England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough
31.5%
39.8%
28.7%
+165
+181
+165
+180
1
3
-1.07790-1.07555-0.92206
Stoke City
Nottingham Forest
34.5%
36.1%
29.4%
+216
+145
+220
+140
1
1
-1.06649-1.06976-1.04220
Norwich City
Queens Park Rangers
50.0%
26.4%
23.6%
-137
+366
-140
+335
3
1
-0.57192-0.58638-0.69407
Rotherham United
Barnsley
35.0%
37.1%
27.9%
+393
-130
+425
-140
0
1
-0.60400-0.58931-0.99269
Huddersfield
Blackburn
25.6%
52.0%
22.3%
+235
+120
+280
+115
2
5
-0.82032-0.77936-0.65345
Brentford
Bournemouth
35.1%
35.8%
29.1%
+220
+125
+205
+130
1
0
-1.21049-1.16632-1.04700
Nottingham Forest
Birmingham City
43.5%
29.2%
27.3%
+196
+164
+200
+165
1
1
-1.07673-1.08506-1.03244
Barnsley
Huddersfield
36.6%
34.8%
28.6%
+101
+291
+100
+290
1
0
-0.74444-0.74244-1.00428
Reading
Luton Town
38.7%
33.9%
27.5%
+115
+248
+115
+240
0
0
-1.04770-1.03472-1.01636
Coventry City
Stoke City
30.2%
42.2%
27.5%
+182
+175
+200
+170
3
2
-1.08702-1.12458-1.19657
Bristol City
Wycombe Wanderers
42.8%
30.7%
26.5%
+167
+167
+175
+160
1
2
-1.02856-1.00550-1.17941
Bournemouth
Millwall
41.5%
30.1%
28.4%
-128
+372
-130
+360
4
1
-0.62347-0.61865-0.87830
Middlesbrough
Rotherham United
32.7%
39.8%
27.5%
+181
+155
+175
+155
2
1
-1.08040-1.06031-1.11669
Derby County
Preston North End
31.9%
40.3%
27.8%
+150
+217
+150
+210
0
3
-1.17662-1.18061-0.90773
Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City
22.8%
57.7%
19.5%
+340
-110
+335
-120
1
0
-1.50063-1.51827-1.47762
Blackburn
Sheffield Wednesday
40.7%
32.0%
27.3%
+166
+165
+165
+165
0
1
-1.01203-1.02223-1.13975
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.