England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Reading
Birmingham City
47.1%
28.0%
24.9%
+133
+275
+125
+250
1
2
-1.33007-1.30416-1.27239
Barnsley
Wycombe Wanderers
39.0%
33.0%
28.1%
-155
+470
-155
+450
3
1
-0.18481-0.18959-0.40012
Norwich City
Nottingham Forest
43.7%
28.4%
27.9%
-123
+375
-125
+375
2
0
-0.22807-0.22334-0.33380
Millwall
Queens Park Rangers
38.8%
33.4%
27.8%
+205
+162
+200
+160
2
3
-0.99479-1.00550-1.09790
Swansea City
Bournemouth
33.0%
38.3%
28.6%
+284
+107
+285
+105
0
3
-0.76871-0.76718-0.62189
Preston North End
Middlesbrough
34.0%
37.3%
28.7%
+325
+100
+375
-120
0
2
-0.73075-0.65502-0.64726
Brentford
Derby County
49.7%
26.0%
24.3%
+108
+300
-105
+320
2
2
-0.84972-0.87011-0.74443
Stoke City
Cardiff City
32.5%
40.6%
26.9%
+220
+149
+220
+140
0
0
-0.71826-0.71518-0.69935
Coventry City
Luton Town
34.2%
36.5%
29.3%
+150
+214
+145
+225
0
2
-1.18446-1.22666-0.66022
Watford
Cardiff City
39.7%
32.5%
27.8%
+148
+213
+150
+210
2
1
-0.36564-0.36686-0.59815
Preston North End
Wycombe Wanderers
41.4%
31.5%
27.1%
+116
+253
+110
+260
0
1
-1.30004-1.33207-0.83836
Bristol City
Birmingham City
45.2%
28.9%
25.8%
+290
+114
+295
+105
3
0
-0.60343-0.62185-0.49441
Barnsley
Bournemouth
23.6%
54.4%
22.1%
+251
+120
+240
+120
3
2
-0.57343-0.56600-1.19607
Millwall
Derby County
35.6%
34.1%
30.3%
+197
+172
+200
+165
1
0
-0.43203-0.44551-0.67139
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
35.7%
35.0%
29.3%
+248
+130
+255
+130
0
3
-0.88378-0.88150-0.70421
Reading
Nottingham Forest
35.0%
36.1%
29.0%
+196
+164
+185
+175
1
1
-0.73216-0.74355-0.69327
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.