EFL Cup Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 23, 2024
Games for Dec 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Manchester United
Tottenham
42.8%
31.2%
26.0%
+200
+115
+205
+116
3
4
-0.81398-0.81626-1.16363
Liverpool
Southampton
61.7%
17.3%
21.0%
-185
+455
-185
+470
2
1
-0.47119-0.47322-0.48242
Brentford
Newcastle United
27.0%
46.7%
26.3%
+625
-260
+650
-215
1
3
-0.37481-0.38827-0.76093
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
17.6%
59.3%
23.1%
+450
-145
+575
-145
2
3
-0.56270-0.51133-0.52339
Manchester City
Tottenham
59.3%
18.9%
21.8%
+175
+145
+175
+145
1
2
-0.94448-0.93731-1.66569
Chelsea
Newcastle United
62.4%
16.8%
20.7%
+237
+108
+240
+130
0
2
-0.78115-0.82849-1.78165
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
26.4%
47.6%
26.1%
+188
+153
+280
+150
2
1
-1.10676-1.29135-1.33347
Leicester City
Manchester United
24.1%
51.4%
24.5%
+1100
-415
+1100
-360
2
5
-0.26387-0.26827-0.66614
Arsenal
Preston North End
77.4%
8.0%
14.6%
-365
+1100
-385
+1175
3
0
-0.28792-0.27043-0.25640
Sheffield Wednesday
Brentford
14.9%
63.7%
21.4%
+1200
-526
+1600
-480
4
5
-0.23733-0.20059-0.45144
Stoke City
Southampton
10.0%
73.8%
16.1%
+1000
-435
+1000
-350
2
3
-0.27264-0.27959-0.30335
Newcastle United
AFC Wimbledon
80.8%
6.3%
12.9%
-850
+1900
-1000
+2250
1
0
-0.16557-0.14334-0.21302
West Ham United
Liverpool
12.8%
68.8%
18.4%
+600
-290
+760
-310
1
5
-0.36546-0.32928-0.37365
Bolton Wanderers
Arsenal
1.9%
92.3%
5.8%
+2800
-1500
+3000
-1750
1
5
-0.11838-0.10402-0.08023
Aston Villa
Wycombe Wanderers
78.0%
7.9%
14.1%
-208
+460
-210
+500
2
1
-0.45293-0.43852-0.24869
Watford
Manchester City
3.9%
86.2%
10.0%
+2000
-1000
+2500
-1100
1
2
-0.14183-0.13615-0.14880
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The League Cup is an annual tournament organized by the English Football League. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top four divisions of English football: the Premier League, English Championship, League One, and League Two. Projections for the seven round tournament are listed above and are based on the result after 90 minutes.