England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 10, 2024

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Games for Nov 9, 2024
Games for Nov 11, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Millwall
Leeds United		13.3%
66.3%		20.4%
+900
-335
+1050
-350
0
2		-0.32178-0.28923-0.41143
Blackburn
Middlesbrough		40.2%
32.0%		27.8%
+320
-125
+315
-120
0
0		-1.39026-1.37346-1.27909
Bristol City
West Bromwich Albion		24.0%
51.1%		24.9%
+380
-120
+395
-125
0
2		-0.65710-0.63819-0.67144
Watford
Birmingham City		61.4%
16.1%		22.5%
+205
+135
+165
+165
1
0		-1.16575-1.02641-0.48800
Norwich City
Stoke City		44.4%
27.8%		27.8%
+170
+160
+175
+155
3
0		-1.05406-1.06031-0.81155
Huddersfield
Rotherham United		25.5%
49.3%		25.2%
-115
+370
-125
+395
0
0		-1.24337-1.27418-1.37769
Cardiff City
Swansea City		23.3%
52.0%		24.7%
+280
+105
+300
+100
0
2		-0.77483-0.74482-0.65452
Middlesbrough
Birmingham City		44.7%
27.7%		27.6%
+140
+185
+140
+190
1
0		-0.93530-0.92553-0.80455
Swansea City
Bristol City		46.3%
26.9%		26.8%
+205
+135
+225
+130
0
1		-0.90932-0.88187-1.31412
West Bromwich Albion
Huddersfield		53.1%
22.6%		24.3%
+160
+181
+160
+180
4
1		-1.02162-1.00835-0.63303
Birmingham City
Millwall		18.3%
57.6%		24.1%
+235
+125
+240
+125
0
1		-0.85590-0.86074-0.55094
Middlesbrough
Queens Park Rangers		35.6%
36.3%		28.1%
+205
+142
+210
+130
2
0		-1.15830-1.18159-1.03204
Stoke City
Preston North End		34.9%
36.7%		28.4%
+190
+160
+205
+150
2
1		-1.11054-1.16437-1.05154
Coventry City
Watford		18.9%
56.0%		25.1%
+147
+180
+145
+185
2
1		-0.95083-0.94788-1.66421
West Bromwich Albion
Queens Park Rangers		50.4%
25.2%		24.4%
+150
+210
+150
+225
2
2		-1.14614-1.11590-1.41137
Swansea City
Watford		32.6%
37.9%		29.5%
+220
+123
+220
+125
1
1		-1.28793-1.27357-1.21993
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.84414 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.82298 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.78825
0.05589
0.03474

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.