England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
Norwich City 		15.9%
63.0%		21.2%
+330
-128
+295
-145
0.86
1.96		2.82
o2½-112
u2½-108

Sheffield Wednesday
Preston North End 		28.7%
43.6%		27.7%
+200
+150
+185
+130
1.02
1.32		2.34
o2¼+103
u2¼-120

Hull City
Blackburn 		29.2%
45.4%		25.4%
+270
+100
+240
-110
1.17
1.52		2.69
o2¼-117
u2¼-102

Millwall
Coventry City 		35.3%
34.0%		30.6%
+340
-125
+295
-135
1.02
1.00		2.02
o2¼-102
u2¼-118

Luton Town
Swansea City 		16.7%
61.2%		22.0%
+210
+125
+190
+110
0.86
1.87		2.73
o2½+102
u2½-121

Cardiff City
Watford 		24.2%
50.1%		25.7%
+270
+100
+250
-120
0.98
1.53		2.51
o2½-112
u2½-108

Leeds United
Derby County 		64.1%
14.9%		21.0%
-156
+440
-185
+385
1.96
0.81		2.77
o2¼-120
u2¼+102

Burnley
Middlesbrough 		59.2%
17.1%		23.7%
+205
+129
+185
+115
1.71
0.79		2.50
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Games for Dec 28, 2024
Games for Jan 1, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hull City
Derby County		37.1%
35.0%		27.9%
+215
+125
+215
+125
1
1		-1.27827-1.28884-1.27597
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley		10.7%
72.0%		17.3%
+460
-141
+410
-145
0
0		-1.30092-1.38482-1.75365
Blackburn
Watford		25.5%
48.3%		26.2%
+195
+136
+190
+140
0
1		-0.91807-0.92553-0.72759
Luton Town
Coventry City		29.9%
41.8%		28.2%
+210
+128
+220
+120
2
3		-0.86998-0.83605-0.87158
Leeds United
Bristol City		61.0%
17.2%		21.8%
-110
+295
-110
+300
0
0		-1.30306-1.33124-1.52207
West Bromwich Albion
Blackburn		36.7%
35.7%		27.6%
+165
+161
+170
+170
0
0		-1.23361-1.22595-1.28880
Burnley
Hull City		56.5%
20.0%		23.4%
+140
+195
+165
+175
1
1		-1.25096-1.22622-1.45107
Coventry City
Queens Park Rangers		35.1%
36.4%		28.4%
+144
+190
+135
+205
1
1		-1.27140-1.25956-1.25825
Bristol City
Stoke City		30.8%
41.6%		27.5%
+200
+130
+185
+150
2
2		-1.29474-1.25716-1.28946
Swansea City
Sheffield Wednesday		51.4%
22.5%		26.0%
+260
+105
+270
+105
0
0		-1.29233-1.27461-1.34596
Norwich City
Preston North End		47.9%
25.3%		26.9%
+155
+176
+170
+170
2
2		-1.23898-1.22595-1.31427
Norwich City
Stoke City		44.4%
27.8%		27.8%
+160
+155
+160
+165
1
1		-1.34423-1.28888-1.27999
Derby County
Millwall		27.2%
44.4%		28.4%
+310
-105
+295
+100
1
1		-1.22950-1.25931-1.25773
Bristol City
Middlesbrough		34.6%
36.4%		29.0%
+400
-155
+380
-145
2
0		-1.67169-1.61757-1.06106
Swansea City
Blackburn		41.1%
31.6%		27.3%
+230
+112
+230
+120
0
1		-0.80629-0.83480-1.15360
Coventry City
Preston North End		30.2%
41.4%		28.4%
+145
+185
+145
+195
0
1		-1.09910-1.12646-0.88307
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks75-1-1 (0.786)0-0.87645 
Sportsbooks75-1-1 (0.786)0-0.88991 
DRatings75-1-1 (0.786)0-0.84558
0.03086
0.04433

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.