England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leeds United
Luton Town 		66.4%
13.8%		19.7%
-180
+475
-180
+485
2.08
0.83		2.91
o2½-102
u2½-116

Burnley
Coventry City 		59.3%
16.9%		23.8%
+150
+195
+150
+200
1.70
0.78		2.48
o2¼+100
u2¼-115

Stoke City
Preston North End 		34.9%
36.7%		28.4%
+220
+135
+235
+130
1.13
1.17		2.30
o2¼+102
u2¼-122

Derby County
Swansea City 		17.9%
58.6%		23.5%
+290
+106
+315
+105
0.84
1.73		2.57
o2-103
u2-115

Cardiff City
Queens Park Rangers 		43.5%
30.8%		25.7%
+220
+136
+240
+125
1.47
1.20		2.67
o2¼-102
u2¼-113

Watford
Bristol City 		44.7%
27.7%		27.6%
+340
-120
+350
-125
1.34
1.00		2.34
o2½-102
u2½-111

Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday 		38.5%
33.6%		27.8%
+255
+110
+300
+100
1.24
1.13		2.37
o2¼-114
u2¼-102

Games for Apr 4, 2025
Games for Apr 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Swansea City
Watford		32.6%
37.9%		29.5%
+220
+135
+225
+125
0
1		-0.91327-0.86034-0.97088
Millwall
Leeds United		13.3%
66.3%		20.4%
+1300
-435
+1400
-450
0
2		-0.26810-0.25091-0.41143
Queens Park Rangers
Middlesbrough		29.1%
44.4%		26.5%
+300
-115
+340
-120
1
2		-0.68649-0.65541-0.81234
Coventry City
Derby County		31.9%
38.5%		29.6%
+120
+245
+115
+260
0
2		-1.30320-1.33029-0.95404
Luton Town
Cardiff City		24.5%
50.7%		24.8%
+215
+136
+220
+135
2
1		-1.20441-1.21244-1.40674
West Bromwich Albion
Burnley		20.3%
55.5%		24.2%
+390
-130
+435
-130
1
1		-1.30634-1.25836-1.41977
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+370
-125
+385
-130
0
1		-0.64040-0.62228-0.52022
Middlesbrough
Swansea City		18.4%
57.9%		23.7%
+160
+165
+160
+170
0
1		-1.03753-1.04120-0.54678
Blackburn
Derby County		41.1%
31.3%		27.6%
+175
+180
+170
+185
1
2		-1.08660-1.09527-1.16069
Luton Town
Burnley		11.3%
69.8%		18.8%
+500
-167
+525
-160
0
4		-0.52640-0.53731-0.35912
Hull City
Bristol City		33.7%
39.2%		27.0%
+260
+110
+295
+100
1
1		-1.24935-1.25931-1.30778
Millwall
Watford		22.2%
50.9%		26.8%
+255
+121
+270
+120
2
1		-1.33226-1.35969-1.50323
Stoke City
Coventry City		36.2%
34.4%		29.4%
+380
-145
+440
-160
2
3		-0.58922-0.53190-1.06679
Swansea City
Preston North End		48.2%
25.6%		26.2%
+205
+145
+225
+135
0
0		-1.18836-1.19683-1.34037
Bristol City
Millwall		30.6%
40.7%		28.6%
+190
+165
+190
+180
2
0		-1.13181-1.11045-1.18391
Burnley
Cardiff City		53.6%
21.7%		24.7%
+109
+330
-105
+335
2
1		-0.76524-0.71762-0.62295
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.96220 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.92402 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.38099
-0.41879
-0.45697

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.