UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for September 6, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Paul Craig
Modestas Bukauskas 		29.1%
70.9%
+255
-300

Fights for Aug 23, 2025
Fights for Sep 7, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Gerald Meerschaert
Michal Oleksiejczuk		54.9%
45.1%
+180
-205
+180
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.42344-0.79589
Chase Hooper
Alexander Hernandez		23.5%
76.5%
-360
+300
-360
+325
Loss
Win		-1.41840-1.46469-0.26750
Roman Dolidze
Anthony Hernandez		84.6%
15.4%
+300
-350
+310
-340
Loss
Win		-0.27871-0.27432-1.86769
Priscila Cachoeira
Joselyne Edwards		50.0%
50.0%
+345
-415
+330
-380
Loss
Win		-0.24598-0.25755-0.69315
Bryce Mitchell
Said Nurmagomedov		37.2%
62.8%
-138
+129
-140
+130
Win
Loss		-0.56140-0.55696-0.98776
Tabatha Ricci
Amanda Ribas		50.0%
50.0%
+160
-185
+165
-180
Win
Loss		-0.98867-0.99458-0.69315
Max Holloway
Dustin Poirier		58.8%
41.2%
-120
+113
-120
+110
Win
Loss		-0.62096-0.62755-0.53071
Daniel Rodriguez
Kevin Holland		74.4%
25.6%
+460
-625
+450
-575
Win
Loss		-1.76259-1.73784-0.29570
Marcin Prachnio
Jimmy Crute		21.2%
78.8%
+300
-400
+330
-400
Loss
Win		-0.27194-0.25519-0.23771
Kai Kara-France
Alexandre Pantoja		38.8%
61.2%
+235
-270
+225
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34293-0.35489-0.49057
Jamahal Hill
Khalil Rountree Jr.		79.4%
20.6%
-130
+122
-130
+120
Loss
Win		-0.81306-0.80802-1.57915
Kamaru Usman
Joaquin Buckley		97.2%
2.8%
+205
-195
+180
-200
Win
Loss		-1.10398-1.05317-0.02844
Miranda Maverick
Rose Namajunas		50.0%
50.0%
+230
-250
+280
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35364-0.31686-0.69315
Raoni Barcelos
Cody Garbrandt		75.7%
24.3%
-260
+227
-270
+250
Win
Loss		-0.35307-0.33041-0.27810
Court McGee
Michael Chiesa		21.8%
78.2%
+290
-320
+320
-300
Loss
Win		-0.29008-0.27571-0.24573
Sean O'Malley
Merab Dvalishvili		70.3%
29.7%
+215
-225
+215
-240
Loss
Win		-0.37745-0.37138-1.21359
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.92228 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.94406 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.53170
0.39058
0.41237

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.