Dortmund at Real Madrid

Updated

Dortmund

33.8%26.4%39.8%
Dortmund WinDrawReal Madrid Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.35
2Final Score 5

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 1-7 vs Celtic-200
W 3-0 at Club Brugge+120
L 0-2 at Real Madrid+410
W 1-0 at Paris Saint-Germain+515
W 0-1 vs Paris Saint-Germain+192
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Dortmund-145
W 1-2 vs Bayern Munich-102
T 2-2 at Bayern Munich+215
W 4-3 at Manchester City+410
T 3-3 vs Manchester City+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+500-+525+625-+625+625-
Real Madrid-213--250-242--242-242-
Draw+395-+460+430-+430+460-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+475-+469-+530+540+540-
Real Madrid-240--225--260-230-225-
Draw+380-+425-+385+410+425-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 60.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +440 to +420
Real Madrid ML moved from -230 to -242

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 60.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +550 to +480
Real Madrid ML moved from -220 to -230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-118-o3½-112o3½-112-o3½-112o3½-112-
Underu3¼-102-u3½-108u3½-108-u3½-108u3½-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½+105o3½-110-o3½+110o3½-115o3½+110-
Underu3½-140u3½-125u3½-110-u3½-140u3½-105u3½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+120 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.4%
 
No47.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.57%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 413.99%
Exactly 63.11%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.55%
Exactly 321.69%
Exactly 57.22%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 029.33%
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 222.06%
Exactly 39.02%
Exactly 42.77%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 025.83%
Exactly 134.96%
Exactly 223.67%
Exactly 310.68%
Exactly 43.61%
Exactly 50.98%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.28%
Exactly 221.61%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 38.61%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 056.67%
Exactly 132.18%
Exactly 29.14%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 053.43%
Exactly 133.49%
Exactly 210.50%
Exactly 32.19%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals14.30%
Wins by 3+ goals4.72%
Wins by 4+ goals1.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals18.23%
Wins by 3+ goals6.56%
Wins by 4+ goals1.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Real Madrid
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal19.46%
Wins by 2 goals9.58%
Wins by 3 goals3.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal21.48%
Wins by 2 goals11.67%
Wins by 3 goals4.67%
Wins by 4 goals1.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.43%7.57%
1.572.88%27.12%
2.547.66%52.34%
3.525.97%74.03%
4.511.98%88.02%
5.54.76%95.24%
6.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.67%29.33%
1.534.70%65.30%
2.512.63%87.37%
3.53.61%96.39%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.17%25.83%
1.539.21%60.79%
2.515.54%84.46%
3.54.86%95.14%
4.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.72%30.28%
1.533.55%66.45%
2.511.94%88.06%
3.53.33%96.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
7.57%
10.25%
6.94%
3.13%
1.06%
0.29%
1
9.29%
12.58%
8.51%
3.84%
1.30%
0.35%
2
5.70%
7.71%
5.22%
2.36%
0.80%
0.22%
3
2.33%
3.15%
2.13%
0.96%
0.33%
0.09%
4
0.71%
0.97%
0.65%
0.30%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.18%
0.24%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Dortmund
1-09.29%
2-05.70%
2-17.71%
3-02.33%
3-13.15%
3-22.13%
4-00.71%
4-10.97%
4-20.65%
4-30.30%
5-00.18%
5-10.24%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-07.57%
1-112.58%
2-25.22%
3-30.96%
Real Madrid
0-110.25%
0-26.94%
1-28.51%
0-33.13%
1-33.84%
2-32.36%
0-41.06%
1-41.30%
2-40.80%
3-40.33%
0-50.29%
1-50.35%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Real Madrid
Score01234
0
30.28%
18.98%
5.95%
1.24%
0.19%
1
17.20%
10.78%
3.38%
0.71%
0.11%
2
4.88%
3.06%
0.96%
0.20%
0.03%
3
0.92%
0.58%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-017.20%
2-04.88%
2-13.06%
3-00.92%
3-10.58%
3-20.18%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-030.28%
1-110.78%
2-20.96%
Real Madrid
0-118.98%
0-25.95%
1-23.38%
0-31.24%
1-30.71%
2-30.20%
0-40.19%
1-40.11%