England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
Norwich City 		15.9%
63.0%		21.2%
+330
-125

0.86
1.96		2.82
o2½-111
u2½-108

Sheffield Wednesday
Preston North End 		28.7%
43.6%		27.7%
+200
+150

1.02
1.32		2.34
o2¼+105
u2¼-120

Hull City
Blackburn 		29.2%
45.4%		25.4%
+270
+108

1.17
1.52		2.69
o2¼-111
u2¼-105

Millwall
Coventry City 		35.3%
34.0%		30.6%
+340
-120

1.02
1.00		2.02
o2¼-102
u2¼-118

Luton Town
Swansea City 		16.7%
61.2%		22.0%
+210
+125

0.86
1.87		2.73
o2½+102
u2½-119

Cardiff City
Watford 		24.2%
50.1%		25.7%
+270
+100

0.98
1.53		2.51
o2½-110
u2½-108

Leeds United
Derby County 		64.1%
14.9%		21.0%
-180
+460

1.96
0.81		2.77
o2½+102
u2½-118

Burnley
Middlesbrough 		59.2%
17.1%		23.7%
+215
+129

1.71
0.79		2.50
o2¼-118
u2¼-101

Games for Dec 28, 2024
Games for Jan 1, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Leeds United
Stoke City 		59.3%
18.2%		22.5%
-210
+550
-230
+675
2.75
o2¾+102
u2¾-121

2nd H
90:00		2
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cardiff City
Luton Town		41.6%
31.5%		26.9%
+310
-115
+370
-135
0
1		-0.68443-0.60347-1.15664
Derby County
Coventry City		31.1%
39.4%		29.5%
+500
-180
+460
-155
2
1		-1.85253-1.76469-1.16825
Stoke City
Blackburn		29.2%
44.4%		26.4%
+230
+115
+240
+115
2
0		-1.25432-1.26773-1.23114
Leeds United
Millwall		58.4%
18.1%		23.5%
-120
+345
-110
+350
0
1		-1.55932-1.55197-1.71036
Watford
Swansea City		30.6%
40.4%		29.0%
+275
-105
+300
-115
0
1		-0.72054-0.67598-0.90656
Middlesbrough
Queens Park Rangers		35.6%
36.3%		28.1%
-120
+300
-105
+285
4
1		-0.66980-0.71756-1.03204
Burnley
Millwall		54.3%
20.0%		25.8%
+180
+170
+185
+175
0
1		-1.06311-1.05834-1.61154
Bristol City
Preston North End		33.6%
38.4%		28.0%
+185
+156
+200
+150
3
1		-1.11438-1.14816-1.09061
Coventry City
Middlesbrough		31.2%
39.3%		29.5%
+310
-125
+330
-135
3
0		-1.46850-1.50828-1.16520
Norwich City
Cardiff City		42.7%
29.6%		27.6%
+200
+125
+165
+155
1
2		-0.86869-0.98602-1.21743
Derby County
Stoke City		27.3%
45.4%		27.3%
+205
+135
+240
+115
1
2		-0.90084-0.81744-0.78931
West Bromwich Albion
Luton Town		48.3%
26.0%		25.7%
+169
+160
+150
+180
1
1		-1.25162-1.27379-1.35934
Middlesbrough
Norwich City		18.2%
57.4%		24.4%
+140
+180
+130
+195
3
3		-1.32096-1.33120-1.40997
Cardiff City
West Bromwich Albion		27.1%
47.6%		25.3%
+320
-119
+365
-120
0
0		-1.31781-1.33865-1.37520
Millwall
Swansea City		21.4%
52.6%		25.9%
+185
+150
+190
+155
1
0		-1.11819-1.11773-1.53959
Hull City
Derby County		37.1%
35.0%		27.9%
+215
+125
+215
+125
1
1		-1.27827-1.28884-1.27597
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks64-1-1 (0.750)0-0.94813 
Sportsbooks64-1-1 (0.750)0-0.97022 
DRatings64-1-1 (0.750)0-0.89932
0.04880
0.07089

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.