England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Birmingham City
Norwich City 		11.1%
69.9%		19.0%
+288
-112

0.69
2.08		2.77
o2½-125
u2½+105

West Bromwich Albion
Derby County 		45.9%
27.3%		26.8%
+120
+240

1.41
1.03		2.44
o2½-105
u2½-114

Queens Park Rangers
Charlton Athletic 		34.5%
38.6%		27.0%
+125
+224

1.21
1.29		2.50
o2½-102
u2½-116

Games for Sep 8, 2026
Games for Sep 12, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Millwall
Watford		22.2%
50.9%		26.8%
+225
+123
+240
+110
2
0		-1.22769-1.27447-1.50323
Middlesbrough
West Bromwich Albion		21.6%
54.0%		24.4%
+183
+153
+195
+145
3
2		-1.09506-1.13075-1.53428
Preston North End
Bristol City		30.8%
41.7%		27.4%
+320
-115
+340
-125
2
0		-1.48457-1.52993-1.17626
Stoke City
Norwich City		21.5%
53.2%		25.4%
+265
+105
+255
+105
2
0		-1.34508-1.31684-1.53898
Charlton Athletic
Blackburn		20.8%
56.0%		23.2%
+280
+112
+295
+110
2
2		-1.17600-1.18202-1.45994
Swansea City
Millwall		44.0%
27.7%		28.4%
+265
+110
+280
+115
1
2		-0.80737-0.81507-1.28540
Sheffield Wednesday
Queens Park Rangers		33.6%
38.6%		27.8%
+750
-286
+630
-240
0
3		-0.35868-0.39824-0.95267
Coventry City
Birmingham City		44.0%
27.8%		28.2%
+153
+159
+165
+160
2
3		-1.02443-1.00209-1.27888
Middlesbrough
Derby County		32.3%
38.3%		29.4%
+142
+188
+145
+200
0
1		-1.13280-1.14662-0.96061
Coventry City
Charlton Athletic		36.6%
34.2%		29.2%
-102
+275
+105
+260
1
1		-1.28743-1.30280-1.23217
Norwich City
Queens Park Rangers		54.5%
21.4%		24.1%
+240
+101
+280
-105
2
1		-1.29452-1.38314-0.60657
West Bromwich Albion
Swansea City		28.4%
44.8%		26.8%
+140
+212
+140
+215
0
1		-1.20088-1.19769-0.80325
Birmingham City
Watford		11.8%
68.8%		19.4%
+205
+133
+210
+130
0
3		-0.90421-0.88312-0.37397
Sheffield Wednesday
Preston North End		28.7%
43.6%		27.7%
+540
-202
+570
-190
0
3		-0.47459-0.47292-0.83071
Stoke City
Hull City		32.9%
40.2%		26.9%
+215
+121
+230
+125
1
0		-1.22217-1.24320-1.11313
Blackburn
Sheffield Wednesday		42.5%
30.0%		27.4%
-132
+370
-130
+370
0
0		-1.32844-1.35545-1.29434
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10244 
Sportsbooks20-0-1 (0.750)2 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.95340
0.14903

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.