England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Millwall
Queens Park Rangers 		40.0%
32.1%		27.8%
+210
+130
+225
+125
1.26
1.10		2.36
o2¼-108
u2¼-112

Sheffield Wednesday
Luton Town 		32.2%
39.2%		28.7%
+295
-110
+295
-110
1.06
1.19		2.25
o2½-112
u2½-104

Leeds United
Cardiff City 		57.9%
19.6%		22.5%
-172
+475
-155
+415
1.86
0.98		2.84
o2½-106
u2½-112

Swansea City
Coventry City 		49.3%
24.0%		26.7%
+380
-135
+350
-135
1.44
0.92		2.36
o2¾-107
u2¾-112

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Hull City
Stoke City 		32.2%
40.9%		26.9%
+250
+111
+250
+110
2.50
o2½-110
u2½-107

1st H
27:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Preston North End
Cardiff City		28.0%
46.1%		25.9%
+200
+156
+225
+140
2
0		-1.14917-1.22956-1.27432
Bristol City
Middlesbrough		34.6%
36.4%		29.0%
+360
-128
+365
-130
2
1		-1.56715-1.58621-1.06106
Swansea City
Hull City		45.8%
28.2%		26.0%
+350
-135
+375
-140
1
0		-1.55898-1.60719-0.78025
Birmingham City
Sheffield Wednesday		23.0%
50.9%		26.1%
+215
+125

0
2		-0.87822-0.67501
Coventry City
Norwich City		18.0%
57.3%		24.7%
+175
+145
+170
+150
1
2		-0.94448-0.96703-0.55670
Birmingham City
West Bromwich Albion		13.2%
67.4%		19.4%
+390
-155
+405
-150
0
1		-0.56089-0.56073-0.39447
Queens Park Rangers
Blackburn		22.3%
54.6%		23.0%
+280
-110
+290
-110
2
1		-1.38725-1.41022-1.49897
Sheffield Wednesday
Huddersfield		35.7%
34.8%		29.4%
+190
+151
+200
+150
0
4		-0.98401-0.96582-1.05466
Cardiff City
Watford		24.2%
50.1%		25.7%
+295
-109
+350
-120
1
0		-1.42858-1.55609-1.42055
Millwall
Hull City		32.3%
39.9%		27.9%
+290
-105
+300
-105
0
1		-0.72586-0.71980-0.91985
Leeds United
Bristol City		61.0%
17.2%		21.8%
-123
+360
-135
+370
1
0		-0.62661-0.60347-0.49466
Bristol City
Coventry City		34.7%
35.8%		29.5%
+380
-135
+395
-135
2
2		-1.34996-1.34396-1.22027
Huddersfield
Queens Park Rangers		29.8%
44.0%		26.2%
+300
-105
+325
-110
1
1		-1.24622-1.27561-1.33937
Preston North End
Millwall		29.3%
42.4%		28.3%
+280
+116
+295
+110
1
1		-1.15636-1.18202-1.26259
Preston North End
Leeds United		11.8%
70.0%		18.2%
+900
-370
+1000
-360
1
2		-0.30296-0.29590-0.35598
Watford
Bristol City		44.7%
27.7%		27.6%
+220
+130
+195
+145
1
1		-1.19892-1.24289-1.28917
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.