England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Stoke City
Preston North End 		34.9%
36.7%		28.4%
+195
+150
+210
+150
1.13
1.17		2.30
o2-120
u2+105

Derby County
Swansea City 		17.9%
58.6%		23.5%
+295
+115
+315
+110
0.84
1.73		2.57
o1¾-120
u1¾+102

Cardiff City
Queens Park Rangers 		43.5%
30.8%		25.7%
+205
+142
+225
+135
1.47
1.20		2.67
o2¼+102
u2¼-120

Watford
Bristol City 		44.7%
27.7%		27.6%
+285
-110
+330
-115
1.34
1.00		2.34
o2½-105
u2½-111

Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday 		38.5%
33.6%		27.8%
+245
+116
+260
+110
1.24
1.13		2.37
o2½+105
u2½-120

Games for Apr 4, 2025
Games for Apr 8, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Leeds United
Luton Town 		66.4%
13.8%		19.7%
-152
+460
-180
+485
2.91
o2½-102
u2½-111

1st H
24:00		0
1
Burnley
Coventry City 		59.3%
16.9%		23.8%
+125
+220
+150
+200
2.48
o2¼-118
u2¼+104

1st H
23:00		1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Watford
Middlesbrough		47.4%
25.1%		27.5%
+420
-165
+440
-170
1
0		-1.70303-1.73528-0.74676
Norwich City
Hull City		45.6%
27.8%		26.6%
+180
+150
+190
+140
1
1		-1.27379-1.28844-1.32475
Burnley
Preston North End		58.5%
18.1%		23.4%
+114
+300
+115
+280
0
0		-1.14800-1.18101-1.45051
Bristol City
Cardiff City		29.3%
44.4%		26.3%
+140
+195
+150
+185
1
1		-1.26167-1.25716-1.33530
Derby County
Queens Park Rangers		35.0%
37.1%		27.9%
+295
+105
+280
+110
0
4		-0.78441-0.79248-0.99029
Blackburn
West Bromwich Albion		28.5%
45.6%		25.9%
+320
-111
+335
-120
2
0		-1.49584-1.51827-1.25597
Sheffield Wednesday
Swansea City		17.0%
59.9%		23.1%
+160
+165
+165
+170
1
0		-1.01849-1.02407-1.77337
Stoke City
Bristol City		33.5%
38.3%		28.1%
+360
-130
+390
-140
0
2		-0.63286-0.58834-0.95938
Hull City
Burnley		14.8%
64.8%		20.4%
+440
-139
+450
-140
0
2		-0.60947-0.58861-0.43362
Preston North End
Norwich City		19.3%
56.6%		24.2%
+380
-135
+410
-140
1
0		-1.62384-1.67772-1.64750
Queens Park Rangers
Coventry City		29.3%
43.7%		27.0%
+290
-105
+305
-110
0
1		-0.73401-0.69399-0.82787
Swansea City
Bristol City		46.3%
26.9%		26.8%
+340
-122
+340
-120
1
0		-1.54225-1.53090-0.76923
Derby County
Norwich City		17.7%
58.2%		24.0%
+360
-123
+375
-135
1
1		-1.30601-1.37215-1.42553
Sheffield Wednesday
West Bromwich Albion		19.9%
56.2%		23.9%
+245
+112
+220
+120
1
2		-0.80560-0.83605-0.57682
Leeds United
Coventry City		63.4%
15.1%		21.4%
-121
+320
-120
+335
2
0		-0.66025-0.65427-0.45531
Blackburn
Queens Park Rangers		45.4%
29.2%		25.4%
+175
+160
+185
+165
1
2		-1.01448-1.02413-1.23004
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.96220 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.92402 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.38099
-0.41879
-0.45697

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.