Cerro Porteno at Palmeiras

Updated

Cerro Porteno

12.7%19.0%68.3%
WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.15
0Final Score 5

Palmeiras

Last Games

Cerro Porteno
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Palmeiras+470
Palmeiras
Money Line
W 3-0 at Cerro Porteno-135
W 0-3 vs Sao Paulo+125
T 1-1 at Sao Paulo+215
W 1-0 at Independiente+220
W 0-5 vs Independiente-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cerro Porteno+900+939+785+785+781+785+939+831.1
Palmeiras-400-295-290-305-288-305-288-240.1
Draw+500+415+440+440+390+440+440+435.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cerro Porteno+1200----+850+850+831.1
Palmeiras-385-----290-290-240.1
Draw+450----+400+400+435.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cerro Porteno: 20.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cerro Porteno: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cerro Porteno: 20.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cerro Porteno: 20.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cerro Porteno: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cerro Porteno: 10.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-122o2¾+111o2½-120-o2½-120o2½-120o2½-114
Underu2½-118u2½+107u2¾-125u2½+100-u2½+100u2½+109u2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-114
Under-----u2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.24%
Exactly 222.78%
Exactly 416.51%
Exactly 64.79%
Exactly 80.74%
 
Exactly 115.45%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.74%
Exactly 72.02%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 044.85%
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 214.42%
Exactly 33.85%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 011.68%
Exactly 125.08%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 319.27%
Exactly 410.35%
Exactly 54.44%
Exactly 61.59%
Exactly 70.49%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.53%
Exactly 223.80%
Exactly 43.70%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 310.83%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 068.98%
Exactly 125.61%
Exactly 24.75%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 037.00%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.29%
Exactly 36.06%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cerro Porteno
Wins by 2+ goals3.70%
Wins by 3+ goals0.81%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals44.11%
Wins by 3+ goals23.43%
Wins by 4+ goals10.36%
Wins by 5+ goals3.87%
Wins by 6+ goals1.23%
Wins by 7+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 1 goal9.02%
Wins by 2 goals2.88%
Wins by 3 goals0.68%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal24.15%
Wins by 2 goals20.68%
Wins by 3 goals13.07%
Wins by 4 goals6.49%
Wins by 5 goals2.64%
Wins by 6 goals0.91%
Wins by 7 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.76%5.24%
1.579.31%20.69%
2.556.53%43.47%
3.534.14%65.86%
4.517.63%82.37%
5.57.89%92.11%
6.53.10%96.90%
7.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Cerro Porteno Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.15%44.85%
1.519.19%80.81%
2.54.77%95.23%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.32%11.68%
1.563.24%36.76%
2.536.31%63.69%
3.517.04%82.96%
4.56.69%93.31%
5.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.47%25.53%
1.539.62%60.38%
2.515.82%84.18%
3.54.99%95.01%
4.51.29%98.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
5.24%
11.25%
12.08%
8.64%
4.64%
1.99%
1
4.20%
9.02%
9.68%
6.93%
3.72%
1.60%
2
1.68%
3.62%
3.88%
2.78%
1.49%
0.64%
3
0.45%
0.97%
1.04%
0.74%
0.40%
0.17%
Cerro Porteno
1-04.20%
2-01.68%
2-13.62%
3-00.45%
3-10.97%
3-21.04%
Draw
0-05.24%
1-19.02%
2-23.88%
3-30.74%
Palmeiras
0-111.25%
0-212.08%
1-29.68%
0-38.64%
1-36.93%
2-32.78%
0-44.64%
1-43.72%
2-41.49%
3-40.40%
0-51.99%
1-51.60%
2-50.64%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
25.53%
25.38%
12.62%
4.18%
1.04%
0.21%
1
9.48%
9.42%
4.68%
1.55%
0.39%
0.08%
2
1.76%
1.75%
0.87%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.22%
0.22%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Cerro Porteno
1-09.48%
2-01.76%
2-11.75%
3-00.22%
3-10.22%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-025.53%
1-19.42%
2-20.87%
Palmeiras
0-125.38%
0-212.62%
1-24.68%
0-34.18%
1-31.55%
2-30.29%
0-41.04%
1-40.39%
0-50.21%
Palmeiras at Cerro Porteno
River Plate at The Strongest