Manchester City at Real Madrid

Updated

Manchester City

57.5%22.9%19.5%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
1.80Projected Goals 0.95
3Final Score 3

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-3 vs FC Copenhagen-715
W 3-1 at FC Copenhagen-445
W 2-3 vs RB Leipzig-335
W 0-3 vs Young Boys-1750
W 3-1 at Young Boys-500
Real Madrid
Money Line
T 1-1 vs RB Leipzig-175
W 1-0 at RB Leipzig+130
W 2-4 vs Napoli-135
W 3-2 at Napoli+158
L 0-4 at Manchester City+430

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+132-+170+184-+184+184-
Real Madrid+195-+155+157-+157+157-
Draw+245-+245+240-+240+245-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+130-+178-+140+175+178-
Real Madrid+195-+154-+175+155+175-
Draw+260-+240-+245+240+245-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 50.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +164 to +158
Real Madrid ML moved from +170 to +155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 50.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +154 to +148
Real Madrid ML moved from +180 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-114-o2½-115o2½-115-o2½-115o2½-115-
Underu2¾-106-u2½-105u2½-105-u2½-105u2½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½-120o2½-120-o2½-130o2½-120o2½-120-
Underu2½+125u2½+100u2½+100-u2½+100u2½+100u2½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+125 to u2½+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.1%
 
No48.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.39%
Exactly 224.17%
Exactly 415.24%
Exactly 63.84%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.57%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 58.38%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 016.47%
Exactly 129.71%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 316.10%
Exactly 47.26%
Exactly 52.62%
Exactly 60.79%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 038.77%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.40%
Exactly 35.50%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.98%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 39.64%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 043.39%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 215.13%
Exactly 34.21%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 064.49%
Exactly 128.29%
Exactly 26.21%
Exactly 30.91%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals32.86%
Wins by 3+ goals15.14%
Wins by 4+ goals5.72%
Wins by 5+ goals1.80%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals6.58%
Wins by 3+ goals1.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Real Madrid
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.60%
Wins by 2 goals17.72%
Wins by 3 goals9.41%
Wins by 4 goals3.93%
Wins by 5 goals1.34%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal12.92%
Wins by 2 goals4.89%
Wins by 3 goals1.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.61%6.39%
1.576.04%23.96%
2.551.88%48.12%
3.529.72%70.28%
4.514.48%85.52%
5.56.09%93.91%
6.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.53%16.47%
1.553.82%46.18%
2.527.03%72.97%
3.510.93%89.07%
4.53.67%96.33%
5.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.23%38.77%
1.524.49%75.51%
2.57.09%92.91%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.02%27.98%
1.536.38%63.62%
2.513.69%86.31%
3.54.05%95.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Real Madrid
Score01234
0
6.39%
6.05%
2.87%
0.91%
0.21%
1
11.52%
10.91%
5.17%
1.63%
0.39%
2
10.39%
9.84%
4.66%
1.47%
0.35%
3
6.24%
5.92%
2.80%
0.89%
0.21%
4
2.81%
2.67%
1.26%
0.40%
0.09%
5
1.02%
0.96%
0.46%
0.14%
0.03%
Manchester City
1-011.52%
2-010.39%
2-19.84%
3-06.24%
3-15.92%
3-22.80%
4-02.81%
4-12.67%
4-21.26%
4-30.40%
5-01.02%
5-10.96%
5-20.46%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.39%
1-110.91%
2-24.66%
3-30.89%
Real Madrid
0-16.05%
0-22.87%
1-25.17%
0-30.91%
1-31.63%
2-31.47%
0-40.21%
1-40.39%
2-40.35%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Real Madrid
Score0123
0
27.98%
12.27%
2.69%
0.39%
1
23.36%
10.25%
2.25%
0.33%
2
9.75%
4.28%
0.94%
0.14%
3
2.71%
1.19%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.57%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-023.36%
2-09.75%
2-14.28%
3-02.71%
3-11.19%
3-20.26%
4-00.57%
4-10.25%
Draw
0-027.98%
1-110.25%
2-20.94%
Real Madrid
0-112.27%
0-22.69%
1-22.25%
0-30.39%
1-30.33%
2-30.14%