England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Birmingham City
Norwich City 		11.1%
69.9%		19.0%
+288
-112

0.69
2.08		2.77
o2½-130
u2½+110

West Bromwich Albion
Derby County 		45.9%
27.3%		26.8%
+130
+212

1.41
1.03		2.44
o2½-108
u2½-112

Queens Park Rangers
Charlton Athletic 		34.5%
38.6%		27.0%
+125
+224

1.21
1.29		2.50
o2½-105
u2½-115

Games for Sep 8, 2026
Games for Sep 12, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bristol City
Middlesbrough		34.6%
36.4%		29.0%
+550
-217
+550
-230
1
1		-1.64709-1.65900-1.23957
Preston North End
Coventry City		33.4%
37.5%		29.1%
+575
-208
+610
-235
0
3		-0.42817-0.40398-0.98043
Queens Park Rangers
Birmingham City		41.8%
31.4%		26.8%
+450
-137
+445
-155
0
1		-0.57778-0.54765-1.15855
Charlton Athletic
Middlesbrough		27.2%
45.8%		27.0%
+900
-333
+730
-280
1
0		-2.33769-2.16648-1.30365
Derby County
Millwall		27.2%
44.4%		28.4%
+280
+100
+265
+105
0
1		-0.74087-0.76819-0.81270
Middlesbrough
Queens Park Rangers		35.6%
36.3%		28.1%
-116
+310
-125
+330
4
0		-0.66483-0.63779-1.03204
Stoke City
Swansea City		21.7%
53.4%		24.8%
+325
-112
+315
-110
0
2		-0.67863-0.69587-0.62670
Coventry City
Bristol City		29.0%
43.1%		27.9%
+111
+250
+100
+255
2
0		-0.78342-0.74381-1.23946
Birmingham City
Charlton Athletic		25.9%
47.9%		26.2%
+105
+290
+100
+290
0
1		-1.39046-1.41026-0.73637
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County		30.4%
40.6%		29.1%
+1000
-370
+1075
-410
1
2		-0.28307-0.26860-0.90263
Millwall
Hull City		32.3%
39.9%		27.9%
+140
+208
+130
+230
3
1		-0.91031-0.88201-1.13109
Middlesbrough
Birmingham City		44.7%
27.7%		27.6%
+160
+175
+150
+170
3
1		-0.99701-0.96333-0.80455
Millwall
Preston North End		34.2%
36.3%		29.5%
+129
+205
+130
+215
2
0		-0.87760-0.88242-1.07233
Stoke City
Coventry City		36.2%
34.4%		29.4%
+525
-189
+485
-185
1
2		-0.45789-0.48088-1.06679
Blackburn
Derby County		41.1%
31.3%		27.6%
+270
+112
+260
+115
1
3		-0.79367-0.81482-1.16069
Watford
Bristol City		44.7%
27.7%		27.6%
+190
+148
+185
+155
2
1		-1.09790-1.09679-0.80524
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10244 
Sportsbooks20-0-1 (0.750)2 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.95340
0.14903

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.