England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 20, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hull City
Stoke City 		32.2%
40.9%		26.9%
+260
+105
+250
+110
1.16
1.34		2.50
o2½-107
u2½-110

Games for Sep 19, 2024
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Watford
Millwall		42.3%
28.4%		29.2%
+215
+140
+215
+135
3
2		-1.19769-1.19683-0.85986
Coventry City
Stoke City		27.6%
44.7%		27.6%
+184
+147
+180
+145
0
1		-0.94998-0.94585-0.80464
Derby County
Blackburn		24.5%
50.0%		25.5%
+230
+120
+225
+120
2
4		-0.83082-0.83924-0.69225
Cardiff City
Rotherham United		37.8%
35.1%		27.1%
+123
+230
+120
+230
2
5		-1.23850-1.24434-1.04671
Watford
Middlesbrough		47.4%
25.1%		27.5%
+310
-128
+340
-140
1
3		-0.62536-0.58927-1.38314
Norwich City
Birmingham City		62.7%
15.2%		22.1%
+165
+145
+175
+135
0
1		-0.96113-0.90217-1.88341
Bristol City
Stoke City		30.8%
41.6%		27.5%
+210
+120
+250
+105
0
4		-0.83829-0.76787-0.87592
Queens Park Rangers
Coventry City		29.3%
43.7%		27.0%
+260
-110
+190
+135
2
1		-1.33423-1.11544-1.22844
Millwall
Swansea City		21.4%
52.6%		25.9%
+280
+101
+270
+100
1
0		-1.38031-1.35899-1.53959
Preston North End
West Bromwich Albion		22.8%
52.8%		24.4%
+575
-200
+800
-245
0
3		-0.46826-0.39217-0.63837
Middlesbrough
Cardiff City		26.5%
47.3%		26.2%
-120
+310
-125
+315
4
1		-0.65732-0.63936-1.32727
Rotherham United
Bristol City		30.8%
42.4%		26.8%
+690
-263
+720
-250
0
2		-0.37997-0.38649-0.85790
Birmingham City
Huddersfield		26.7%
46.7%		26.6%
+185
+151
+200
+150
1
1		-1.27676-1.25082-1.32531
Coventry City
Blackburn		24.8%
49.2%		26.0%
+220
+125
+215
+115
0
0		-1.32516-1.35981-1.34630
West Bromwich Albion
Sheffield Wednesday		47.4%
26.1%		26.5%
+158
+185
+150
+190
0
3		-1.10657-1.11590-1.34258
Swansea City
Norwich City		31.3%
39.3%		29.4%
+370
-149
+370
-150
2
2		-1.43607-1.48470-1.22588
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.