EFL Cup Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 12, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Crawley Town
Swansea City 		8.3%
77.3%		14.4%
+625
-290

0.74
2.60		3.34
o3-112
u3-108

Doncaster Rovers
Middlesbrough 		37.0%
34.0%		29.0%
+255
-114

1.13
1.08		2.21
o2½-140
u2½+115

Millwall
Newport County 		51.5%
21.6%		26.9%


1.43
0.83		2.26


Reading
Portsmouth 		32.1%
40.9%		27.0%
+290
-125

1.15
1.33		2.48
o3+118
u3-143

Walsall
Stoke City 		9.8%
73.5%		16.7%
+340
-148

0.72
2.33		3.05
o2½-122
u2½+102

Wycombe Wanderers
Leyton Orient 		52.1%
23.3%		24.6%
+155
+160

1.64
1.01		2.65
o2½+113
u2½-136

Luton Town
Coventry City 		29.9%
41.8%		28.2%
+260
-114

1.02
1.26		2.28
o2½-120
u2½+100

Stevenage
Charlton Athletic 		9.5%
72.5%		18.0%
+310
-125

0.62
2.14		2.76
o2½-108
u2½-112

Cambridge United
Bristol Rovers 		30.0%
42.3%		27.7%
+190
+125

1.06
1.30		2.36
o2½-112
u2½-108

Port Vale
Blackpool 		18.2%
59.5%		22.3%
+225
+110

0.92
1.86		2.78
o2½-118
u2½-102

Swindon Town
Cardiff City 		12.1%
70.6%		17.3%
+200
+115

0.88
2.37		3.25
o2½-140
u2½+115

Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol City 		23.0%
51.3%		25.7%
+400
-162

0.93
1.54		2.47
o2½-125
u2½+105

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion 		21.0%
54.8%		24.2%
+250
+100

0.94
1.67		2.61
o2½+105
u2½-125

Shrewsbury Town
Grimsby Town 		64.1%
14.3%		21.6%
+225
+115

1.87
0.75		2.62
o2½+112
u2½-134

Norwich City
Watford 		32.5%
37.1%		30.4%
+155
+150

0.98
1.07		2.05
o3+114
u3-138

AFC Wimbledon
Gillingham 		17.9%
59.1%		23.0%
+130
+195

0.86
1.79		2.65
o2-140
u2+115

Games for Aug 11, 2025
Games for Aug 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rochdale
Shrewsbury Town		30.9%
43.8%		25.3%
+285
-103
+250
-125
2
0		-1.39497-1.37231-1.17555
Fulham
Birmingham City		59.5%
19.7%		20.9%
-128
+375
-150
+325
2
0		-0.61865-0.63252-0.51980
Bournemouth
Norwich City		33.4%
39.3%		27.3%
+375
-110
+280
-125
0
6		-0.63085-0.71107-0.93377
Middlesbrough
Blackpool		39.7%
33.6%		26.7%
+275
+115
+275
-115
0
3		-0.81353-0.74741-1.08999
Queens Park Rangers
Leyton Orient		54.0%
25.0%		21.0%
-105
+300
-115
+250
5
3		-0.70029-0.74640-0.61543
Swansea City
Reading		42.9%
31.7%		25.3%
-144
+450
-155
+350
3
0		-0.56460-0.61880-0.84530
Fleetwood Town
Stoke City		28.9%
46.0%		25.1%
+500
-172
+430
-190
1
2		-0.50918-0.54469-0.77570
Sunderland
Port Vale		57.7%
20.8%		21.5%
+135
+225
+110
+215
2
1		-0.89450-0.86147-0.55028
Portsmouth
Millwall		34.7%
38.9%		26.5%
+295
-105
+240
-115
1
2		-0.71502-0.74972-0.94500
Colchester United
Birmingham City		25.8%
50.0%		24.2%
+430
-144
+425
-180
0
1		-0.56200-0.56180-0.69295
Wycombe Wanderers
Exeter City		39.9%
34.7%		25.4%
+106
+260
-120
+260
4
3		-0.76740-0.72917-0.91757
Swindon Town
Cambridge United		36.0%
38.5%		25.5%
+280
+100
+255
-130
1
3		-0.73106-0.68804-0.95373
Cheltenham Town
Bristol Rovers		39.6%
33.6%		26.8%
+145
+190
+125
+160
2
0		-0.94464-0.93501-0.92675
Luton Town
Stevenage		61.5%
17.5%		21.0%
+105
+300
-165
+380
0
3		-1.42026-1.68648-1.74223
Wigan Athletic
Hull City		18.4%
64.7%		16.8%
+350
-132
+310
-150
8
7		-1.55183-1.53285-1.69076
Preston North End
Mansfield Town		56.9%
22.6%		20.6%
+119
+230
+100
+220
3
0		-0.83628-0.81534-0.56442
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The League Cup is an annual tournament organized by the English Football League. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top four divisions of English football: the Premier League, English Championship, League One, and League Two. Projections for the seven round tournament are listed above and are based on the result after 90 minutes.