Atlético Madrid at Benfica

Updated 84 days ago

07:00 PM • Oct 2, 2024

Atlético Madrid

51.5%25.8%22.6%

Atlético Madrid WinDrawBenfica Win

1.53Projected Goals 0.91

0Final Score 4

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid		Money Line
W 1-2	9/19 vs RB Leipzig	-135
L 2-4	4/16 at Dortmund	+200
W 1-2	4/10 vs Dortmund	-125
W 0-2	12/13 vs Lazio	-160
W 0-6	11/07 vs Celtic	-275

Benfica		Money Line
W 1-5	3/07 vs Club Brugge	-288
W 2-0	2/15 at Club Brugge	-120
W 3-4	10/25 vs Juventus	+105
T 1-1	10/11 at Paris Saint-Germain	+575
T 1-1	10/05 vs Paris Saint-Germain	+275

Money Line Analysis

:3.0%:4.2%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+142	-	+165	+173	-	+173	+173	-
Benfica	+206	-	+160	+170	-	+170	+170	-
Draw	+223	-	+240	+235	-	+235	+240	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+140	-	+164	-	+160	+170	+170	-
Benfica	+202	-	+172	-	+155	+170	+172	-
Draw	+222	-	+227	-	+220	+225	+227	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%

Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Benfica: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +165 to +15010/02/2024
06:52 PM

Benfica ML moved from +180 to +16010/02/2024
06:56 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%

Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Benfica: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +172 to +16410/02/2024
05:58 PM

Benfica ML moved from +190 to +15510/02/2024
02:04 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:3.9%:4.1%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-115	-	o2½-112	o2½-115	-	o2½-115	o2½-112	-
Under	u2½-105	-	u2½-108	u2½-105	-	u2½-105	u2½-105	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-115	o2½-115	o2½-113	-	o2½-120	o2½-115	o2½-113	-
Under	u2½-105	u2½-105	u2½-107	-	u2½-110	u2½-105	u2½-105	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	46.9%


No	53.1%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	8.72%
Exactly 2	25.95%
Exactly 4	12.87%
Exactly 6	2.55%
Exactly 8	0.27%


Exactly 1	21.27%
Exactly 3	21.10%
Exactly 5	6.28%
Exactly 7	0.89%

Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	21.76%
Exactly 1	33.19%
Exactly 2	25.30%
Exactly 3	12.86%
Exactly 4	4.90%
Exactly 5	1.50%
Exactly 6	0.38%

Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 0	40.06%
Exactly 1	36.65%
Exactly 2	16.76%
Exactly 3	5.11%
Exactly 4	1.17%
Exactly 5	0.21%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	32.31%
Exactly 2	20.62%
Exactly 4	2.19%


Exactly 1	36.50%
Exactly 3	7.76%
Exactly 5	0.50%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	49.36%
Exactly 1	34.85%
Exactly 2	12.30%
Exactly 3	2.90%
Exactly 4	0.51%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 0	65.47%
Exactly 1	27.73%
Exactly 2	5.87%
Exactly 3	0.83%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals	26.44%
Wins by 3+ goals	10.69%
Wins by 4+ goals	3.47%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.89%

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals	7.60%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.93%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid

Benfica

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal	24.99%
Wins by 2 goals	15.75%
Wins by 3 goals	7.22%
Wins by 4 goals	2.58%
Wins by 5 goals	0.74%

Benfica
Wins by 1 goal	14.99%
Wins by 2 goals	5.67%
Wins by 3 goals	1.55%
Wins by 4 goals	0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.28%	8.72%
1.5	70.01%	29.99%
2.5	44.07%	55.93%
3.5	22.96%	77.04%
4.5	10.09%	89.91%
5.5	3.81%	96.19%
6.5	1.26%	98.74%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	78.24%	21.76%
1.5	45.05%	54.95%
2.5	19.74%	80.26%
3.5	6.88%	93.12%
4.5	1.98%	98.02%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	59.94%	40.06%
1.5	23.30%	76.70%
2.5	6.53%	93.47%
3.5	1.42%	98.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	67.69%	32.31%
1.5	31.18%	68.82%
2.5	10.56%	89.44%
3.5	2.80%	97.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid

Benfica

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.72%	7.98%	3.65%	1.11%	0.25%
1	13.29%	12.16%	5.56%	1.70%	0.39%
2	10.14%	9.27%	4.24%	1.29%	0.30%
3	5.15%	4.71%	2.16%	0.66%	0.15%
4	1.96%	1.80%	0.82%	0.25%	0.06%
5	0.60%	0.55%	0.25%	0.08%	0.02%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	13.29%
2-0	10.14%
2-1	9.27%
3-0	5.15%
3-1	4.71%
3-2	2.16%
4-0	1.96%
4-1	1.80%
4-2	0.82%
4-3	0.25%
5-0	0.60%
5-1	0.55%
5-2	0.25%

Draw
0-0	8.72%
1-1	12.16%
2-2	4.24%
3-3	0.66%

Benfica
0-1	7.98%
0-2	3.65%
1-2	5.56%
0-3	1.11%
1-3	1.70%
2-3	1.29%
0-4	0.25%
1-4	0.39%
2-4	0.30%
3-4	0.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid

Benfica

Score	0	1	2	3
0	32.31%	13.69%	2.90%	0.41%
1	22.82%	9.66%	2.05%	0.29%
2	8.05%	3.41%	0.72%	0.10%
3	1.90%	0.80%	0.17%	0.02%
4	0.33%	0.14%	0.03%	0.00%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	22.82%
2-0	8.05%
2-1	3.41%
3-0	1.90%
3-1	0.80%
3-2	0.17%
4-0	0.33%
4-1	0.14%

Draw
0-0	32.31%
1-1	9.66%
2-2	0.72%

Benfica
0-1	13.69%
0-2	2.90%
1-2	2.05%
0-3	0.41%
1-3	0.29%
2-3	0.10%

Paris Saint-Germain at Arsenal

Monaco at Dinamo Zagreb

Atlético Madrid at Benfica