England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 1, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Watford
Queens Park Rangers 		53.0%
22.5%		24.5%
+165
+162
+175
+165
1.66
0.98		2.64
o2¼-123
u2½-125

Volatility Bet Value Active
Stoke City
Burnley 		15.0%
63.3%		21.6%
+550
-205
+580
-190
0.79
1.89		2.68
o2½-110
u2½-110

Coventry City
Cardiff City 		26.2%
47.4%		26.4%
+115
+230
+115
+240
1.01
1.45		2.46
o2½+102
u2½-118

Blackburn
Leeds United 		15.4%
64.4%		20.2%
+800
-305
+820
-300
0.89
2.06		2.95
o2¾-105
u2¾-113

Norwich City
Luton Town 		52.3%
22.1%		25.6%
+165
+155
+175
+160
1.54
0.91		2.45
o2½-107
u2½-110

Derby County
Sheffield Wednesday 		32.8%
37.6%		29.6%
+270
+101
+285
+100
1.02
1.11		2.13
o2¼-108
u2¼-109

Preston North End
West Bromwich Albion 		22.8%
52.8%		24.4%
+320
-110
+365
-115
1.00
1.66		2.66
o2¼+102
u2¼-121

Middlesbrough
Hull City 		28.6%
45.0%		26.5%
+130
+195
+115
+230
1.08
1.43		2.51
o2½-121
u2½+102

Games for Dec 31, 2024
Games for Jan 4, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Norwich City
Coventry City		48.9%
23.6%		27.5%
+260
-101
+300
-115
1
0		-1.32343-1.43658-0.71582
Blackburn
Burnley		17.2%
60.4%		22.3%
+240
+120
+290
-110
1
1		-1.23350-1.35759-1.49843
Middlesbrough
Cardiff City		26.5%
47.3%		26.2%
+101
+250
-115
+290
2
0		-0.76479-0.67548-1.32727
Queens Park Rangers
Luton Town		31.6%
41.9%		26.5%
+275
-110
+280
-110
2
1		-1.38071-1.38725-1.15293
Cardiff City
Swansea City		23.3%
52.0%		24.7%
+285
+102
+295
-105
1
1		-1.25012-1.30258-1.39776
Derby County
Watford		18.6%
56.7%		24.6%
+310
-115
+300
-110
1
2		-0.68820-0.69693-0.56722
Luton Town
Preston North End		28.6%
44.5%		26.8%
+140
+185
+140
+190
0
1		-1.10715-1.11480-0.80968
West Bromwich Albion
Stoke City		40.3%
32.2%		27.5%
+170
+160
+180
+155
2
1		-1.05406-1.08063-0.90904
Coventry City
Bristol City		29.0%
43.1%		27.9%
+160
+155
+180
+145
1
1		-1.34423-1.30254-1.27697
Millwall
Hull City		32.3%
39.9%		27.9%
+200
+140
+220
+130
0
0		-1.23474-1.24299-1.27773
Cardiff City
Burnley		16.2%
62.1%		21.8%
+440
-172
+520
-165
0
5		-0.52077-0.50124-0.47670
Stoke City
Watford		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+165
+165
+165
+170
0
3		-1.03510-1.04276-0.66233
Preston North End
Swansea City		19.5%
57.0%		23.5%
+275
+100
+275
+100
0
3		-0.74421-0.74421-0.56191
Millwall
Bristol City		32.9%
37.9%		29.2%
+280
+108
+315
+105
3
4		-0.78270-0.74915-0.97009
Blackburn
Norwich City		24.3%
49.8%		25.9%
+190
+144
+205
+135
2
2		-1.28193-1.27022-1.35274
Middlesbrough
Derby County		32.3%
38.3%		29.4%
-109
+275
+105
+250
0
1		-1.38565-1.30280-0.96061
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.