England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Birmingham City
Norwich City 		11.1%
69.9%		19.0%
+288
-112

0.69
2.08		2.77
o2½-130
u2½+110

West Bromwich Albion
Derby County 		45.9%
27.3%		26.8%
+130
+212

1.41
1.03		2.44
o2½-108
u2½-112

Queens Park Rangers
Charlton Athletic 		34.5%
38.6%		27.0%
+125
+224

1.21
1.29		2.50
o2½-105
u2½-115

Games for Sep 8, 2026
Games for Sep 12, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Coventry City
Watford		18.9%
56.0%		25.1%
+134
+182
+100
+235
4
0		-0.91185-0.74051-1.66421
Norwich City
Hull City		45.6%
27.8%		26.6%
+215
+106
+275
-115
1
2		-0.78347-0.67598-1.28049
Charlton Athletic
Swansea City		14.9%
64.4%		20.8%
+315
-128
+310
-120
1
3		-0.63756-0.65732-0.44068
West Bromwich Albion
Sheffield Wednesday		47.4%
26.1%		26.5%
-145
+375
-200
+455
1
2		-1.61525-1.76551-1.34258
Stoke City
Bristol City		33.5%
38.3%		28.1%
+250
-104
+260
-105
0
2		-0.73743-0.71756-0.95938
Swansea City
Norwich City		31.3%
39.3%		29.4%
+350
-143
+350
-140
1
1		-1.46413-1.45925-1.22588
Derby County
Queens Park Rangers		35.0%
37.1%		27.9%
+130
+200
+130
+205
3
2		-0.88926-0.88409-1.05117
Bristol City
Birmingham City		48.6%
25.3%		26.1%
+295
-117
+300
-115
1
2		-0.67844-0.67598-1.37377
Watford
Middlesbrough		47.4%
25.1%		27.5%
+440
-169
+625
-255
1
5		-0.52057-0.38003-1.38314
Hull City
Charlton Athletic		42.8%
30.9%		26.4%
+136
+210
+155
+185
1
2		-1.18856-1.09679-1.17548
Preston North End
Birmingham City		46.9%
26.6%		26.5%
+490
-196
+420
-160
1
2		-0.46949-0.53582-1.32411
Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough		29.7%
41.5%		28.8%
+1450
-769
+1600
-750
0
1		-0.19121-0.17613-0.88037
Millwall
Stoke City		31.5%
39.4%		29.1%
-152
+380
-110
+280
3
1		-0.56525-0.69555-1.15547
Watford
West Bromwich Albion		34.8%
36.3%		28.9%
+415
-147
+400
-140
0
3		-0.57343-0.58780-1.01266
Derby County
Norwich City		17.7%
58.2%		24.0%
+225
+124
+265
+100
1
2		-0.86204-0.74360-0.54044
Swansea City
Queens Park Rangers		54.9%
21.6%		23.5%
+198
+138
+235
+120
2
1		-1.14476-1.25924-0.60029
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10244 
Sportsbooks20-0-1 (0.750)2 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.95340
0.14903

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.