England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leeds United
Luton Town 		66.4%
13.8%		19.7%
-180
+475
-180
+485
2.08
0.83		2.91
o2½-102
u2½-116

Burnley
Coventry City 		59.3%
16.9%		23.8%
+150
+195
+150
+200
1.70
0.78		2.48
o2¼+100
u2¼-115

Stoke City
Preston North End 		34.9%
36.7%		28.4%
+220
+135
+235
+130
1.13
1.17		2.30
o2¼+102
u2¼-122

Derby County
Swansea City 		17.9%
58.6%		23.5%
+290
+106
+315
+105
0.84
1.73		2.57
o2-103
u2-115

Cardiff City
Queens Park Rangers 		43.5%
30.8%		25.7%
+220
+136
+240
+125
1.47
1.20		2.67
o2¼-102
u2¼-113

Watford
Bristol City 		44.7%
27.7%		27.6%
+340
-120
+350
-125
1.34
1.00		2.34
o2½-102
u2½-111

Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday 		38.5%
33.6%		27.8%
+255
+110
+300
+100
1.24
1.13		2.37
o2¼-114
u2¼-102

Games for Apr 4, 2025
Games for Apr 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Middlesbrough
Blackburn		25.1%
49.1%		25.8%
+145
+180
+140
+195
2
0		-0.96220-0.92402-1.38099
Preston North End
Derby County		33.9%
37.2%		28.9%
+280
+123
+295
+115
0
2		-0.86848-0.81579-0.99015
West Bromwich Albion
Norwich City		27.9%
44.5%		27.5%
+250
+105
+265
+110
0
1		-0.78329-0.78117-0.80880
Bristol City
Burnley		14.1%
64.9%		20.9%
+380
-132
+420
-135
0
1		-0.62124-0.60547-0.43205
Swansea City
Leeds United		21.4%
54.2%		24.3%
+1000
-357
+1200
-410
2
2		-1.71108-1.81689-1.41313
Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City		25.2%
49.9%		24.8%
+245
+120
+265
+115
1
3		-0.85329-0.81577-0.69417
Sheffield Wednesday
Cardiff City		24.7%
49.7%		25.6%
+155
+175
+150
+190
1
1		-1.24022-1.22984-1.36145
Luton Town
Hull City		26.5%
48.4%		25.2%
+205
+135
+235
+130
1
0		-1.17002-1.25372-1.32901
Middlesbrough
Luton Town		34.1%
36.9%		29.0%
+160
+160
+165
+160
0
0		-1.29580-1.28888-1.23846
Hull City
West Bromwich Albion		25.2%
50.4%		24.4%
+310
-110
+340
-115
1
1		-1.27307-1.28906-1.41096
Burnley
Swansea City		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+105
+285
+110
+285
2
0		-0.77616-0.78924-0.88249
Cardiff City
Blackburn		31.1%
42.5%		26.3%
+310
-105
+290
+100
2
1		-1.46417-1.41026-1.16764
Stoke City
Millwall		31.9%
39.0%		29.1%
+220
+150
+270
+120
0
1		-0.97774-0.83979-0.94087
Leeds United
Queens Park Rangers		68.6%
13.1%		18.3%
-245
+675
-220
+625
2
2		-1.55481-1.53294-1.69729
Norwich City
Bristol City		46.2%
26.5%		27.3%
+240
+115
+265
+105
1
2		-0.81340-0.76819-1.32738
Blackburn
Stoke City		35.6%
36.4%		28.0%
+185
+150
+190
+160
0
1		-0.98240-1.00622-1.01112
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.96220 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.92402 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.38099
-0.41879
-0.45697

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.