Palmeiras at Cerro Porteno

Updated

Palmeiras

60.5%22.1%17.4%
Palmeiras WinDrawWin
1.87Projected Goals 0.90
3Final Score 0

Cerro Porteno

Last Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Sao Paulo+125
T 1-1 at Sao Paulo+215
W 1-0 at Independiente+220
W 0-5 vs Independiente-175
Cerro Porteno
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-149-128-135-135-140-135-128-121.7
Cerro Porteno+425+471+420+490+439+490+490+499.7
Draw+268+242+240+225+246+225+246+251.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-150-----135-135-121.7
Cerro Porteno+470----+470+470+499.7
Draw+265----+235+235+251.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2-112o2-122o2-115-o2-115o2-112o2-109
Underu2¼-108u2-103u2-108u2-105-u2-105u2-103u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-109
Under-----u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.24%
Exactly 224.01%
Exactly 415.40%
Exactly 63.95%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.31%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 58.55%
Exactly 71.57%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 015.27%
Exactly 128.69%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 316.89%
Exactly 47.94%
Exactly 52.98%
Exactly 60.93%
Exactly 70.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 040.85%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.37%
Exactly 34.88%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.67%
Exactly 222.84%
Exactly 43.14%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 39.78%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 041.89%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.86%
Exactly 34.60%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 066.07%
Exactly 127.38%
Exactly 25.67%
Exactly 30.78%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals35.67%
Wins by 3+ goals17.02%
Wins by 4+ goals6.68%
Wins by 5+ goals2.18%
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 2+ goals5.59%
Wins by 3+ goals1.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal24.77%
Wins by 2 goals18.65%
Wins by 3 goals10.34%
Wins by 4 goals4.50%
Wins by 5 goals1.60%
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 1 goal11.80%
Wins by 2 goals4.23%
Wins by 3 goals1.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.76%6.24%
1.576.46%23.54%
2.552.45%47.55%
3.530.24%69.76%
4.514.84%85.16%
5.56.29%93.71%
6.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.73%15.27%
1.556.04%43.96%
2.529.07%70.93%
3.512.18%87.82%
4.54.24%95.76%
5.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Cerro Porteno Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.15%40.85%
1.522.58%77.42%
2.56.21%93.79%
3.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.33%27.67%
1.536.77%63.23%
2.513.94%86.06%
3.54.16%95.84%
4.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Score01234
0
6.24%
5.58%
2.50%
0.75%
0.17%
1
11.72%
10.49%
4.70%
1.40%
0.31%
2
11.02%
9.86%
4.41%
1.32%
0.29%
3
6.90%
6.18%
2.77%
0.83%
0.18%
4
3.24%
2.90%
1.30%
0.39%
0.09%
5
1.22%
1.09%
0.49%
0.15%
0.03%
Palmeiras
1-011.72%
2-011.02%
2-19.86%
3-06.90%
3-16.18%
3-22.77%
4-03.24%
4-12.90%
4-21.30%
4-30.39%
5-01.22%
5-11.09%
5-20.49%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.24%
1-110.49%
2-24.41%
3-30.83%
Cerro Porteno
0-15.58%
0-22.50%
1-24.70%
0-30.75%
1-31.40%
2-31.32%
0-40.17%
1-40.31%
2-40.29%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Score0123
0
27.67%
11.47%
2.38%
0.33%
1
24.08%
9.98%
2.07%
0.29%
2
10.48%
4.34%
0.90%
0.12%
3
3.04%
1.26%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.66%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-024.08%
2-010.48%
2-14.34%
3-03.04%
3-11.26%
3-20.26%
4-00.66%
4-10.27%
5-00.12%
Draw
0-027.67%
1-19.98%
2-20.90%
Cerro Porteno
0-111.47%
0-22.38%
1-22.07%
0-30.33%
1-30.29%
2-30.12%