WNBA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlanta Dream (0-0)
New York Liberty (0-0)
39.4%
60.6%

+650
-1000
+12½-110
-12½-110
+12½-110
-12-110
72.1
75.7
147.8
o156½-110
u156½-110
o156-110
u156½-110
Seattle Storm (0-0)
Las Vegas Aces (0-0)
49.9%
50.1%

+350
-420
+8½-110
-8½-110
+9-110
-9-110
83.5
83.5
167.0
o161-110
u161-110
o160½-110
u161½-110
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Sparks
Atlanta Dream
74.8%
25.2%
+180
-180
+190
-200
+5½-110
-4-110
+5½-110
-5½-110
86
88
-0.44183-0.41690-1.37797
Las Vegas Aces
Dallas Wings
68.3%
31.7%
-340
+315
-400
+345
-7½-110
+8½-108
-8½-110
+9-110
80
82
-1.43670-1.51731-1.14967
Phoenix Mercury
Connecticut Sun
39.5%
60.5%
+580
-750
+645
-750
+13-108
-12-110
+13-110
-13-110
64
77
-0.15415-0.14161-0.50297
Minnesota Lynx
Seattle Storm
26.3%
73.7%
+230
-250
+230
-250
+6½-110
-5½-115
+6½-110
-6-110
77
89
-0.35364-0.35364-0.30488
Indiana Fever
Atlanta Dream
48.3%
51.7%
+400
-370
+400
-445
+10-110
-8½-110
+10-110
-9½-110
81
91
-0.22639-0.21909-0.66002
Los Angeles Sparks
New York Liberty
69.7%
30.3%
+235
-245
+240
-270
+7-110
-6-110
+7½-110
-7-110
61
64
-0.35091-0.33865-1.19455
Dallas Wings
Chicago Sky
34.0%
66.0%
+400
-450
+400
-475
+11½-110
-11-110
+11-110
-10½-110
84
78
-1.62745-1.63522-1.07881
Las Vegas Aces
Washington Mystics
46.5%
53.5%
-150
+140
-155
+150
-3-110
+3-105
-3-110
+3½-110
73
83
-0.89199-0.92410-0.62583
Phoenix Mercury
Connecticut Sun
39.5%
60.5%
+455
-575
+450
-570
+10½-110
-10-110
+10½-110
-10-110
63
87
-0.19188-0.19368-0.50297
Los Angeles Sparks
New York Liberty
69.7%
30.3%
+200
-210
+195
-220
+5-102
-5½-110
+5½-110
-5½-110
73
102
-0.40015-0.40084-1.19455
Minnesota Lynx
Los Angeles Sparks
27.0%
73.0%
-160
+145
-155
+145
-3½-110
+3½-110
-3-110
+3½-110
84
77
-0.50878-0.51371-1.31100
Seattle Storm
Washington Mystics
50.8%
49.2%
+140
-150
+135
-150
+3-105
-3-110
+3-110
-3-110
75
78
-0.52736-0.53604-0.70932
Las Vegas Aces
Indiana Fever
69.9%
30.1%
-2000
+1300
-2000
+1175
-17-110
+17½-110
-17½-110
+17½-110
94
69
-0.07232-0.07914-0.35799
Phoenix Mercury
New York Liberty
59.6%
40.4%
-110
+105
-120
+105
+0-110
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-110
69
89
-0.72940-0.75056-0.90525
Chicago Sky
Connecticut Sun
36.1%
63.9%
+165
-183
+170
-180
+4½-110
-4-110
+4-110
-4-110
95
92
-0.99826-1.00641-1.01879
Dallas Wings
Atlanta Dream
50.2%
49.8%
+105
-120
+110
-120
+2-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
81
68
-0.75056-0.76336-0.68981
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks44-0 (1.000)0-0.23520 
Sportsbooks44-0 (1.000)0-0.23144 
DRatings43-1 (0.750)0-0.56759
-0.33239
-0.33615

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the WNBA games that we provide above are at “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score of the game.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.