Real Madrid at Manchester City

Updated

Real Madrid

14.4%19.9%65.7%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.85Projected Goals 2.08
4Final Score 3

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Manchester City+175
T 1-1 vs RB Leipzig-175
W 1-0 at RB Leipzig+130
W 2-4 vs Napoli-135
W 3-2 at Napoli+158
Manchester City
Money Line
T 3-3 at Real Madrid+178
W 1-3 vs FC Copenhagen-715
W 3-1 at FC Copenhagen-445
W 2-3 vs RB Leipzig-335
W 0-3 vs Young Boys-1750

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+340-+420+430-+430+430-
Manchester City-140--175-168--168-168-
Draw+310-+350+357-+357+357-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+380-+410-+400+410+410-
Manchester City-155--176--175-175-175-
Draw+325-+368-+295+360+368-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Manchester City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +420 to +400
Manchester City ML moved from -155 to -165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +418 to +410
Manchester City ML moved from -165 to -173

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-122-o3¼+100o3¼+100-o3¼+100o3¼+100-
Underu2¾+102-u3¼-120u3¼-120-u3¼-120u3¼-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-130o3-138-o3-140o3-135o3-130-
Underu3-115u3+110u3+118-u3+110u3+115u3+118-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-108 to o3+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.35%
Exactly 222.94%
Exactly 416.38%
Exactly 64.68%
Exactly 80.72%
 
Exactly 115.67%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.59%
Exactly 71.96%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 042.68%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 215.47%
Exactly 34.39%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 012.54%
Exactly 126.04%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 318.71%
Exactly 49.71%
Exactly 54.03%
Exactly 61.40%
Exactly 70.41%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.78%
Exactly 223.69%
Exactly 43.63%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.95%
Exactly 310.70%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 067.42%
Exactly 126.58%
Exactly 25.24%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 038.24%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.67%
Exactly 35.66%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals4.38%
Wins by 3+ goals1.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals41.39%
Wins by 3+ goals21.37%
Wins by 4+ goals9.17%
Wins by 5+ goals3.32%
Wins by 6+ goals1.02%
Wins by 7+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal9.96%
Wins by 2 goals3.37%
Wins by 3 goals0.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.29%
Wins by 2 goals20.03%
Wins by 3 goals12.20%
Wins by 4 goals5.84%
Wins by 5 goals2.30%
Wins by 6 goals0.76%
Wins by 7 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.65%5.35%
1.578.98%21.02%
2.556.04%43.96%
3.533.66%66.34%
4.517.28%82.72%
5.57.68%92.32%
6.53.00%97.00%
7.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.32%42.68%
1.520.98%79.02%
2.55.51%94.49%
3.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.46%12.54%
1.561.43%38.57%
2.534.40%65.60%
3.515.69%84.31%
4.55.98%94.02%
5.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.22%25.78%
1.539.27%60.73%
2.515.59%84.41%
3.54.88%95.12%
4.51.26%98.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Manchester City
Score012345
0
5.35%
11.11%
11.54%
7.98%
4.14%
1.72%
1
4.56%
9.46%
9.82%
6.80%
3.53%
1.47%
2
1.94%
4.03%
4.18%
2.89%
1.50%
0.62%
3
0.55%
1.14%
1.19%
0.82%
0.43%
0.18%
4
0.12%
0.24%
0.25%
0.17%
0.09%
0.04%
Real Madrid
1-04.56%
2-01.94%
2-14.03%
3-00.55%
3-11.14%
3-21.19%
4-00.12%
4-10.24%
4-20.25%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-05.35%
1-19.46%
2-24.18%
3-30.82%
Manchester City
0-111.11%
0-211.54%
1-29.82%
0-37.98%
1-36.80%
2-32.89%
0-44.14%
1-43.53%
2-41.50%
3-40.43%
0-51.72%
1-51.47%
2-50.62%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Manchester City
Score012345
0
25.78%
24.78%
11.91%
3.82%
0.92%
0.18%
1
10.16%
9.77%
4.70%
1.50%
0.36%
0.07%
2
2.00%
1.93%
0.93%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.26%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-010.16%
2-02.00%
2-11.93%
3-00.26%
3-10.25%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-025.78%
1-19.77%
2-20.93%
Manchester City
0-124.78%
0-211.91%
1-24.70%
0-33.82%
1-31.50%
2-30.30%
0-40.92%
1-40.36%
0-50.18%