England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 8, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Luton Town
Stoke City 		26.0%
47.9%		26.2%
+200
+140

1.01
1.48		2.49
o2¼-102
u2¼-112

Sheffield Wednesday
Blackburn 		23.3%
51.5%		25.2%
+170
+155

0.97
1.59		2.56
o2¼-110
u2¼-110

West Bromwich Albion
Bristol City 		42.1%
30.9%		27.1%
+210
+125

1.34
1.11		2.45
o2¼-113
u2¼-105

Cardiff City
Preston North End 		37.2%
35.1%		27.7%
+220
+125

1.22
1.18		2.40
o2¼+107
u2¼-125

Hull City
Watford 		22.4%
53.1%		24.5%
+215
+125

0.98
1.65		2.63
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Burnley
Derby County 		60.1%
16.6%		23.3%
-105
+330

1.74
0.79		2.53
o2-103
u2-115

Leeds United
Middlesbrough 		63.3%
15.3%		21.4%
-139
+350

1.92
0.82		2.74
o2½-116
u2½+100

Games for Apr 7, 2025
Games for Apr 12, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Preston North End
Norwich City		19.3%
56.6%		24.2%
+380
-135
+410
-140
1
0		-1.62384-1.67772-1.64750
Queens Park Rangers
Coventry City		29.3%
43.7%		27.0%
+290
-105
+305
-110
0
1		-0.73401-0.69399-0.82787
Swansea City
Bristol City		46.3%
26.9%		26.8%
+340
-122
+340
-120
1
0		-1.54225-1.53090-0.76923
Derby County
Norwich City		17.7%
58.2%		24.0%
+360
-123
+375
-135
1
1		-1.30601-1.37215-1.42553
Sheffield Wednesday
West Bromwich Albion		19.9%
56.2%		23.9%
+245
+112
+220
+120
1
2		-0.80560-0.83605-0.57682
Leeds United
Coventry City		63.4%
15.1%		21.4%
-121
+320
-120
+335
2
0		-0.66025-0.65427-0.45531
Blackburn
Queens Park Rangers		45.4%
29.2%		25.4%
+175
+160
+185
+165
1
2		-1.01448-1.02413-1.23004
Coventry City
Swansea City		18.2%
57.9%		23.9%
+162
+170
+155
+180
2
0		-1.00830-0.98709-1.70485
Luton Town
Sheffield Wednesday		31.5%
39.8%		28.6%
+295
+100
+300
-100
1
1		-1.24859-1.24559-1.25117
Queens Park Rangers
Millwall		25.2%
48.9%		25.8%
+290
+116
+255
+135
1
2		-0.82148-0.90515-0.71443
Cardiff City
Leeds United		14.4%
66.2%		19.5%
+900
-345
+930
-330
0
7		-0.31325-0.31653-0.41308
Stoke City
Hull City		32.9%
40.2%		26.9%
+280
-105
+335
-120
2
1		-1.40625-1.52193-1.11313
Preston North End
Blackburn		26.5%
47.9%		25.5%
+270
+115
+260
+115
1
2		-0.81225-0.81482-0.73518
Sheffield Wednesday
Queens Park Rangers		33.6%
38.6%		27.8%
+190
+150
+205
+145
2
0		-1.12046-1.16254-1.09041
Middlesbrough
Preston North End		30.6%
41.2%		28.1%
+115
+240
+120
+245
1
2		-1.27172-1.27615-0.88622
Watford
Coventry City		47.4%
24.7%		27.8%
+360
-130
+365
-135
1
2		-0.62207-0.60239-1.39731
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks73-1-3 (0.643)0-1.07387 
Sportsbooks73-1-3 (0.643)0-1.08881 
DRatings73-1-3 (0.643)0-1.07632
-0.00246
0.01248

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.