Brad Tavares		34.0%
66.0%
-125
+115
-135
+115
Win
Loss		-0.60825-0.59314-1.07902
Charles Oliveira
Max Holloway		23.0%
77.0%
+170
-187
+190
-200
Win
Loss		-1.01495-1.07614-1.47050
Michael Johnson
Drew Dober		44.7%
55.3%
+170
-200
+180
-130
Loss
Win		-0.44183-0.48972-0.59298
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj		76.1%
23.9%
-130
+120
-140
+125
Win
Loss		-0.59012-0.56639-0.27316
Marc-Andre Barriault
Michal Oleksiejczuk		30.9%
69.1%
+385
-460
+425
-450
Loss
Win		-0.22396-0.20929-0.36924
Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley		54.1%
45.9%
+185
-220
+190
-220
Loss
Win		-0.41235-0.40651-0.77812
Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva		50.0%
50.0%
+270
-265
+240
-270
Loss
Win		-0.31645-0.33865-0.69315
Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov		51.6%
48.4%
-130
+115
-130
+110
Loss
Win		-0.79536-0.78250-0.72540
Petr Yan
Merab Dvalishvili		90.3%
9.7%
+310
-385
+335
-360
Win
Loss		-1.44800-1.48259-0.10232
Karine Silva
Maycee Barber		50.0%
50.0%
+185
-215
+210
-220
Loss
Win		-0.41480-0.38472-0.69315
Edson Barboza
Jalin Turner		81.4%
18.6%
+375
-490
+400
-450
Loss
Win		-0.22593-0.21869-1.68018
Dan Hooker
Arman Tsarukyan		58.3%
41.7%
+585
-800
+600
-800
Loss
Win		-0.15207-0.14903-0.87361
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.57524 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.56920 
DRatings20-2 (0.000)0-0.93446
-0.35923
-0.36526

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.