England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leeds United
Luton Town 		66.4%
13.8%		19.7%
-179
+475
-180
+485
2.08
0.83		2.91
o2½-105
u2½-115

Burnley
Coventry City 		59.3%
16.9%		23.8%
+150
+195
+150
+200
1.70
0.78		2.48
o2¼+100
u2¼-116

Stoke City
Preston North End 		34.9%
36.7%		28.4%
+220
+137
+235
+130
1.13
1.17		2.30
o2¼+105
u2¼-123

Derby County
Swansea City 		17.9%
58.6%		23.5%
+290
+106
+315
+105
0.84
1.73		2.57
o2-104
u2-115

Cardiff City
Queens Park Rangers 		43.5%
30.8%		25.7%
+220
+136
+225
+130
1.47
1.20		2.67
o2¼-102
u2¼-111

Watford
Bristol City 		44.7%
27.7%		27.6%
+340
-120
+350
-125
1.34
1.00		2.34
o2½-102
u2½-111

Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday 		38.5%
33.6%		27.8%
+255
+110
+270
+110
1.24
1.13		2.37
o2¼-115
u2¼-104

Games for Apr 4, 2025
Games for Apr 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Watford
Stoke City		42.8%
28.9%		28.2%
+170
+160
+185
+155
0
0		-1.23943-1.22816-1.26429
Derby County
Middlesbrough		31.0%
40.1%		28.9%
+500
-195
+425
-155
0
1		-0.47768-0.54804-0.91462
West Bromwich Albion
Leeds United		18.3%
59.6%		22.1%
+725
-290
+845
-300
1
1		-1.66411-1.67986-1.51054
Norwich City
Blackburn		41.0%
31.0%		28.0%
+190
+145
+185
+155
1
1		-1.23756-1.22816-1.27314
Middlesbrough
Stoke City		28.0%
44.5%		27.6%
+125
+210
+120
+225
3
1		-0.87029-0.83924-1.27472
Hull City
Cardiff City		30.7%
43.6%		25.7%
+175
+160
+160
+180
0
1		-1.00994-1.07790-0.83078
Luton Town
Watford		17.5%
59.4%		23.1%
+205
+140
+210
+145
0
2		-0.93092-0.94317-0.52152
Blackburn
Swansea City		24.6%
50.1%		25.2%
+220
+125
+195
+150
0
3		-0.88271-0.96648-0.69053
Stoke City
Norwich City		21.5%
53.2%		25.4%
+370
-140
+395
-145
2
4		-0.60327-0.57357-0.63156
Preston North End
Coventry City		33.4%
37.5%		29.1%
+330
-120
+360
-115
1
2		-0.66791-0.67525-0.98043
Millwall
Derby County		35.9%
33.8%		30.3%
+220
+150
+235
+145
1
0		-1.22578-1.25917-1.02343
Middlesbrough
Bristol City		29.3%
42.9%		27.8%
+195
+135
+210
+125
1
2		-0.91140-0.85849-0.84644
Millwall
Preston North End		34.2%
36.3%		29.5%
+235
+145
+235
+155
1
1		-1.09386-1.07634-1.22234
Swansea City
Stoke City		44.5%
28.1%		27.3%
+190
+140
+205
+140
1
3		-0.93800-0.92637-1.26776
Coventry City
Sheffield Wednesday		33.0%
37.0%		30.0%
+195
+135
+215
+130
2
1		-1.14718-1.19690-1.10836
West Bromwich Albion
Millwall		39.9%
31.6%		28.5%
+178
+180
+185
+180
1
1		-1.11285-1.12775-1.25453
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.96220 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.92402 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.38099
-0.41879
-0.45697

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.