EFL Cup Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 29, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Crystal Palace
Liverpool 		9.4%
73.7%		16.8%
+365
-157
+385
-165
0.68
2.29		2.97
o3-107
u3-113
o3-110
u3-110
Manchester City
Swansea City 		83.2%
5.2%		11.6%
-465
+1100
-475
+1125
2.81
0.59		3.40
o3¼-109
u3½-143
o3½+120
u3½-140
Tottenham
Newcastle United 		57.6%
19.9%		22.5%
+362
-152
+385
-150
1.86
0.99		2.85
o2½-138
u2¾-109
o2½-140
u2½+120
Games for Oct 28, 2025
Games for Oct 30, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Ham United
Liverpool		12.8%
68.8%		18.4%
+600
-290
+760
-310
1
5		-0.36546-0.32928-0.37365
Bolton Wanderers
Arsenal		1.9%
92.3%		5.8%
+2800
-1500
+3000
-1750
1
5		-0.11838-0.10402-0.08023
Aston Villa
Wycombe Wanderers		78.0%
7.9%		14.1%
-208
+460
-210
+500
2
1		-0.45293-0.43852-0.24869
Watford
Manchester City		3.9%
86.2%		10.0%
+2000
-1000
+2500
-1100
1
2		-0.14183-0.13615-0.14880
Leicester City
Walsall		90.3%
2.6%		7.1%
-240
+650
-230
+650
3
0		-0.39475-0.40103-0.10171
Tottenham
Coventry City		79.7%
6.8%		13.5%
-190
+440
-285
+530
2
1		-0.47679-0.42198-0.22724
Barnsley
Manchester United		3.5%
87.9%		8.6%
+2300
-1000

0
7		-0.15088-0.12890
Fulham
Preston North End		51.8%
22.7%		25.5%
-155
+420
-180
+375
15
16		-1.69173-1.67798-1.48360
Southampton
Everton		28.2%
46.6%		25.2%
+210
+120
+210
+105
6
5		-1.19624-1.25169-1.26574
Crystal Palace
Queens Park Rangers		67.0%
13.5%		19.5%
-335
+800
-280
+525
2
1		-0.32552-0.42471-0.40082
Sheffield Wednesday
Blackpool		37.4%
33.3%		29.3%
+200
+138
+150
+135
1
0		-1.14106-1.03724-0.98259
Leyton Orient
Brentford		5.2%
83.5%		11.3%
+1500
-625

1
3		-0.20994-0.18042
Fleetwood Town
Stoke City		24.8%
48.9%		26.2%
+460
-190
+400
-200
1
2		-0.47731-0.52753-0.71533
Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest		57.4%
18.7%		23.9%
-149
+370
-115
+230
4
3		-0.56159-0.74227-0.55551
Southampton
Cardiff City		65.7%
15.0%		19.2%
-170
+450
-160
+300
5
3		-0.52226-0.60954-0.41977
Brentford
Colchester United		77.2%
7.8%		15.0%
-420
+1000

1
0		-0.27681-0.25922
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.52750 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.49127 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.45344
0.07406
0.03783

Predictions Methodology

The League Cup is an annual tournament organized by the English Football League. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top four divisions of English football: the Premier League, English Championship, League One, and League Two. Projections for the seven round tournament are listed above and are based on the result after 90 minutes.