Swansea City at Watford

Updated

Swansea City

32.6%29.5%37.9%
Swansea City WinDrawWatford Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.12
1Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Blackburn+100
L 4-0 vs Leeds United+425
W 1-0 at Hull City+375
T 2-2 at Birmingham City+210
L 2-1 vs Middlesbrough+240
Watford
Money Line
L 0-1 at Millwall+195
L 2-1 vs Huddersfield+100
W 1-0 at Rotherham United-115
L 2-4 at Norwich City+245
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+225-+220+191-+191+220-
Watford+115-+120+123-+123+123-
Draw+240-+230+245-+245+245-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+225---+205+220+220-
Watford+120---+100+125+125-
Draw+245---+235+240+240-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 20.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +186 to +180
Watford ML moved from +131 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 20.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +225 to +215
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115-o2½-118o2½-121-o2½-121o2½-118-
Underu2½-105-u2½-102u2½+101-u2½+101u2½+101-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.71%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 410.32%
Exactly 61.58%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.11%
Exactly 319.25%
Exactly 54.43%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 036.04%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.77%
Exactly 36.38%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 032.49%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.53%
Exactly 37.70%
Exactly 42.16%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.04%
Exactly 218.27%
Exactly 41.50%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.05%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 062.34%
Exactly 129.46%
Exactly 26.96%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 059.42%
Exactly 130.93%
Exactly 28.05%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals12.28%
Wins by 3+ goals3.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals15.46%
Wins by 3+ goals4.79%
Wins by 4+ goals1.13%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal20.25%
Wins by 2 goals8.79%
Wins by 3 goals2.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal22.31%
Wins by 2 goals10.67%
Wins by 3 goals3.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.29%11.71%
1.563.18%36.82%
2.536.25%63.75%
3.516.99%83.01%
4.56.67%93.33%
5.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.96%36.04%
1.527.18%72.82%
2.58.41%91.59%
3.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.51%32.49%
1.530.99%69.01%
2.510.45%89.55%
3.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.96%37.04%
1.526.17%73.83%
2.57.90%92.10%
3.51.86%98.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Watford
Score012345
0
11.71%
13.16%
7.40%
2.77%
0.78%
0.18%
1
11.95%
13.43%
7.55%
2.83%
0.80%
0.18%
2
6.10%
6.85%
3.85%
1.44%
0.41%
0.09%
3
2.07%
2.33%
1.31%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.53%
0.59%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.12%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-011.95%
2-06.10%
2-16.85%
3-02.07%
3-12.33%
3-21.31%
4-00.53%
4-10.59%
4-20.33%
4-30.13%
5-00.11%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-011.71%
1-113.43%
2-23.85%
3-30.49%
Watford
0-113.16%
0-27.40%
1-27.55%
0-32.77%
1-32.83%
2-31.44%
0-40.78%
1-40.80%
2-40.41%
3-40.14%
0-50.18%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Watford
Score01234
0
37.04%
19.28%
5.02%
0.87%
0.11%
1
17.50%
9.11%
2.37%
0.41%
0.05%
2
4.14%
2.15%
0.56%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.65%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-017.50%
2-04.14%
2-12.15%
3-00.65%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-037.04%
1-19.11%
2-20.56%
Watford
0-119.28%
0-25.02%
1-22.37%
0-30.87%
1-30.41%
0-40.11%