UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for July 11, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Max Holloway
Conor McGregor 		58.5%
41.5%
-450
+350
-400
+330
Mario Bautista
Cory Sandhagen 		23.5%
76.5%
+130
-150
+130
-150
Fights for Jun 14, 2026
Fights for Jul 12, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Raoni Barcelos
Montel Jackson		85.4%
14.6%
+180
-210
+180
-200
Win
Loss		-1.06360-1.05317-0.15815
Karine Silva
Jasmine Jasudavicius		50.0%
50.0%
+290
-315
+295
-330
Loss
Win		-0.29103-0.28509-0.69315
Dominick Reyes
Johnny Walker		77.1%
22.9%
-165
+155
-180
+165
Win
Loss		-0.48848-0.46185-0.25957
Tatiana Suarez
Loopy Godinez		50.0%
50.0%
-155
+135
-155
+135
Win
Loss		-0.53067-0.53067-0.69315
Kelvin Gastelum
Vicente Luque		23.2%
76.8%
-265
+225
-250
+230
Loss
Win		-1.21184-1.21110-0.26419
Maycee Barber
Alexa Grasso		66.7%
33.3%
-188
+170
-180
+175
Loss
Win		-1.01614-1.01807-1.10018
Niko Price
Michael Chiesa		53.6%
46.4%
+675
-875
+750
-1150
Loss
Win		-0.13433-0.12034-0.76875
Lerone Murphy
Movsar Evloev		64.5%
35.5%
+215
-250
+210
-245
Loss
Win		-0.36772-0.37449-1.03631
Gillian Robertson
Amanda Lemos		50.0%
50.0%
-235
+210
-240
+210
Win
Loss		-0.37834-0.37637-0.69315
Eryk Anders
Brad Tavares		34.0%
66.0%
-125
+115
-135
+115
Win
Loss		-0.60825-0.59314-1.07902
Charles Oliveira
Max Holloway		23.0%
77.0%
+170
-187
+190
-200
Win
Loss		-1.01495-1.07614-1.47050
Michael Johnson
Drew Dober		44.7%
55.3%
+170
-200
+180
-130
Loss
Win		-0.44183-0.48972-0.59298
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj		76.1%
23.9%
-130
+120
-140
+125
Win
Loss		-0.59012-0.56639-0.27316
Marc-Andre Barriault
Michal Oleksiejczuk		30.9%
69.1%
+385
-460
+425
-450
Loss
Win		-0.22396-0.20929-0.36924
Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley		54.1%
45.9%
+185
-220
+190
-220
Loss
Win		-0.41235-0.40651-0.77812
Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva		50.0%
50.0%
+270
-265
+240
-270
Loss
Win		-0.31645-0.33865-0.69315
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.