Swansea City at Watford

Updated

Swansea City

32.6%29.5%37.9%
Swansea City WinDrawWatford Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.12
1Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Blackburn+100
L 4-0 vs Leeds United+425
W 1-0 at Hull City+375
T 2-2 at Birmingham City+210
L 2-1 vs Middlesbrough+240
Watford
Money Line
L 0-1 at Millwall+195
L 2-1 vs Huddersfield+100
W 1-0 at Rotherham United-115
L 2-4 at Norwich City+245
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+225-+220+191-+191+220-
Watford+115-+120+123-+123+123-
Draw+240-+230+245-+245+245-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+225---+205+220+220-
Watford+120---+100+125+125-
Draw+245---+235+240+240-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 20.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +186 to +180
Watford ML moved from +131 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 20.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +225 to +215
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115-o2½-118o2½-121-o2½-121o2½-118-
Underu2½-105-u2½-102u2½+101-u2½+101u2½+101-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.71%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 410.32%
Exactly 61.58%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.11%
Exactly 319.25%
Exactly 54.43%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 036.04%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.77%
Exactly 36.38%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 032.49%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.53%
Exactly 37.70%
Exactly 42.16%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.04%
Exactly 218.27%
Exactly 41.50%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.05%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 062.34%
Exactly 129.46%
Exactly 26.96%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 059.42%
Exactly 130.93%
Exactly 28.05%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals12.28%
Wins by 3+ goals3.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals15.46%
Wins by 3+ goals4.79%
Wins by 4+ goals1.13%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal20.25%
Wins by 2 goals8.79%
Wins by 3 goals2.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal22.31%
Wins by 2 goals10.67%
Wins by 3 goals3.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.29%11.71%
1.563.18%36.82%
2.536.25%63.75%
3.516.99%83.01%
4.56.67%93.33%
5.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.96%36.04%
1.527.18%72.82%
2.58.41%91.59%
3.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.51%32.49%
1.530.99%69.01%
2.510.45%89.55%
3.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.96%37.04%
1.526.17%73.83%
2.57.90%92.10%
3.51.86%98.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Watford
Score012345
0
11.71%
13.16%
7.40%
2.77%
0.78%
0.18%
1
11.95%
13.43%
7.55%
2.83%
0.80%
0.18%
2
6.10%
6.85%
3.85%
1.44%
0.41%
0.09%
3
2.07%
2.33%
1.31%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.53%
0.59%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.12%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-011.95%
2-06.10%
2-16.85%
3-02.07%
3-12.33%
3-21.31%
4-00.53%
4-10.59%
4-20.33%
4-30.13%
5-00.11%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-011.71%
1-113.43%
2-23.85%
3-30.49%
Watford
0-113.16%
0-27.40%
1-27.55%
0-32.77%
1-32.83%
2-31.44%
0-40.78%
1-40.80%
2-40.41%
3-40.14%
0-50.18%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Watford
Score01234
0
37.04%
19.28%
5.02%
0.87%
0.11%
1
17.50%
9.11%
2.37%
0.41%
0.05%
2
4.14%
2.15%
0.56%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.65%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-017.50%
2-04.14%
2-12.15%
3-00.65%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-037.04%
1-19.11%
2-20.56%
Watford
0-119.28%
0-25.02%
1-22.37%
0-30.87%
1-30.41%
0-40.11%
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