England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Games for Nov 12, 2024
Games for Nov 14, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Norwich City
Middlesbrough
48.8%
23.9%
27.2%
+175
+158
+175
+150
1
3
-1.00504-0.96446-1.42974
Huddersfield
Cardiff City
21.2%
55.3%
23.5%
+185
+160
+180
+175
0
1
-1.01694-1.05909-0.59289
Stoke City
Leeds United
13.4%
67.2%
19.4%
+630
-265
+700
-270
0
1
-0.38510-0.36464-0.39729
Millwall
Blackburn
28.7%
43.9%
27.4%
+230
+125
+245
+120
1
1
-1.21029-1.22946-1.29477
Rotherham United
Coventry City
33.4%
38.2%
28.4%
+700
-294
+800
-310
0
5
-0.36154-0.33066-0.96328
Birmingham City
Hull City
18.3%
59.7%
21.9%
+380
-150
+400
-150
1
1
-1.44299-1.43511-1.51681
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
28.0%
44.5%
27.6%
+190
+145
+185
+140
0
2
-0.93407-0.92735-0.81031
Watford
Millwall
42.3%
28.4%
29.2%
+195
+152
+195
+150
0
1
-0.97615-0.96648-1.25709
Hull City
Preston North End
35.1%
37.6%
27.3%
+140
+200
+165
+175
0
0
-1.23474-1.22622-1.29931
Blackburn
Swansea City
24.6%
50.1%
25.2%
+235
+105
+245
+100
1
2
-0.78364-0.74482-0.69053
Cardiff City
Bristol City
35.6%
36.6%
27.9%
+310
+100
+350
-105
1
0
-1.48030-1.55467-1.03401
Leeds United
Huddersfield
70.1%
11.7%
18.2%
-180
+470
-170
+465
1
1
-1.48992-1.46029-1.70496
Coventry City
West Bromwich Albion
21.3%
54.1%
24.7%
+245
+113
+265
+105
1
2
-0.81236-0.76819-0.61500
Rotherham United
Queens Park Rangers
37.5%
35.7%
26.7%
+460
-145
+475
-145
1
2
-0.58304-0.57471-1.02884
Huddersfield
Watford
15.0%
63.4%
21.6%
+260
+108
+275
+100
2
1
-1.32821-1.37279-1.89879
Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday
36.6%
34.3%
29.1%
+175
+166
+185
+160
1
2
-1.04358-1.00709-1.07131
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.