EFL Cup Predictions

Updated

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Games for Mar 11, 2026
Games for Mar 13, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Newcastle United
Manchester City		5.5%
82.8%		11.7%
+260
-110
+290
-105
1
3		-0.68663-0.67293-0.18843
Chelsea
Arsenal		38.8%
34.2%		27.0%
+380
-144
+350
-135
0
1		-0.56662-0.58578-1.07236
Arsenal
Chelsea		27.0%
47.8%		25.2%
-110
+320
-110
+310
3
2		-0.68116-0.68043-1.30959
Manchester City
Newcastle United		78.4%
7.5%		14.1%
+147
+173
+145
+171
2
0		-0.93930-0.93900-0.24378
Crystal Palace
Arsenal		17.6%
59.3%		23.1%
+500
-213
+600
-195
7
8		-0.46674-0.44565-0.52339
Fulham
Newcastle United		26.9%
45.8%		27.2%
+362
-138
+357
-135
1
2		-0.58442-0.59729-0.78034
Brentford
Manchester City		4.4%
85.4%		10.2%
+445
-173
+450
-165
0
2		-0.49579-0.50503-0.15823
Chelsea
Cardiff City		79.6%
7.4%		13.0%
-245
+590
-260
+625
3
1		-0.38176-0.37276-0.22826
Tottenham
Newcastle United		57.6%
19.9%		22.5%
+345
-135
+330
-130
0
2		-0.60232-0.61721-1.61661
Manchester City
Swansea City		83.2%
5.2%		11.6%
-600
+1450
-660
+1500
3
1		-0.20283-0.19052-0.18433
Crystal Palace
Liverpool		9.4%
73.7%		16.8%
+110
+239
+185
+245
3
0		-0.79122-0.95815-2.36021
Fulham
Wycombe Wanderers		63.5%
15.1%		21.4%
-163
+470
-180
+510
5
4		-0.52750-0.49127-0.45344
Arsenal
Port Vale		89.5%
3.0%		7.6%
-1250
+2800
-1600
+3000
2
0		-0.13561-0.10976-0.11110
Manchester City
Huddersfield		90.7%
2.5%		6.8%
-535
+1200
-725
+1500
2
0		-0.22714-0.18029-0.09744
Doncaster Rovers
Tottenham		6.2%
81.8%		12.0%
+1700
-775
+1750
-775
0
3		-0.17241-0.17099-0.20139
Southampton
Liverpool		12.5%
69.6%		17.9%
+900
-400
+1250
-500
1
2		-0.27560-0.23136-0.36307
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The League Cup is an annual tournament organized by the English Football League. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top four divisions of English football: the Premier League, English Championship, League One, and League Two. Projections for the seven round tournament are listed above and are based on the result after 90 minutes.