UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+115
-135
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Joseph Benavidez
Deiveson Figueiredo		45.2%
54.8%
+200
-220
+210
-220
Loss
Win		-0.38995-0.38205-0.60212
Jack Hermansson
Kelvin Gastelum		46.8%
53.2%
-110
+100
-105
+100
Win
Loss		-0.66963-0.68102-0.75845
Nad Narimani
Grant Dawson		14.2%
85.8%
+255
-300
+270
-295
Loss
Win		-0.30903-0.30342-0.15357
Brett Johns
Montel Jackson		49.1%
50.9%
+230
-250
+235
-260
Win
Loss		-1.22292-1.24431-0.71125
Davi Ramos
Arman Tsarukyan		12.5%
87.5%
+220
-245
+210
-230
Loss
Win		-0.35836-0.37513-0.13319
Dan Ige
Calvin Kattar		41.3%
58.7%
+230
-235
+220
-245
Loss
Win		-0.35778-0.35836-0.53355
Ryan Benoit
Tim Elliott		57.8%
42.2%
+143
-150
+143
-160
Loss
Win		-0.52047-0.50761-0.86218
Jimmie Rivera
Cody Stamann		65.9%
34.1%
-114
-105
-105
+100
Win
Loss		-0.67285-0.68102-0.41770
Taila Santos
Molly McCann		50.0%
50.0%
+180
-160
+175
-190
Win
Loss		-0.99188-1.03781-0.69315
Jared Gordon
Chris Fishgold		45.1%
54.9%
-148
+130
-135
+130
Win
Loss		-0.54302-0.56240-0.79562
Jorge Masvidal
Kamaru Usman		13.3%
86.7%
+238
-260
+245
-260
Loss
Win		-0.33802-0.33382-0.14283
Jose Aldo
Petr Yan		26.0%
74.0%
+215
-245
+240
-240
Loss
Win		-0.36192-0.34831-0.30139
Jessica Andrade
Rose Namajunas		43.6%
56.4%
+195
-210
+200
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40164-0.39742-0.57318
Paige VanZant
Amanda Ribas		19.9%
80.1%
+535
-640
+550
-650
Loss
Win		-0.15819-0.15501-0.22218
Danny Henry
Makwan Amirkhani		50.4%
49.6%
+160
-185
+175
-180
Loss
Win		-0.45847-0.44690-0.70138
Dan Hooker
Dustin Poirier		26.6%
73.4%
+195
-223
+195
-220
Loss
Win		-0.39199-0.39414-0.30891
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.