England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Games for Sep 13, 2025
Games for Sep 15, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Watford
Swansea City
30.6%
40.4%
29.0%
+375
-127
+300
-105
1
1
-1.29649-1.28910-1.23929
Bristol City
Derby County
35.3%
35.6%
29.2%
+153
+195
+145
+205
1
1
-1.15712-1.19952-1.23169
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
38.2%
32.8%
29.0%
+113
+230
+115
+265
3
0
-0.82064-0.80236-0.96364
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
24.8%
49.7%
25.5%
+275
-109
+300
-105
0
0
-1.31353-1.28910-1.36692
Middlesbrough
Millwall
27.8%
43.4%
28.7%
+240
+123
+240
+125
3
0
-1.27279-1.27357-1.27963
Queens Park Rangers
Watford
16.8%
61.6%
21.6%
+285
-111
+280
+100
1
2
-0.72328-0.74482-0.48391
Birmingham City
Blackburn
15.8%
63.4%
20.8%
+142
+210
+135
+215
2
1
-0.93568-0.90387-1.84573
Coventry City
Derby County
31.9%
38.5%
29.6%
+120
+255
+140
+205
5
3
-0.85060-0.92637-1.14241
Preston North End
Queens Park Rangers
37.5%
35.2%
27.3%
+172
+163
+195
+160
1
1
-1.20401-1.17655-1.30001
Blackburn
West Bromwich Albion
28.5%
45.6%
25.9%
+325
-115
+330
-115
0
1
-0.69213-0.67749-0.78450
Derby County
Stoke City
27.3%
45.4%
27.3%
+280
+111
+280
+120
1
3
-0.80466-0.82794-0.78931
Swansea City
Middlesbrough
49.3%
24.3%
26.5%
+260
+112
+300
+100
0
1
-0.80701-0.73224-1.41527
Millwall
Norwich City
21.2%
52.3%
26.5%
+235
+125
+260
+115
2
1
-1.25836-1.32584-1.55202
Hull City
Coventry City
36.4%
35.2%
28.4%
+375
-139
+365
-135
0
0
-1.37888-1.38633-1.25744
Middlesbrough
Coventry City
31.8%
38.6%
29.6%
+205
+117
+215
+115
0
2
-0.83552-0.81353-0.95143
Preston North End
Bristol City
30.8%
41.7%
27.4%
+300
-104
+325
-120
2
2
-1.26564-1.35810-1.29382
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks61-3-2 (0.333)0-1.24233 
Sportsbooks61-3-2 (0.333)0-1.24725 
DRatings62-2-2 (0.500)0-1.20011
0.04222
0.04714

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.