England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+240
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+255

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+150
+165

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3-105
u3-108

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+263
+105

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-114
u2½-105

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+150
+180

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-112
u2½-105

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Swansea City
Barnsley		47.2%
27.5%		25.3%
+285
+125
+285
+125
1
0		-1.37654-1.39594-0.75131
Brentford
Bournemouth		35.1%
35.8%		29.1%
+179
+176
+175
+175
0
1		-1.05665-1.06025-1.02599
Swansea City
Watford		33.4%
37.1%		29.5%
+220
+142
+280
-105
0
2		-0.91212-0.72081-0.99131
Huddersfield
Reading		27.2%
49.0%		23.8%
+320
-115
+275
-110
2
2		-1.06258-1.03644-1.00772
Luton Town
Queens Park Rangers		34.5%
38.4%		27.0%
+220
+119
+210
+125
1
3		-0.82467-0.86232-0.95581
Preston North End
Nottingham Forest		32.8%
38.5%		28.8%
+231
+128
+220
+125
2
1		-1.23715-1.21713-1.11587
Wycombe Wanderers
Middlesbrough		27.8%
46.5%		25.7%
+330
-122
+330
-130
3
0		-1.49830-1.51136-1.28114
Rotherham United
Cardiff City		30.9%
43.9%		25.2%
+150
+178
+170
+150
1
1		-1.00994-1.00552-0.99868
Norwich City
Barnsley		46.9%
27.1%		26.0%
+125
+206
+145
+185
2
2		-1.00961-1.02349-1.03128
Birmingham City
Blackburn		22.5%
57.7%		19.8%
+537
-197
+290
-110
2
5		-0.45169-0.69941-0.55054
Stoke City
Bournemouth		26.5%
49.0%		24.5%
+503
-185
+370
-140
2
0		-1.84314-1.59875-1.32829
Brentford
Bristol City		46.7%
28.3%		25.1%
-235
+743
-160
+430
3
1		-0.37061-0.53816-0.76181
Millwall
Coventry City		35.1%
34.2%		30.6%
+182
+157
+185
+150
1
6		-0.98104-0.96880-1.07265
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County		31.9%
39.1%		29.0%
+220
+130
+205
+135
3
3		-1.04026-1.03539-1.04100
Rotherham United
Luton Town		35.9%
36.2%		27.9%
+160
+166
+155
+165
0
0		-1.01215-1.00526-1.02026
Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City		29.2%
46.3%		24.5%
+216
+130
+215
+125
2
0		-1.19247-1.19786-1.23090
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.