UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for September 6, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Paul Craig
Modestas Bukauskas
29.1%
70.9%
+250
-285
+275
-300
Fights for Sep 5, 2025
Fights for Sep 7, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oskar Piechota
Marc-Andre Barriault
95.4%
4.6%
+110
-120
+110
-122
Loss
Win
-0.62618-0.62235-3.07977
Roxanne Modafferi
Lauren Murphy
58.7%
41.3%
+105
-117
+109
-120
Loss
Win
-0.64304-0.62831-0.88368
Cynthia Calvillo
Jessica Eye
50.0%
50.0%
-146
+130
-140
+135
Win
Loss
-0.54583-0.54663-0.69315
Karl Roberson
Marvin Vettori
37.9%
62.1%
+184
-200
+190
-215
Loss
Win
-0.41965-0.40218-0.47673
Charles Rosa
Kevin Aguilar
49.5%
50.5%
+140
-153
+150
-160
Win
Loss
-0.90150-0.93570-0.70354
Charles Jourdain
Andre Fili
46.5%
53.5%
+191
-220
+200
-220
Loss
Win
-0.39760-0.38995-0.62564
Gina Mazany
Julia Avila
2.3%
97.7%
+500
-640
+500
-640
Loss
Win
-0.16358-0.16358-0.02348

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.21643 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.21869 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.59337
-0.37694
-0.37468

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.