England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+245
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+247

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+157
+155

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3+100
u3-120

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+224
+117

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-112
u2½-108

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+140
+189

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-112
u2½-106

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Swansea City
Bristol City		46.3%
26.9%		26.8%
+270
-109
+300
-105
0
3		-0.72948-0.71980-1.31412
Blackburn
Preston North End		38.9%
33.6%		27.4%
+193
+144
+205
+150
2
1		-1.14134-1.16437-0.94320
Birmingham City
Middlesbrough		21.4%
53.5%		25.1%
+195
+142
+195
+150
1
2		-0.95397-0.96648-0.62513
Coventry City
Stoke City		27.6%
44.7%		27.6%
+126
+185
+130
+195
1
0		-0.88051-0.88317-1.28681
Preston North End
Millwall		29.3%
42.4%		28.3%
+250
+126
+265
+115
1
1		-1.16967-1.21345-1.26259
Derby County
Blackburn		24.5%
50.0%		25.5%
+245
+106
+320
-105
2
1		-1.31808-1.48272-1.40682
Bristol City
Watford		21.4%
53.5%		25.1%
+245
+107
+255
+110
1
1		-1.28870-1.27447-1.38250
Swansea City
Preston North End		48.2%
25.6%		26.2%
+230
+126
+245
+125
1
2		-0.87175-0.86140-1.36180
Blackburn
Bristol City		37.3%
35.0%		27.7%
+210
+125
+220
+130
1
0		-1.20344-1.20371-0.98650
Millwall
Birmingham City		49.1%
24.0%		26.9%
+365
-137
+410
-140
0
4		-0.62394-0.58749-1.42553
West Bromwich Albion
Charlton Athletic		52.0%
23.5%		24.5%
+187
+155
+190
+160
0
1		-1.01264-1.00622-1.44881
Hull City
Derby County		37.1%
35.0%		27.9%
+240
+113
+250
+115
1
2		-0.82064-0.81362-1.04996
Bristol City
Stoke City		30.8%
41.6%		27.5%
+200
+136
+200
+145
1
5		-0.92140-0.94410-0.87592
Middlesbrough
Watford		19.2%
56.0%		24.8%
+161
+163
+165
+170
0
3		-1.04010-1.04276-0.58010
Swansea City
Charlton Athletic		56.1%
20.1%		23.8%
+250
+120
+275
+115
1
1		-1.20354-1.19548-1.43599
Hull City
Norwich City		21.3%
54.6%		24.1%
+230
-102
+240
+105
2
0		-1.27268-1.27122-1.54590
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.92070 
Sportsbooks30-0-1 (0.667)3 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.81619
0.10451

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.