England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Games for Jan 6, 2025
Games for Jan 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rotherham United
Bristol City		30.8%
42.4%		26.8%
+690
-263
+720
-250
0
2		-0.37997-0.38649-0.85790
Birmingham City
Huddersfield		26.7%
46.7%		26.6%
+185
+151
+200
+150
1
1		-1.27676-1.25082-1.32531
Coventry City
Blackburn		24.8%
49.2%		26.0%
+220
+125
+215
+115
0
0		-1.32516-1.35981-1.34630
West Bromwich Albion
Sheffield Wednesday		47.4%
26.1%		26.5%
+158
+185
+150
+190
0
3		-1.10657-1.11590-1.34258
Swansea City
Norwich City		31.3%
39.3%		29.4%
+370
-149
+370
-150
2
2		-1.43607-1.48470-1.22588
Leeds United
Queens Park Rangers		68.6%
13.1%		18.3%
-165
+410
-170
+430
0
4		-1.68448-1.71480-2.03202
Hull City
Coventry City		36.4%
35.2%		28.4%
+156
+165
+170
+170
3
2		-0.99623-1.01545-1.01143
Leeds United
Middlesbrough		63.3%
15.3%		21.4%
-160
+380
-160
+400
4
3		-0.54549-0.53495-0.45754
Sheffield Wednesday
Blackburn		23.3%
51.5%		25.2%
+235
+110
+245
+115
3
1		-1.26379-1.28222-1.45513
Preston North End
Queens Park Rangers		37.5%
35.2%		27.3%
+310
-105
+310
-105
0
1		-0.72650-0.71803-1.04415
Swansea City
Huddersfield		57.1%
19.3%		23.5%
+235
+110
+240
+110
4
0		-1.26379-1.27447-0.56014
Birmingham City
Rotherham United		20.6%
56.1%		23.4%
-149
+420
-155
+430
0
0		-1.37753-1.42221-1.45337
Hull City
Watford		22.4%
53.1%		24.5%
+152
+175
+140
+190
0
0		-1.27694-1.28844-1.40699
Bristol City
Norwich City		20.3%
54.9%		24.7%
+380
-143
+415
-160
1
1		-1.40307-1.47238-1.39800
Rotherham United
Swansea City		19.3%
57.9%		22.8%
+725
-300
+775
-295
0
1		-0.35647-0.34222-0.54704
Coventry City
Birmingham City		44.0%
27.8%		28.2%
+125
+205
+115
+230
0
3		-1.17944-1.24258-1.27888
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.90716 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.92591 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.93267
-0.02551
-0.00676

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.