Atlético Madrid at Dortmund

Updated 253 days ago

07:00 PM • Apr 16, 2024

Atlético Madrid

33.6%27.9%38.4%

Atlético Madrid WinDrawDortmund Win

1.13Projected Goals 1.23

2Final Score 4

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid		Money Line
W 1-2	4/10 vs Dortmund	-125
W 0-2	12/13 vs Lazio	-160
W 0-6	11/07 vs Celtic	-275
T 2-2	10/25 at Celtic	-125
T 1-1	9/19 at Lazio	+150

Dortmund		Money Line
L 1-2	4/10 at Atlético Madrid	+355
W 0-2	3/13 vs PSV Eindhoven	+110
T 1-1	2/20 at PSV Eindhoven	+254
T 1-1	12/13 vs Paris Saint-Germain	+280
L 0-2	9/19 at Paris Saint-Germain	+330

Money Line Analysis

:3.3%:4.6%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+195	-	+205	+217	-	+217	+217	-
Dortmund	+130	-	+120	+123	-	+123	+123	-
Draw	+262	-	+270	+268	-	+268	+270	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+210	-	+196	-	+190	+200	+200	-
Dortmund	+120	-	+125	-	+115	+125	+125	-
Draw	+265	-	+270	-	+260	+265	+270	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Dortmund: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atlético Madrid ML

No Steam Moves On Dortmund ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Dortmund: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +220 to +20004/16/2024
05:57 PM

Dortmund ML moved from +125 to +11504/16/2024
06:56 AM

Over/Under Analysis

:4.3%:4.0%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¾-120	-	o2¾-120	o2¾-120	-	o2¾-120	o2¾-120	-
Under	u2¾+100	-	u2¾+100	u2¾+100	-	u2¾+100	u2¾+100	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o3+110	o3+110	o3+110	-	o3+100	o3+110	o3+110	-
Under	u3-130	u3-130	u3-130	-	u3-130	u3-130	u3-130	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	47.8%


No	52.2%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	9.47%
Exactly 2	26.31%
Exactly 4	12.18%
Exactly 6	2.25%
Exactly 8	0.22%


Exactly 1	22.32%
Exactly 3	20.67%
Exactly 5	5.74%
Exactly 7	0.76%

Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	32.32%
Exactly 1	36.51%
Exactly 2	20.61%
Exactly 3	7.76%
Exactly 4	2.19%
Exactly 5	0.49%

Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 0	29.30%
Exactly 1	35.97%
Exactly 2	22.08%
Exactly 3	9.03%
Exactly 4	2.77%
Exactly 5	0.68%
Exactly 6	0.14%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	33.58%
Exactly 2	19.99%
Exactly 4	1.98%


Exactly 1	36.64%
Exactly 3	7.27%
Exactly 5	0.43%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	59.28%
Exactly 1	31.00%
Exactly 2	8.10%
Exactly 3	1.41%
Exactly 4	0.18%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 0	56.65%
Exactly 1	32.19%
Exactly 2	9.15%
Exactly 3	1.73%
Exactly 4	0.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals	13.50%
Wins by 3+ goals	4.14%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.97%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.15%

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals	16.63%
Wins by 3+ goals	5.57%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.49%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid

Dortmund

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal	20.04%
Wins by 2 goals	9.36%
Wins by 3 goals	3.17%
Wins by 4 goals	0.82%
Wins by 5 goals	0.15%

Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal	21.78%
Wins by 2 goals	11.06%
Wins by 3 goals	4.08%
Wins by 4 goals	1.17%
Wins by 5 goals	0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	90.53%	9.47%
1.5	68.21%	31.79%
2.5	41.90%	58.10%
3.5	21.23%	78.77%
4.5	9.05%	90.95%
5.5	3.31%	96.69%
6.5	1.06%	98.94%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	67.68%	32.32%
1.5	31.17%	68.83%
2.5	10.56%	89.44%
3.5	2.80%	97.20%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	70.70%	29.30%
1.5	34.73%	65.27%
2.5	12.65%	87.35%
3.5	3.62%	96.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	66.42%	33.58%
1.5	29.78%	70.22%
2.5	9.78%	90.22%
3.5	2.51%	97.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid

Dortmund

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9.47%	11.63%	7.14%	2.92%	0.90%	0.22%
1	10.70%	13.13%	8.06%	3.30%	1.01%	0.25%
2	6.04%	7.41%	4.55%	1.86%	0.57%	0.14%
3	2.27%	2.79%	1.71%	0.70%	0.22%	0.05%
4	0.64%	0.79%	0.48%	0.20%	0.06%	0.01%
5	0.15%	0.18%	0.11%	0.04%	0.01%	0.00%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	10.70%
2-0	6.04%
2-1	7.41%
3-0	2.27%
3-1	2.79%
3-2	1.71%
4-0	0.64%
4-1	0.79%
4-2	0.48%
4-3	0.20%
5-0	0.15%
5-1	0.18%
5-2	0.11%

Draw
0-0	9.47%
1-1	13.13%
2-2	4.55%
3-3	0.70%

Dortmund
0-1	11.63%
0-2	7.14%
1-2	8.06%
0-3	2.92%
1-3	3.30%
2-3	1.86%
0-4	0.90%
1-4	1.01%
2-4	0.57%
3-4	0.22%
0-5	0.22%
1-5	0.25%
2-5	0.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid

Dortmund

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	33.58%	19.08%	5.42%	1.03%	0.15%
1	17.56%	9.98%	2.84%	0.54%	0.08%
2	4.59%	2.61%	0.74%	0.14%	0.02%
3	0.80%	0.45%	0.13%	0.02%	0.00%
4	0.10%	0.06%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	17.56%
2-0	4.59%
2-1	2.61%
3-0	0.80%
3-1	0.45%
3-2	0.13%
4-0	0.10%

Draw
0-0	33.58%
1-1	9.98%
2-2	0.74%

Dortmund
0-1	19.08%
0-2	5.42%
1-2	2.84%
0-3	1.03%
1-3	0.54%
2-3	0.14%
0-4	0.15%

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