England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 26, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Luton Town
Bristol City 		27.3%
46.2%		26.5%
+205
+130
+220
+130
1.04
1.44		2.48
o2¼-123
u2½-122

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough 		29.7%
41.5%		28.8%
+370
-141
+400
-155
0.99
1.22		2.21
o2¾-104
u2¾-112

Millwall
Norwich City 		21.2%
52.3%		26.5%
+240
+120
+250
+115
0.83
1.47		2.30
o2¼-108
u2¼-110

Hull City
Preston North End 		35.1%
37.6%		27.3%
+215
+125
+230
+125
1.21
1.25		2.46
o2¼-117
u2¼-102

Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City 		16.0%
63.4%		20.6%
+310
-110
+365
-120
0.91
2.03		2.94
o2¼-115
u2¼-102

West Bromwich Albion
Derby County 		45.9%
27.3%		26.8%
+170
+170
+175
+165
1.41
1.03		2.44
o2-124
u2+110

Leeds United
Stoke City 		59.3%
18.2%		22.5%
-195
+500
-195
+535
1.84
0.91		2.75
o2½-120
u2½+105

Games for Dec 25, 2024
Games for Dec 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Middlesbrough
Leeds United		11.2%
70.6%		18.3%
+350
-135
+410
-145
1
3		-0.61243-0.57433-0.34869
Blackburn
Sheffield Wednesday		42.5%
30.0%		27.4%
+215
+126
+225
+130
1
0		-1.20848-1.22762-0.85454
Stoke City
Luton Town		39.0%
32.9%		28.1%
+295
-110
+280
+105
1
2		-0.70743-0.76613-1.11243
Derby County
Burnley		12.2%
67.6%		20.2%
+500
-155
+450
-135
0
0		-1.32163-1.27293-1.60162
Norwich City
Queens Park Rangers		54.5%
21.4%		24.1%
+108
+245
+105
+260
0
3		-1.29317-1.33094-1.54393
Coventry City
Millwall		27.5%
43.7%		28.8%
+159
+185
+175
+175
1
0		-1.00950-1.06025-1.29189
Swansea City
Luton Town		52.7%
22.4%		24.9%
+205
+135
+225
+125
1
1		-1.25956-1.25836-1.38914
Blackburn
Hull City		36.4%
36.6%		27.0%
+165
+155
+185
+145
1
0		-1.03223-1.09910-1.00991
Preston North End
Sheffield Wednesday		35.0%
35.6%		29.3%
+275
+109
+290
+100
1
1		-1.21919-1.27307-1.22598
Derby County
Leeds United		10.8%
71.3%		17.9%
+750
-263
+785
-280
0
2		-0.38010-0.35593-0.33864
Middlesbrough
Burnley		12.6%
66.8%		20.5%
+185
+145
+205
+145
1
1		-1.22112-1.22146-1.58280
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County		30.4%
40.6%		29.1%
+195
+150
+190
+165
2
1		-1.15163-1.11355-1.19132
Burnley
Stoke City		55.1%
20.2%		24.7%
+133
+215
+130
+225
2
0		-0.90333-0.88187-0.59524
West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End		43.8%
29.5%		26.7%
+140
+205
+125
+230
1
1		-1.20755-1.24316-1.31942
Luton Town
Norwich City		16.6%
60.7%		22.7%
+250
+110
+260
+105
2
4		-0.78460-0.76787-0.49942
Cardiff City
Coventry City		38.6%
33.0%		28.4%
+360
-143
+355
-135
2
2		-1.40173-1.41038-1.25871
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.