UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 5, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington 		68.2%
31.8%
+163
-185
+170
-180
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson 		17.0%
83.0%
-185
+165
-180
+170
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo 		22.8%
77.2%
-168
+150
-160
+155
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze 		22.9%
77.1%
-165
+145
-170
+165
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira 		50.0%
50.0%
-650
+475
-650
+555
Court McGee
Tim Means 		36.9%
63.1%
+195
-230
+190
-215
Fights for Oct 4, 2024
Fights for Oct 6, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Clay Guida
Bobby Green		33.6%
66.4%
+220
-250
+240
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35539-0.33680-0.40959
Oskar Piechota
Marc-Andre Barriault		95.4%
4.6%
+110
-120
+110
-122
Loss
Win		-0.62618-0.62235-3.07977
Roxanne Modafferi
Lauren Murphy		58.7%
41.3%
+105
-117
+109
-120
Loss
Win		-0.64304-0.62831-0.88368
Cynthia Calvillo
Jessica Eye		50.0%
50.0%
-146
+130
-140
+135
Win
Loss		-0.54583-0.54663-0.69315
Karl Roberson
Marvin Vettori		37.9%
62.1%
+184
-200
+190
-215
Loss
Win		-0.41965-0.40218-0.47673
Charles Rosa
Kevin Aguilar		49.5%
50.5%
+140
-153
+150
-160
Win
Loss		-0.90150-0.93570-0.70354
Charles Jourdain
Andre Fili		46.5%
53.5%
+191
-220
+200
-220
Loss
Win		-0.39760-0.38995-0.62564
Gina Mazany
Julia Avila		2.3%
97.7%
+500
-640
+500
-640
Loss
Win		-0.16358-0.16358-0.02348

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.