UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Glover Teixeira
Thiago Santos		62.4%
37.6%
+204
-235
+205
-230
Win
Loss		-1.15922-1.15376-0.47162
Andrei Arlovski
Tanner Boser		42.4%
57.6%
+320
-365
+335
-360
Win
Loss		-1.48470-1.49772-0.85849
Khalid Taha
Raoni Barcelos		4.3%
95.7%
+345
-400
+325
-380
Loss
Win		-0.23871-0.25078-0.04389
Trevin Giles
Bevon Lewis		83.7%
16.3%
-115
+105
-110
+105
Win
Loss		-0.64714-0.65778-0.17755
Ramiz Brahimaj
Max Griffin		42.3%
57.7%
+128
-145
+120
-135
Loss
Win		-0.55057-0.57989-0.54913
Anderson Silva
Uriah Hall		42.5%
57.5%
+234
-225
+232
-260
Loss
Win		-0.36174-0.34177-0.55304
Andre Fili
Bryce Mitchell		43.5%
56.5%
+135
-119
+110
-120
Loss
Win		-0.58173-0.62618-0.57088
Maurice Greene
Greg Hardy		43.8%
56.2%
+300
-305
+290
-340
Loss
Win		-0.28562-0.27686-0.57536
Cole Williams
Jason Witt		66.8%
33.2%
+155
-145
+170
-170
Loss
Win		-0.51109-0.46262-1.10193
Justin Gaethje
Khabib Nurmagomedov		19.7%
80.3%
+240
-275
+250
-280
Loss
Win		-0.32905-0.32080-0.21898
Jared Cannonier
Robert Whittaker		28.5%
71.5%
-120
+100
-114
+105
Loss
Win		-0.73965-0.73909-0.33533
Walt Harris
Alexander Volkov		27.7%
72.3%
+158
-180
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46580-0.45216-0.32490
Ion Cutelaba
Magomed Ankalaev		42.2%
57.8%
+320
-360
+300
-330
Loss
Win		-0.25843-0.27612-0.54749
Tai Tuivasa
Stefan Struve		49.0%
51.0%
-152
+140
-150
+140
Win
Loss		-0.52214-0.52482-0.71380
Liana Jojua
Miranda Maverick		50.0%
50.0%
+325
-380
+350
-380
Loss
Win		-0.25078-0.24242-0.69315
Joel Alvarez
Alexander Yakovlev		77.8%
22.2%
-182
+160
-165
+160
Win
Loss		-0.46143-0.47963-0.25113
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.