UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for September 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Sep 19, 2025
Fights for Sep 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Diego Ferreira
Alexander Hernandez		75.8%
24.2%
-104
-115
-101
+100
Loss
Win		-0.66943-0.69563-1.41931
Amanda Lemos
Tatiana Suarez		50.0%
50.0%
+325
-400
+375
-400
Loss
Win		-0.25783-0.23362-0.69315
Paul Craig
Modestas Bukauskas		29.1%
70.9%
+285
-350
+310
-330
Loss
Win		-0.28815-0.27598-0.34327
Brian Ortega
Aljamain Sterling		44.8%
55.2%
+395
-510
+400
-450
Loss
Win		-0.21643-0.21869-0.59337
Gerald Meerschaert
Michal Oleksiejczuk		54.9%
45.1%
+180
-205
+180
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.42344-0.79589
Chase Hooper
Alexander Hernandez		23.5%
76.5%
-360
+300
-360
+325
Loss
Win		-1.41840-1.46469-0.26750
Roman Dolidze
Anthony Hernandez		84.6%
15.4%
+300
-350
+310
-340
Loss
Win		-0.27871-0.27432-1.86769
Priscila Cachoeira
Joselyne Edwards		50.0%
50.0%
+345
-415
+330
-380
Loss
Win		-0.24598-0.25755-0.69315
Bryce Mitchell
Said Nurmagomedov		37.2%
62.8%
-138
+129
-140
+130
Win
Loss		-0.56140-0.55696-0.98776
Tabatha Ricci
Amanda Ribas		50.0%
50.0%
+160
-185
+165
-180
Win
Loss		-0.98867-0.99458-0.69315
Max Holloway
Dustin Poirier		58.8%
41.2%
-120
+113
-120
+110
Win
Loss		-0.62096-0.62755-0.53071
Daniel Rodriguez
Kevin Holland		74.4%
25.6%
+460
-625
+450
-575
Win
Loss		-1.76259-1.73784-0.29570
Marcin Prachnio
Jimmy Crute		21.2%
78.8%
+300
-400
+330
-400
Loss
Win		-0.27194-0.25519-0.23771
Kai Kara-France
Alexandre Pantoja		38.8%
61.2%
+235
-270
+225
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34293-0.35489-0.49057
Jamahal Hill
Khalil Rountree Jr.		79.4%
20.6%
-130
+122
-130
+120
Loss
Win		-0.81306-0.80802-1.57915
Kamaru Usman
Joaquin Buckley		97.2%
2.8%
+205
-195
+180
-200
Win
Loss		-1.10398-1.05317-0.02844
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.46363 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.46462 
DRatings20-1 (0.250)1-1.05623
-0.59260
-0.59160

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.