England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
Norwich City 		15.9%
63.0%		21.2%
+295
-115

0.86
1.96		2.82
o2½-122
u2½+102

Sheffield Wednesday
Preston North End 		28.7%
43.6%		27.7%
+200
+150

1.02
1.32		2.34
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Hull City
Blackburn 		29.2%
45.4%		25.4%
+300
-110

1.17
1.52		2.69
o2¼+102
u2¼-122

Millwall
Coventry City 		35.3%
34.0%		30.6%
+340
-125

1.02
1.00		2.02
o2¼+102
u2¼-122

Luton Town
Swansea City 		16.7%
61.2%		22.0%
+190
+135

0.86
1.87		2.73
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Cardiff City
Watford 		24.2%
50.1%		25.7%
+290
-105

0.98
1.53		2.51
o2½-122
u2½+102

Leeds United
Derby County 		64.1%
14.9%		21.0%
-195
+500

1.96
0.81		2.77
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Middlesbrough 		59.2%
17.1%		23.7%
+230
+110

1.71
0.79		2.50
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Games for Dec 26, 2024
Games for Jan 1, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bristol City
West Bromwich Albion		24.0%
51.1%		24.9%
+245
+120
+265
+120
0
2		-0.84847-0.83829-0.67144
Preston North End
Queens Park Rangers		37.5%
35.2%		27.3%
+175
+165
+200
+165
1
2		-1.05151-1.02304-1.04415
Blackburn
Millwall		35.3%
35.6%		29.1%
+220
+135
+230
+140
0
1		-0.90372-0.91195-1.03145
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday		38.2%
32.8%		29.0%
+340
-121
+345
-130
0
2		-0.65360-0.62228-1.11368
Swansea City
Hull City		45.8%
28.2%		26.0%
+185
+140
+175
+150
1
2		-0.94801-0.96840-1.26560
Derby County
Luton Town		33.5%
37.8%		28.8%
+270
+111
+250
+120
1
2		-0.81135-0.83986-0.97408
West Bromwich Albion
Watford		29.2%
43.0%		27.7%
+180
+155
+180
+165
1
2		-0.99604-1.02521-0.84283
Cardiff City
Stoke City		34.2%
38.2%		27.6%
+265
+100
+255
+110
2
2		-1.28964-1.27447-1.28844
Millwall
Middlesbrough		35.1%
34.4%		30.5%
+420
-155
+465
-155
0
1		-0.56252-0.54806-1.06714
Luton Town
Blackburn		23.1%
52.5%		24.3%
+215
+126
+240
+120
0
2		-0.87642-0.83884-0.64422
Leeds United
Preston North End		62.5%
16.2%		21.3%
-175
+475
-155
+450
1
1		-1.42553-1.39630-1.54768
Hull City
Coventry City		36.4%
35.2%		28.4%
+350
-140
+350
-130
1
2		-0.60225-0.61990-1.04449
Queens Park Rangers
Bristol City		26.6%
48.3%		25.1%
+360
-125
+325
-115
1
1		-1.29927-1.31751-1.38151
Coventry City
West Bromwich Albion		21.3%
54.1%		24.7%
+180
+145
+200
+145
0
2		-0.97101-0.94410-0.61500
Watford
Hull City		44.1%
29.1%		26.9%
+190
+135
+200
+140
1
1		-1.28623-1.26691-1.31483
Preston North End
Cardiff City		28.0%
46.1%		25.9%
+220
+135
+235
+140
2
0		-1.23206-1.25632-1.27432
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.