Bayern Munich at Villarreal

Updated

Bayern Munich

78.4%13.4%8.2%
Bayern Munich WinDrawWin
2.80Projected Goals 0.82
0Final Score 1

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Bayern Munich
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Barcelona-180
W 2-5 vs Benfica-725
W 4-0 at Benfica-200
W 3-0 at Barcelona-103
W 1-0 at Paris Saint-Germain+220
Villarreal
Money Line
W 3-0 at Juventus+280
T 1-1 vs Juventus+147
W 3-2 at Atalanta+410
L 2-0 vs Manchester United+165
W 0-2 vs Young Boys-260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bayern Munich-190-164-165-170-186-170-164-155.7
Villarreal+370+430+400+435+422+435+435+451.9
Draw+297+368+330+360+359+360+368+376.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bayern Munich-175--188--210-190-188-155.7
Villarreal+460-+440-+390+460+460+451.9
Draw+325-+378-+310+360+378+376.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bayern Munich: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bayern Munich: 40.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bayern Munich: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bayern Munich ML moved from -180 to -186
Villarreal ML moved from +438 to +430

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bayern Munich: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bayern Munich: 30.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bayern Munich: 0.0%
Villarreal: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bayern Munich ML moved from -174 to -185
Villarreal ML moved from +400 to +390

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+106o3-131o3¼-102o3¼-105-o3¼-105o3-131o3-124
Underu3-122u3+116u3¼-118u3¼-111-u3¼-111u3¼-111u3+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-130o3-130-o3-130o3-135o3-130o3-124
Underu3-115u3+110u3+110-u3+100u3+115u3+115u3+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-115 to o3¼-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%
 
No47.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.67%
Exactly 217.53%
Exactly 419.17%
Exactly 68.39%
Exactly 81.97%
Exactly 100.29%
 
Exactly 19.67%
Exactly 321.16%
Exactly 513.89%
Exactly 74.34%
Exactly 90.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayern Munich
Exactly 06.06%
Exactly 116.98%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 415.60%
Exactly 58.75%
Exactly 64.09%
Exactly 71.64%
Exactly 80.57%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 044.09%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.78%
Exactly 34.04%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.69%
Exactly 226.29%
Exactly 46.16%
Exactly 60.58%
 
Exactly 131.34%
Exactly 314.70%
Exactly 52.07%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayern Munich
Exactly 027.30%
Exactly 135.44%
Exactly 223.01%
Exactly 39.96%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 068.44%
Exactly 125.95%
Exactly 24.92%
Exactly 30.62%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayern Munich
Wins by 2+ goals58.30%
Wins by 3+ goals37.07%
Wins by 4+ goals20.15%
Wins by 5+ goals9.44%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals2.31%
Wins by 3+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayern Munich
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Bayern Munich
Wins by 1 goal20.08%
Wins by 2 goals21.23%
Wins by 3 goals16.92%
Wins by 4 goals10.71%
Wins by 5 goals5.60%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal5.86%
Wins by 2 goals1.81%
Wins by 3 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.33%2.67%
1.587.66%12.34%
2.570.13%29.87%
3.548.97%51.03%
4.529.80%70.20%
5.515.91%84.09%
6.57.52%92.48%
7.53.18%96.82%
8.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Bayern Munich Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.94%6.06%
1.576.96%23.04%
2.553.15%46.85%
3.530.90%69.10%
4.515.30%84.70%
5.56.55%93.45%
6.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.91%44.09%
1.519.80%80.20%
2.55.02%94.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.31%18.69%
1.549.97%50.03%
2.523.68%76.32%
3.58.98%91.02%
4.52.82%97.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bayern Munich
Villarreal
Score0123
0
2.67%
2.19%
0.90%
0.24%
1
7.49%
6.13%
2.51%
0.69%
2
10.50%
8.60%
3.52%
0.96%
3
9.81%
8.04%
3.29%
0.90%
4
6.88%
5.63%
2.31%
0.63%
5
3.86%
3.16%
1.29%
0.35%
Bayern Munich
1-07.49%
2-010.50%
2-18.60%
3-09.81%
3-18.04%
3-23.29%
4-06.88%
4-15.63%
4-22.31%
4-30.63%
5-03.86%
5-13.16%
5-21.29%
5-30.35%
Draw
0-02.67%
1-16.13%
2-23.52%
3-30.90%
4-40.13%
Villarreal
0-12.19%
0-20.90%
1-22.51%
0-30.24%
1-30.69%
2-30.96%

Correct Score - First Half

Bayern Munich
Villarreal
Score0123
0
18.69%
7.08%
1.34%
0.17%
1
24.26%
9.20%
1.74%
0.22%
2
15.75%
5.97%
1.13%
0.14%
3
6.81%
2.58%
0.49%
0.06%
4
2.21%
0.84%
0.16%
0.02%
5
0.57%
0.22%
0.04%
0.01%
6
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Bayern Munich
1-024.26%
2-015.75%
2-15.97%
3-06.81%
3-12.58%
3-20.49%
4-02.21%
4-10.84%
4-20.16%
5-00.57%
5-10.22%
6-00.12%
Draw
0-018.69%
1-19.20%
2-21.13%
Villarreal
0-17.08%
0-21.34%
1-21.74%
0-30.17%
1-30.22%
2-30.14%